Balmoral: Saturday 11/21 Analysis
Race 9 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (50 - 80 / $175.60): CAM B ZIPPER (9th)
Spot Play: PARTY HANGOVER (3rd)
Race 1
(7) RICHESS NESTOR came up empty last week but will offer a good price in a wide open race. (9) CAMWISER has dominated at this level all year long. (10) BET ON HIM pacer needed his last start and could use a good setup.
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Race 2
In a very tough race to gauge, (10) FLUKY'S GIRL gets sent out for proven connections and has been improving. (7) SIMPLY BURBON looks like the horse to beat on paper facing easier but rarely wins; command a price. (1) TEQUILA BABE gets the best post and was the driver's choice; threat.
Race 3
(6) PARTY HANGOVER raced gamely last week from a tough post and will offer the best price of the contenders. (7) RYLEIGH'S LILLY hasn't made a start in almost a month. The pacing mare will swoop this field for fun if ready. (1) JUST BY DESIGN veteran mare has had another great year but could be starting to wear down a bit.
Race 4
(8) ONE TO DRAW TO lightly raced pacer has room to improve on the big track. (9) MACHO BURBON is a threat to win if he minds his manners. (6) WINDY CITY JACK makes his career debut and was full of late pace in the qualifier.
Race 5
In another tough race to handicap, (6) WESTERN SLAMMER was the driver's choice of three and was sneaky good last week. (4) GOLDEN NUGGET has yet to prove himself on the big track but should be in line for a decent trip against weaker. (5) NITROGEN FUSE is 0 for the year but could hit the ticket underneath at a price.
Race 6
(1) SCARY HARRY has been off over a month after a huge effort. If the well bred pacer is ready he can repeat. (2) VALIENTE STRIDE has done his best work late in the mile in two straight; threat. (6) PART TIME went a big effort last week out of the ten hole being used multiple times. The pacer has two wins at this level on the year.
Race 7
In a very competitive field, (6) COMPANY MAN was lights out last week taking no prisoners in a lifetime mark. The pacer could be starting to blossom late in the year. (4) FEELNLIKEAROCKSTAR doesn't have a whole lot of wins on the year but shouldn't be counted out. (3) A COOL CARD pacer will look to make it four straight; threat.
Race 8
(3) MAKE IT WORK was in over his head last week up in class. The pacer drops back in for a tag and was the driver's choice; fires early. (8) CHARLEY'SFASTCAT gets sent out first start in a new barn; big chance. (9) DONTGETBYME comes off a nice win at Hoosier against better but could have too much to do from a tough outside post.
Race 9
(5) CAM B ZIPPER beat a better bunch two starts ago and will be tough to beat with an early breather up front. (4) COLE HEAT his last race is a bit deceiving on paper. The pacer was uncovered almost the entire mile from far back and didn't miss by much. (1) FIVEKNUCKLESHUFFLE just missed at this level last start and looks in line for a much easier trip this week.
Race 10
(2) CRUEL GIRL should still offer value off a big upset victory. The 5-year-old mare just needs another good setup. (6) HELLO MY DREAM pacing mare makes her third start back off a long layoff and should be primed for a better effort. (1) WINGS pacing mare is probably the horse to beat but should only be used underneath for a low percentage pilot; use caution.
Race 11
(8) ROCKIN THE HOUSE went a good effort against much tougher last week. The pacer gets sent out for proven connections and will be tough to beat with a trouble-free trip. (6) MASTER OF DESIRE was the driver's choice dropping in class. (3) MONTERO BLUE CHIP has just been racing evenly after a sharp effort a month ago. The pacer picks up a huge driver change and could be dangerous if he races back to that effort.
Race 12
(5) CRUISE QUEEN gets a perfect starting post with options off a nice winning effort. (8) MUY CALIENTE might not be suited for the big track but does own back class on the field. (1) YES WE DID look for a better effort out of the pacer against softer.
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