Aqueduct: DRF Plus Closer Looks for December 5, 2013

Race 1

With Delite

She got it right in her debut, then and faced steeper last out in her first start against winners; seems well-served with the move to this level, and would seem to have reason to move forward in her second start since August; one of several who can share.

Bridget Moloney

She was a dominating winner last out at Bel, and the Beyer Figure of 56 that she earned ranks as this field's best last-race number; her speed is an asset, and she has a chance to wire these depending on how things fall at the break; the main pace threat could be Kiss Cat, who is situated to her immediate outside; win candidate.

Kiss Cat

She has more natural speed than most of these, and that might give her a tactical advantage; she could get a tracking trip off Bridget Moloney, a quick rival who breaks to her immediate inside; did well to win on front end on good track last out; is a half-sister to the stakes-placed Kiss and Fly (13 wins, $242K).

Looksgoodfromhere

She's a unique case; she has not technically won a race but is regarded as a winner as she was awarded the purse for first-place in a $35K maiden claimer in October, following the winner's disqualification in a case that might not have been resolved until recently as she has since started in a pair of maiden races; figures to bid late on cutback from route.

Tuberose

Claimed out of her debut, she won that afternoon and is bred to be a useful sort as a half-sister to Winter Camp, a sprint stakes winner who is 9-for-21 with earnings of $240K; draws a tactical post and can take advantage were Bridget Moloney and Kiss Cat to make for some honest fractions up front; leading contender.

My Jimmy Chew Girl

She graduated at this distance two starts ago, then represented herself well last out in her first start against winners...and note the race came against steeper; a concern is whether she will get the pace she needs to fuel her run, but the class move she makes could put her closer to the leaders; choice.

House Red

She delivered as the favorite last out, when a clear winner over maiden rivals at Prx; note the final time for the race was modest; faces winners for the first time now, and while horses can regress under such circumstances, a number of these are in the same boat; can share.

Race 3

Fierce Boots

Game maiden winner in his only dirt start, at PRX Aug. 31; tried turf and a stakes at BEL Oct. 27, pressed the pace but gave way badly;y down in class and back to dirt, both of which may help a lot; bred to be nice as he's by a HOY and kin to Power Broker (4 wins, $865K, won G1 FrontRunner, G2 Indiana Derby, 2nd in G1 Haskell).

Storm Swept

Came out firing to win her debut at BEL Spet. 18; then slammed into the side of the gate at the start of her Oct. 27 try there, a stakes, and was a non-factor 4th (last); drops in class but she's not offered for a tag, which is nice; note stablemate Fierce Boots worked a lot, lot faster than she did going 4fs Nov. 29 (:49B/:51.20B); 8 of 9 sibs are winner sincluding Changing Weather (6 wins, $331K, SW, G2 SP), Xtra Jack (9 winsd, $199K, multiple SP) and Act Nice (9 wins, $57K).

Summertime Friend

Debut at BEL Oct. 20 was a beaut; $350K son of multiple G1 SW Medaglia d'Oro (also sire of HOY Rachel Alexandra) went right into a duel in that debut, looked in trouble on the far turn but just as quickly grabbed the lead, opened up and won easily, earning a strong Beyer to boot (83); freshened since with good works; lone sib is Indyniable (1 win, $38K).

Ketel Twist

After 3 smart 2nds to start her career, all on turf, she ended up in a BEL race washed off the turf Sept. 22 but flourished, leading all the way to win; off that they tossed her into a turf stakes there Oct. 27, she made a strong, threatening run on the far turn but just as quickly gave way; down in class and back to dirt and maybe that can get her back on track - maybe; lone sib is Catrageous (2 wins, $96K, SW in NoCal).

Alpaca Fina

Easily won her debut at BEL Sept. 20, was claimed for $50K that day by Jacobson, and came back to be a solid 3rd in a stakes there Oct. 27; dropped in class here Nov. 21 and blasted some nice optional claimers; looks very much on her game and Velasquez stays put for a barn going good; 3 of 4 sibs are winners including full-sis Big Brown Brookski (2 wins, $87K).

Winekeeper

Gives Jacobson 2 big looks at this as he also sends out Alpaca Fine; tough beat in her debut at SAR Aug. 29 (2nd, beaten a neck) but she then blasted maidens at BEL Sept. 26; not only did she win easily that day but she got a big Beyer to boot (85); also, Jacobson saw fit to plunk down $75K to claim her, he's 27% off a claim and he returns her for the same price; all that being said, it's first time vs. winners and her first action in over 2 months so there are hurdles, but the way she whipped maidens shows there's ample oomph here, too.

Race 5

Fierce Boots

Game maiden winner in his only dirt start, at PRX Aug. 31; tried turf and a stakes at BEL Oct. 27, pressed the pace but gave way badly;y down in class and back to dirt, both of which may help a lot; bred to be nice as he's by a HOY and kin to Power Broker (4 wins, $865K, won G1 FrontRunner, G2 Indiana Derby, 2nd in G1 Haskell).

Storm Swept

Came out firing to win her debut at BEL Spet. 18; then slammed into the side of the gate at the start of her Oct. 27 try there, a stakes, and was a non-factor 4th (last); drops in class but she's not offered for a tag, which is nice; note stablemate Fierce Boots worked a lot, lot faster than she did going 4fs Nov. 29 (:49B/:51.20B); 8 of 9 sibs are winner sincluding Changing Weather (6 wins, $331K, SW, G2 SP), Xtra Jack (9 winsd, $199K, multiple SP) and Act Nice (9 wins, $57K).

Summertime Friend

Debut at BEL Oct. 20 was a beaut; $350K son of multiple G1 SW Medaglia d'Oro (also sire of HOY Rachel Alexandra) went right into a duel in that debut, looked in trouble on the far turn but just as quickly grabbed the lead, opened up and won easily, earning a strong Beyer to boot (83); freshened since with good works; lone sib is Indyniable (1 win, $38K).

Ketel Twist

After 3 smart 2nds to start her career, all on turf, she ended up in a BEL race washed off the turf Sept. 22 but flourished, leading all the way to win; off that they tossed her into a turf stakes there Oct. 27, she made a strong, threatening run on the far turn but just as quickly gave way; down in class and back to dirt and maybe that can get her back on track - maybe; lone sib is Catrageous (2 wins, $96K, SW in NoCal).

Alpaca Fina

Easily won her debut at BEL Sept. 20, was claimed for $50K that day by Jacobson, and came back to be a solid 3rd in a stakes there Oct. 27; dropped in class here Nov. 21 and blasted some nice optional claimers; looks very much on her game and Velasquez stays put for a barn going good; 3 of 4 sibs are winners including full-sis Big Brown Brookski (2 wins, $87K).

Winekeeper

Gives Jacobson 2 big looks at this as he also sends out Alpaca Fine; tough beat in her debut at SAR Aug. 29 (2nd, beaten a neck) but she then blasted maidens at BEL Sept. 26; not only did she win easily that day but she got a big Beyer to boot (85); also, Jacobson saw fit to plunk down $75K to claim her, he's 27% off a claim and he returns her for the same price; all that being said, it's first time vs. winners and her first action in over 2 months so there are hurdles, but the way she whipped maidens shows there's ample oomph here, too.

Race 6

Ranger's Girl

Showed no preference for the turf in her debut but returns with Lasix and a decent gate blowout for this outing; her sire won 5 of 19 starts and 418K while the dam won 1 of 4 and 7K; winning siblings include local star Evening Attire, who banked 2.97 million.

Mobilize

Strong finish on the green nearly a month ago; her first run on the main might be misinterpreted by bettors as it was an effort which involved an extra wide trip against a blowout winner; worth some follow-up despite surface switch.

Rosedale Arch

Legit excuse to the first run and the extra distance today should work in her favor; her sire won a G1 and 480K overall while the dam won 6 of 28 and 396K; this is her only foal to make it to the races; a square price assured.

Julie Napp

This could prove the right value play despite the fact that she was outfinished by Predicate last time out; her sire is multiple champion Curlin who amassed 10.5 million; the dam won 2 of 10 and 149K and this is her only foal to compete.

Predicate

Invariably rallies for a check and got the right set-up in the last placing (as did the winner of that one); worthy of trifecta inclusion but will be less appealing odds this afternoon; draws a midpack slot today which should help his prospects.

Truly Mizzed

Has shown decent passing gear on the turf; her sire won a G1 and 554K while the dam won 1 of 5 and 46K; there are no winning siblings to mention; switches to apprentice handling and may be able to launch a bid from midpack.

Candy Portena

Yet another turf-to-dirt possibility in this puzzle; this filly's sire was undefeated, a multiple G1 winner who captured 749K; the dam was without a victory in 4 attempts; this is her only foal to make it to the races.

Tiz So Sweet

Exits a soft race where he made a mild middle move before settling for minor spoils; her sire twice won the Breeders' Cup Classic and 6.42 million while the dam was a G2 winner who notched 302K; there are no winning siblings to mention.

Spanish Gold

Disappointed at short odds in both appearances but training track regimen during November shows slow but steady progression; her sire is the brilliant Medaglia d'Oro who won 5.75 million; the dam won 1 of 9 and 20K; sib to G2 Promenade Girl who won 678K.

U. S. S. O'Brien

She has turned in 2 solid efforts while favored; draws favorable outside slot and should be able to secure decent stalking position; her sire won the Belmont Stakes and 1.98 million; the dam was without a tally in 5 tries; sib to 168K earner Elma Lee.

Race 7

Madre Ditutticapi

Can win from on the lead or just off the pace; projects to own the best gate speed in this paceless event then hopes to keep on going; the 3-0-0-0 AQU-Main record is a big drawback; reunites with the rider of her show-turf fade in May; know early but unsure about late.

Miss Da Point

Reunites with the rider of her last victory when posting a career-best Beyer speed figure when rallying from 5th; the runner-up finisher from last Beyered 78 in a next-out AQU-optional-claiming win; her 3-back show finish looks better since the runner-up Beyered 77 in her next-out BEL-35K-claiming win.

So Blessed

Exits her lowest Beyer since March when racing 1st time on AQU dirt; her last few races on wet-main tracks have been far off her best form so willing to excuse latest also coming off a 46-day layoff; the 2-back runner-up posted an 86 speed figure in her next-out BEL-optional-claiming win.

Ecstatic Miss

Another who comes off a dull effort posting her lowest Beyer since March when racing on AQU-Main for the 1st time; her good gate speed displayed in the dirt and turf wins has been missing from recent races; off latest would be a complete surprise.

Garmentos Girl

Won right off the bench scoring 1st off the claim when remvoing the front wraps but liking this AQU-Main oval quite a bit; would need a Beyer boost to land a share vs. these and would have to avenge the 2-back nearly 9-length loss to Trail Walker to post the major upset

Trail Walker

Have to go back to June to see a bad race on her form although was disappointed when she did not blow past the speed when favored in last which was her 1st race ever on AQU dirt; her 1st-blinkered run for this barn is a career-best Beyer but did not follow that up with the same spark for most recent; if fires very best will be hard to handle here.

Girl Code

Cuts back to the shortest-distance test since May not showing much stamina recently in longer events; her field-best Beyer was posted in the mud at longer; had one race over the track November, 2011, finishing evenly vs. the winner who repeated in a PRX alw. with a 91 speed figure.

Broadway Music Gal

Lone-dirt win was her blowout-debut score when sneaking through the claim box; tests open company after competing in 3 straight vs. Empire breds; multipe-win rider sides with Miss Da Point for this; no speed in last 2 races and may need more distance than 6F to get up in time.

Race 8

Cincinnati Kid

The first red flag is fact he was gone for over a year; only in the money once vs. winners and note runner was hung 5 wide in the return; hard to take a positive stance after super dull return.

Uncle Mitcho

Only in the money once since the maiden breaker but it was at this level; the 10/19 winner repeated in a $25K optional with an 87 Beyer; nice try on the cut back in September, but he has regressed since; it's not exactly an endorsement that he broke his maiden for a tag; looking elsewhere for a key top horse.

Noosh's Tale

Two tough beats in the spring in this league indicated he was about ready to take off but he just has been too late of late; 7/20 show horse cashed next out at this level, then was 2nd beaten 3 quarters in a $35K optional; he did close into the slow pace for the lone score; apparently not much of a work horse, look for him late if at all.

Sonnyandpally

Switch to Napravnik did the trick but gelding has not really threatened since; 10/5 winner repeated in a $35K optional, then was out of the money at that same level; the old Florida to New York circuit worked for this guy but he has only been able to match that winning Beyer figure once since; trouble in last pair, clean trip could put him in the exotic mix at least.

Madam I'm Adam

At least he has not been whipped a ton of times; beaten by a 10-1 shot in last but was forced to alter course coming to the 8th pole; he has a right to get the trip as full brother Alright Now took 2 routes; don't be shocked if he is more on the muscle going long here; primed.

Hooked Forever

Soph got to drifting but he ran solidly in last; it took him what seemed like forever to graduate but the 10/3 effort gives him a valid shot to run big today; at least he drilled once since last race and he has a shot to get the trip as half bro Stellars Theory was a double route winner; last angle to think about: this rider was up for the win.

Mississippi Duel

Colt has a penchant for finding the wire; nice ride last time to slow it down early and just have enough in the tank; runner handles any kind of going and although he has natural speed, he doesn t need the lead to win; rates long look right back.

Gamblin Fever

Four for 72 is a tough number to bet into with any degree of confidence; hung wide on the sealed good track in last and he does have a tendency to break poorly; note wraps were added last time; try to get a good look at him on the track before taking a swing.

Toy Cannon

Gelding has earned a decent living with just one win; he s been around the wire in this league a few times and paused because of traffic coming to the 8th pole in last, settled, kicked but it was too late; runner has been consistent with the Beyers vs. winners between 75 and 79; contention goes long.

Sunlover

Pushed into the stakes after the maiden breaker and has not been able to close the deal this year; nice try on the cut back in last but he did have dead aim at the top of the lane; key off the Saratoga debut and he rates an upset glance today.

Chrisandlorisposse

Some like this kind of play figuring the runner now has a confidence builder to build on but he didn t lose 9 in a row because he s a quick study; his tactical speed is a plus but note he was getting a little late in last; would be careful here.

Alcolite

Soph freaked on the inner for the lone score but that was awhile ago; best when put into the race early but he caught legit splits in last pair; place horse in last took a $14K optional next out; the winner repeated in a $125K stakes; a slice may be the ceiling here.

Mike and Rob

Only beat 4 home in this league two back; gelding took a little action but up for sale in last but could not quicken when it counted; would expect him to thrive when sent against claimers.

Grahamandwithers

Runner has some semblance of speed but there are others that have ideas about the top; fit enough to at least drill on the 25th but would tend to wait until he shows a sign that he can rumble with winners.

Wise Guide

Beaten over 54 lengths the last 2 times in this league; even on the drop in for a tag last time, fans didn t bite to the tune of 34-1 and runner was getting late when it counted; never simple to give up 10 or 12 lengths early and get it done.

Saturday Appeal

Needed slop, blinks and 5 foes for the lone win; he was 3 clear in last but was dead last in allowance company in May; will at least muddle the pace if he suits up.

Race 9

Quiet Value

Gray hasn't been a threat in any of his 9 big priced starts and he was sent to post at 91-1 in his most recent trip try over the track; barn and the returning pilot are both winless on the year; looms a longshot again in this spot.

Political Farce

Beaten chalk at the shore was given some time off that non-effort in which he showed little of his usual early interest; maybe the break severd him well for a barn that brings them back at a nice clip, but he'll take a big drop in price here and his stamina wasn't one of his strong points earlier in the year; class relief makes him a threat at this level but prefer to side with others on the win end.

Proper Impulse

Hood goes on for the turn back after a weak try going long at Parx; gelding makes his local debut for his cheapest price yet and he has shown he can sprint a little at times; his last couple haven't been very good but if the new equipment and change of scenery agree with him he can get in the mix here.

Mi Hijo

He's another dropper after having little impact from the rail draw in his local debut; gelding earned numbers out West that would make him tough in here and maybe it is the class relief that makes the difference, but he's already had his share of chances; contender.

Harry Consolidator

First part of the coupling has yet to hit the board in 22 starts and he'll make his return from better than half a year on the bench in this one; his local main track spins were weak and the barn has won just once this year; can't make a case for him going with these regardless of price.

Gridiron Great

Fresh sophomore tries dirt for the first time since his weak debut effort against Gulfstream MSWs last winter; he's shown quite a bit more on the green since that unveiling, but both of his sibs are main track sprint winners and maybe he's just a better animal now than he was when last on dirt; giving him the nod to beat these home.

Brass Pear

Statebred is offered for a tag as he moves in with open company for the surface switch; gelding did show some speed in his last couple on the green but he's had very little to offer in the lane; have to pass on him in this spot.

Moonlite Encounter

Other half of the entry has also been little short of terrible in 9 career starts; barn has won just once this year and this guy went to post at 109-1 at the level last time; with another new pilot getting aboard we can only watch this big price.

Comax Cat

Didn't do a lot of running in his local debut from the outside draw at the level; dam was a multiple SP sprinter and 89K earner; maybe he's better with the initial experience in him and all 3 of his sibs to race are sprint winners; pedigree also suggests a wet track would move him up.

Papa Doc

Speedy turfer drops in price for his return to the main track; he'll get a weight break with the solid bug named and this outfit boasts terrific numbers with runners switching surfaces; worth a look from out here.