Balmoral: Saturday 12/19 Analysis
Race 9 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (52 - 88 / $182.40): FIRSTCLASSALLTHWAY (11th)
Spot Play: COLE HEAT (7th)
Race 1
(6) MOONNN well bred 2-year-old looks like a good one and could be ready for a big effort in his debut. (8) MICRO FORCE has had two tough trips in a row. The pacer adds lasix for the first time; threat. (5) BETTERLUCKYTHANGOOD should have more to offer in his second lifetime start.
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Race 2
(7) BOHEMIA gets sent out for capable connections against a suspect bunch. (2) DARN SKIPPIE rarely wins but did race well last start. (1) JITTERBUG JACK should be in line for a ground saving trip up close.
Race 3
(9) LUCKY DALI well bred filly is very inconsistent from week to week but one of her best efforts beats this field. (2) FIGHTING MAJORETTE freshman filly pacer has been used aggressively in her last two miles and could use a smooth trip for her best chance. (1) FLIGHT ON TIME fits in with this bunch nicely and gets the best post.
Race 4
(2) JOHN JAY beat a better bunch last week and has lots of upside. (3) MR PICKPOCKET might be better coming off a helmet. The pacer will offer better value this week and is a threat to hit the ticket. (8) SIR ARTHUR D faces weaker and has beaten better on the year.
Race 5
(7) SAVOYA CRUISER gets sent out for a high percentage barn against a weak and inconsistent field. (5) SANDY WIN adds lasix for the first time and has flashed ability. (4) OUR MISS LEAH has just been racing evenly; use underneath.
Race 6
(4) BELL VALLEY TIGER will be much more involved early this week; threat. (10) DUNESIDE ART needs to find a way into the race but will offer a big price. (9) NANCYS SKYSCAPE owns wins at this level on the year but is probably best used underneath.
Race 7
(4) COLE HEAT veteran pacer is sharp and finds an evenly matched field. (7) ST ELMO HERO will probably try from off the pace this week after tiring on the lead last out. (6) CAM B ZIPPER gets a negative driver change; use underneath.
Race 8
(8) KRUSTY THE CLOWN has been competitive at this level and will offer another big price. (7) B R FLYING DALI has been super in a new barn; threat. (6) CAMWISER comes off a game win at this level but probably needs more; command a price.
Race 9
(9) TIMMYLYNN pacing mare needed her last start and will offer the best price of the contenders; fires early. (10) RYLEIGH'S LILLY is the horse to beat by far but will offer low value and could be vulnerable without a fast pace to close into. (8) PARTY HANGOVER has been knocking on the door against this bunch but just can't seem to get over the hump; use underneath.
Race 10
(9) SOUTHWIND SCORPION any kind of effort to his last race makes him dangerous at a price; threat. (1) MY BUDDY NINKSTER was disappointing last out and should have had more off a good trip; command a price. (8) BNGS EXPRESS wasn't as sharp last out but had shown a big burst of speed in his prior efforts.
Race 11
(1) FIRSTCLASSALLTHWAY put in a big effort against better last week and has a history of getting it going right around this time of year. (2) MAJOR MONET just doesn't win very often; use underneath. (3) FOX VALLEY CUPID is another horse who rarely wins but is a threat to hit the board.
Race 12
(2) EVA BELLA flashed a lot of ability a few months ago and finds a weak field full of question marks. (9) LUCY FLEW just needs a good setup to threaten late. (3) KIMBERLY R veteran mare's best effort is good enough but the horse has lameness issues every other week; threat.
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