Balmoral: Friday 11/27 Analysis
Race 4 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($4,427 C/O)
Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (50 - 80 / $175.60): LIL MISS KNUCKLES (1st)
Spot Play: MADOFF (12th)
Race 1
(9) LIL MISS KNUCKLES exits much tougher races than most of the field. (7) STEPHIE CLAY will offer a nice price and can hit the board with a good setup. (4) DESIREE BELLABELLA pacing mare has yet to win on the year but does own a decent burst when timed right.
Race 2
(7) MOON BAY DANCER is the horse to beat in against a weak bunch. The pacer has beaten much better on the year. (1) MISS PAT WEISAR mare went a huge effort last week uncovered most of the mile. (6) ANGEL DEMON is capable with a smooth trip but probably needs more; command a price.
Race 3
(1) TRIXSEN GRAM has been improving on the year and gets the best post. (8) NICKS ONE MAN SHOW wasn't as sharp last out but the lightly raced pacer has upside. (4) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN raced well last week but has a tendency to race inconsistently from week to week.
Race 4
(7) WESTERN SLAMMER just needs to race back to his prior effort for a huge chance. (1) CAPTAIN OBVIOUS gets the best post in a wide open race. (2) HOLY MCMOSES has two wins in ninety starts but has been knocking on the door; use underneath.
Race 5
In a very inconsistent field (6) PRINCESS GIRL owns wins against similar on the year. (7) MAPLE GROVE JOE is facing much weaker competition and is one of few contenders in the race. (9) AMAZED rarely wins but can hit the board with a smooth trip.
Race 6
(8) LOLA GRAM went a big effort last week before making a costly break at the wire. (10) SANDY WIN owns more ability than most of the field but isn't the most reliable; use caution. (5) THE LAST TARGARYEN was very close last week against similar; threat
Race 7
(10) SMASHY CERISE gets sent out for proven connections in a tough race to gauge. (5) DUNESIDE PERTTIE filly is capable of pacing a decent mile against a soft bunch. (3) FOX VALLEY RUBY fits in with this bunch nicely; threat.
Race 8
(6) BIG EXPENSE lightly raced trotter might be up to the task against tougher. (7) HUDSON JESSE dropped and popped last week but has just been racing evenly; use caution. (8) REVRAC HARBOUR has been a constant cash burner on the year; use underneath.
Race 9
(7) SMOKE RINGS looks terrible on paper but that should only boost the price if right. (3) KANSAS WILDCAT veteran stallion isn't what he once was but is the horse to beat; short price. (4) URAWOMANIZER is just now back in racing shape and should only improve third start back off a layoff.
Race 10
(6) B R FLYING DALI gets sent out for a recent hot barn in a much softer spot. (2) LET'S NOT DWELL will look to make it two straight at this level. (8) SAY IT AINT SO has had some tough trips in his last few. The pacer can threaten with a smooth trip.
Race 11
(4) AHLBBACK YANKEE has made the most money in the field on the year and faces significantly weaker. (9) FRISKIE FLICKER takes a huge drop in class and is capable of a big effort; threat. (6) KIMBERLEY R was pretty good off a scratch and had to need that start.
Race 12
(3) MADOFF has yet to win on the big track this year but if the pacer gets a decent drive he's a huge threat at this level. (9) BIG BRAD is one of the fastest horses in the field but is best used underneath. (6) OFFICIALLY YOURS owns a big move but needs a good setup for his best chance.
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