Balmoral: Saturday 11/30 Analysis
Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (55 - 118 / $196.40): AGOOD TIME TO ROCK (13th)
Spot Play: BRIEFS BOY (8th)
Race 1
(2) SHAX drops in class off a game performance and should be tough to beat with a smooth trip. (4) ROCKME AMADEOUS also drops in class and picks up a decent driver change. (5) CAMWISER doesn't own a win on the year but did race well last out.
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Race 2
(2) HITITHARD just raced evenly last out but does find a really inconsistent field. (8) HERE'S JOHNNY redeemed himself nicely against a better field last out than the one he got beat as a heavy favorite. The well bred trotter could be the horse to beat if he can work out a trip. (3) KK'S BANDIT had some sneaky trot late last out and gets a good post.
Race 3
(4) TIME RUNNING OUT powerful pacer is very small but don't let that fool you, this guy has a big motor and should only get better with each start. (3) CHIPPER went a big trip showing a big burst of speed after an early miscue. (7) PAPASGOTTHEBESTGO was really closing up a storm late in his last start; use underneath.
Race 4
In a wide open and evenly matched race (8) BOOGIE NIGHTS faced a much better field last out, should offer the right price, and just needs to work out a trip. (9) JERRICO paced a decent mile last race and might try and blast off the gate. (5) REX PASSUS has been a little disappointing lately but does have closing ability; command a price.
Race 5
(6) WHISTLE PIG mare was an easy winner last out and has a class edge on the field when she's right. (7) SCHMATIE filly is the other contender in the race and needed her last start. (3) ZUMBA filly should save some ground before shaking loose for a piece.
Race 6
(6) AL'S HAMMERED four-year-old stallion is officially back after being razor sharp off a tough injury to come back from. If the sensational stretch runner comes to the track like he has his previous two starts it's lights out. (7) BEST MAN HANOVER raced gamely last out but seems to be better from off the pace and could be the only threat to the top choice. (3) FIESTY FLYER the recent five claimer has been on fire in a new barn and is now racing against open type horses; use underneath.
Race 7
(5) FORT SILKY versatile gelding finds a short field and could get the best trip of all sitting in the pocket; fires early. (6) TIME TO ROLL impeccably bred stallion is in good form and really exploded late for the win last out. The 4-year-old will be winging off the gate and could get picked off late by the top choice. (4) UNCLE SMOOTHIE has also been pacing up a storm but could be at the mercy of a slower pace; use underneath.
Race 8
(8) BRIEF'S BOY comes out of a red hot barn that has been scoring in bunches. The gelding's lines look terrible in his last three but he takes a huge drop in class and would probably sweep past late if he stays pacing. (1) TIZA MOJO gets away from a razor-sharp opponent after looking to be home free last out before just tiring a bit late; threat. (6) MAJESTIC ROYALE had some pace late but nowhere to go; needs more.
Race 9
I tried very hard to pick against (3) AQUA ARTIST but she just might get too easy fractions without somebody pushing her in the middle half. (4) LOVE THIS PLACE is probably the only threat to the top choice but did come up empty last out. (5) PERTTY MUSIC well bred filly has a tough task facing older but could hit the bottom part of the ticket.
Race 10
(5) MAJOR MONET pacer has been facing much tougher opponents, gets a nice driver change, and will be firing early. (3) LUCKY JET has been pacing some good miles but needs a smooth trip for his best chance. (2) BREAKIN THE LAW seems to be very inconsistent from week to week but his best could win.
Race 11
(5) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE going to try the classy mare one last time with a big driver change. (2) REV ME UP mare doesn't win often but is very versatile and should get a good trip. (6) KATE THE GREAT also gets a huge driver change and just needs a fast pace up front to utilize her gate late kick.
Race 12
(4) HOLY CHIP there was a time this year where the gelding would have been a heavy favorite against this group. The 4-year-old was used very aggressively which could signal he's ready to pop at a price. (7) TINK AND TIGER went a brutal trip last out first up but does have the ability in an inconsistent field. (8) THUNDER STEELER is just starting to get back in racing shape and owns some back class.
Race 13
(8) AGOOD TIME TO ROCK has the best pedigree in the race and adds second-time lasix; big chance. (5) KOSTAS WINE comes off a decent qualifier and has flashed some ability in the past. (6) WESTERN EDGE has just been racing evenly but so has most of the field; use underneath.
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