Aqueduct: DRF Plus handicapping report for March 23, 2014
Race 1 |
Vulnerable FavoriteI get that this is a weak field and that the alternatives aren't especially appetizing, but who, exactly, is taking 3/5 on HERE HE FITZ (#1). Seriously, who? - Mike Beer
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Race 2 |
Spot PlayTHE BIG DELUXE (#4, 3-1) apparently didn't care for the off track in his first start of 2014 but his prior Beyers put him squarely in the middle of this; big threat here if he's able to run to those Beyers. -Kenny Peck
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Race 3 |
Spot PlayLAS OLAZ AZUR (#4, 8-1) was interesting off the layoff after racing very wide against a strong rail at Belmont in her debut, but didn't get the greatest trip in the world after being rated back and catching traffic behind a 1/5 winner. - Mike Beer
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Race 4 |
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Race 5 |
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Race 6 |
Spot PlayNON STOP (#1, 5-2) has been in super form since claimed by this barn last summer, and acquitted himself very well in pair of recent graded stakes tries; may not get it, but he's value at his morning line price. - Mike Beer
Spot PlaySCHOOLYARD DREAMS (#7, 7-2) versatile veteran projects to sit a nice trip as he should sit outside the two main speeds in the second flight; need listed price minimum. - Chuck Kuehhas
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Race 7 |
Spot PlayI'll try FROST JORDAN (#9, 4-1) despite the outside draw, as he's run well all three starts and should handle the distance for trainer who does excellent work with horses going sprint-to-route: Past 5 Years, Sprint-to-Route on dirt, 21-58 (36%), $2.77 ROI (via Formulator). - Mike Beer
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Race 8 |
Live LongshotI've long been a fan of KARA'S MATCH POINT (#6, 12-1) and think she may be quite a bit better than she appears at first glance. Catches a field comprised of short prices off of layoffs, or who just aren't that good, and should also catch some pace as she turns back in distance. - Mike Beer
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Race 9 |
Spot PlayNILE EMPRESS (#3, 6-1): This second-time starter, by Pioneerof the Nile and out of a Mineshaft mare, is bred to stretch out effectively, and will likely improve off her recent sprint debut chasing a runaway winner on a speed-favoring track; positive rider switch. --Dave Litfin
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