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Betfair Hollywood Park

A $616,000 carryover, and no clear single

Brad Free|May 22, 2006

INGLEWOOD, Calif. - A weekend of longshot winners in the pick six has generated a whopping two-day carryover of $616,240 into an otherwise ordinary card Wednesday at Hollywood Park.

Three maiden races, two claiming races, and a starter allowance are included in the pick-six sequence (races 3-8). Is it a big deal? Well, yes. Bettors historically wager five times the amount of the Southern California carryover coming off a weekend. The $3 million expected Wednesday would create the largest pick-six pool of the meet.

The challenge for horseplayers is to structure a pick-six ticket on a sequence that does not include an obvious single. That is, unless bettors are brave enough to stand alone in the first leg.

Race 3 is starter allowance for horses who won their maiden for a $40,000 tag or lower, and could be loose on the lead in the 1 1/8-mile turf race. He stretches out after a runner-up finish in a downhill sprint, and while he picks up seven pounds, he benefits from a jockey switch to Patrick Valenzuela. Blind Harry's two main rivals are chronic losers with creditable speed figures.

Where's My Halo has finished second four straight times; Casual Thunder is a 7-year-old with one win from 21 starts. Blind Harry can win on the lead, but if he is unable to stay nine furlongs, Where's My Halo or Casual Thunder can win from behind.

Race 4 is a $40,000 maiden claimer for California-breds at 5 1/2 furlongs. , first time in for a claiming tag, is the one to catch. His rivals include Purple Slurple, third in a promising debut at Turf Paradise, and fast-working firster South Swell.

Race 5 is a maiden special weight at 5 1/2 furlongs on turf, and the favorite will live or die on the lead. Front-runner has cracked three times on dirt, and meets more speed Wednesday in his first try on turf. His pace rivals include Jaygreg, Joe Market, and firster Ellwood and Jake.

Rateau also must overcome a disadvantageous draw (post 9) with the temporary rails out at 15 feet. Twelve of the 80 runners who broke from posts 1-5 have won turf sprints at the meet. Only 4 of the 66 runners who broke from posts 6-12 have won turf sprints at the meet.

If Rateau is compromised by pace and post, Show Host could upset. He raced greenly and finished second in his debut. Show Host is trained by John Sadler, whose maidens typically improve with racing.

Race 6 is a $12,500 claiming route for fillies and mares, and stretches out and drops in class for leading trainer Jeff Mullins (12 for 41). Strictly Legit's main rivals include Honor Spirit, Rude Behavior, and longshot front-runner Hearditherefirst.

Race 7 is a $50,000 claiming race at 1 1/16 miles on turf for 3-year-old fillies. ships in from Gulfstream Park for trainer Mike Mitchell, who won two races last week with Florida shippers. Confederate Lady's maiden win one back puts her in the hunt. Her rivals include dropper Helmsgold, Arizona shipper River Lane (a winner 5 of her last 6), and maiden Andover the Cash.

Race 8 is a 4 1/2-furlong sprint for California 2-year-old fillies, and if first-time starter runs as fast as her dam, she can win. Sired by Broken Vow, the cleverly named Prenuptial is the first foal produced by rocketship Global Finance, who won three California stakes at age 2. Prenuptial has worked well for trainer Ben Cecil.

Swiss Rose earned a low 44 Beyer Figure in her fifth-place debut, but improvement is almost guaranteed. Trained by Mike Harrington, Swiss Rose is a full sister to multiple winners My Honey Bunny, Swiss Address, and Cleartalker, all of whom improved 29 points or more in their second career start at age 2. First-time starter Chamayo debuts for trainer Jean-Pierre Dupuis, who is 3 for 9 with debut juveniles the past five years.

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