Balmoral: Sunday 8/2 Analysis
Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (32 - 50 / $114.80): VENGEFUL (3rd)
Spot Play: FOX VALLEY CHINO (4th)
Race 1
(5) SOUTHERN APPEAL is a very risky bet with the breaking issues, however the lightly raced 3-year-old might be the fastest in the field if he minds his manners. (6) ABC BIG SHOT owns a decent burst of speed but has lacked stamina late so far in his short career. (2) NONE OF THAT STUFF showed a decent burst of speed last week before fading late.
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Race 2
(7) LEXINGTON LADY will look to make it five straight wins against a soft field. (5) FOX VALLEY GYPSY is likely the only horse with a shot at upsetting the top choice. The filly pacer gets a provisional driver and needs a smooth trip. (4) AUNT ETHEL was the driver's choice of three and should be primed to take a step forward.
Race 3
(3) VENGEFUL picks up a huge driver change and showed tremendous ability last week despite the early miscue. (1) ROCKNPRICESSABBIE had some sneaky late trot last week and gets the best post. (2) AWFULLY EMOTIONAL couldn't parlay a perfect trip last start but has some upside.
Race 4
(9) FOX VALLEY CHINO freshman pacer has been facing much tougher in his last two starts; big chance. (8) MY MAN RED showed some nice determination last week getting a win after it looked like he was not going by the leader. (3) M A SMASH ON nice looking pacer put in a perfect debut and has plenty of room for improvement.
Race 5
(1) WRIGHTWOOD is undefeated in his brief career and gets the best post. (4) PASTOR CLINT has made breaks in three straight but has flashed a lot of ability. (2) MR STRATA might be closing the gap some on the top choice racing gamely last week.
Race 6
(9) WHISKERSONKITTENS was really picking up steam late last week against a nice opponent. (10) SINISTER will offer a big price and could be ready for a better effort third start out. (1) MANCHESTER MATTIE has been improving with every start; threat.
Race 7
(8) ROCKNROLL CRYSTAL pacer put in an exceptional effort last week being used multiple times. (9) NITTY GRITTY has been knocking on the door recently but only owns one win on the year; command a price. (1) VIRGIN OFMY DREAMS was just even last week after being sharp the two starts prior; use underneath.
Race 8
(1) BIG EXPENSE has the look of a really nice late-developing trotter. The 3-year-old will look to make it two straight wins to start his career. (8) SOUTHERN SPECIAL picks up a significant driver change and is probably the horse to beat if he stays trotting. (7) AMAZED gelding hits the board a lot but seems to lack stamina late in most of his efforts; use underneath.
Race 9
(1) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH was overdriven last week into a huge three-quarters of a mile before fading late. The pacer appears to be back on her game and is versatile. (3) MOON BAY DANCER has been very sharp in a new barn; threat. (8) JOYFUL GAME has also been sharp and just needs a fast pace to close into for a shot at upsetting.
Race 10
In a tough race to gauge, (6) FOX VALLEY LYN flashed good ability before breaking in her most recent start. The pacer picks back up the top driver and should offer a nice price. (7) FRONTIER SARAH was very flat last start after being sharp prior; command a price. (1) MONTANA REI has shown steady improvement and gets the best post.
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