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Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 2/7
Kevin Plowcha's analysis of the Saturday 2/7 card at Woodbine Mohawk Park.
Kevin PlowchaFeb 05, 2026
Kevin Plowcha's analysis of the Saturday 2/7 card at Woodbine Mohawk Park.
Fdd Dreams clinched the title of 2025 World Champion with a nose win in the $700,000 Champion of Champions at Los Alamitos in December. To start his 2026 season, the now 4-year-old Fdd Dreams will be favored in a 440-yard race worth half as much, Saturday’s $350,000 Championship at Sunland Park.
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With champion Ted Noffey sidelined through the spring and with all due respect to Nearly, a dominant winner of last weekend's Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes, the best 3-year-old in trainer Todd Pletcher's barn may be a filly. Zany, a daughter of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, has been crazy good winning her first two starts by a combined 15 lengths. Anything short of a victory in Saturday's $125,000 Suncoast Stakes Saturday at Tampa Bay Downs would be a surprise.
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His maiden status notwithstanding, Renegade is very much the horse to beat in Saturday's Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs. Renegade is one of three maidens in the nine-horse Sam Davis, a race advertised as having a $250,000 purse, though $50,000 of that is reserved only for Florida-breds. Of more importance, perhaps, is the 42 qualifying points the Sam Davis offers its top five finishers (20-10-6-4-2) toward the May 2 Kentucky Derby.
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The field for the $125,000 Valdale Stakes is short, with just six 3-year-old fillies entered for the sprint. It could be spicy, with a couple of candidates to hook up on the lead. All but two of the entrants, Believe in Magic and Coco Connect, will be making their stakes debut, but shipper The Town Tempter has already shown the credentials to challenge.
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Luke Middlebrook's Hong Kong Selections and Analysis for Saturday, February 7, 2026, at Sha Tin.
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The $100,000 Sweet Life Stakes at Santa Anita on Saturday marks an experiment in the career of two-time dirt stakes winner Himika. The Sweet Life is run at about 6 1/2 furlongs on the hillside turf course for 3-year-old fillies.
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El Potente chased a fast pace in the Grade 2 Joe Hernandez Stakes for turf sprinters on Dec. 29 before fading to finish fourth. In Saturday's Grade 3 Thunder Road Stakes at a mile on turf at Santa Anita, El Potente is expected to set a much slower pace and may have ample energy to carry that advantage to the finish.
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Straight Arron (135lb) must overcome a hefty impost in Sunday’s (8 February) HK$4.2 million G3 Centenary Vase Handicap (1800m) at Sha Tin, but trainer David Hayes believes the step back in grade can prove to be a decisive factor for the contest’s highest-rated runner.
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The first major sprint for fillies and mares in winter at Santa Anita has a new name and a new standout. Splendora, romping winner of the Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint at Del Mar, makes her 2026 debut Saturday as a potential slam dunk in the Grade 2, seven-furlong D. Wayne Lukas Stakes.