Handicapping

McGee: How I'll play Saratoga on Sunday, July 23

Trainer Danny Gargan has two entries on the 11-race Sunday card at Saratoga, and both were easy winners last out. Gargan shows a 30 percent strike rate with last-out winners (29 for 84), and I’ll give both horses a big chance when using them on opposite ends of pick-three wagers. They’re the must-win cornerstones in my first two plays of the day.

Free: How I'll Play Del Mar Saturday, July 22nd

DEL MAR, Calif. – Want to back a winner on Saturday at Del Mar? The odds-on favorite looks tough in the ninth race. Thankfully, several races offer more value than Arrogate in the TVG San Diego Handicap. Here is a look at four appealing options.

TimeformUS Saratoga Horses in Focus for Saturday, July 22, 2017

Race 8:
Browse (#7)

Had a nightmare of a trip last time – was taken too far off the pace and buried inside before encountering traffic late.
Is bred to handle turf as a half-sister to Grade 1-winning turfer Imagining.
Is predicted to be on or near the lead early, which is her preferred running style.
12-1 on ML

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, July 22, 2017, by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore

Where do we start? How about a very good lesson in “How to Fry Your Mount,” which was exactly what happened with our 2-year-old Pick last week as Beyond Ambition blew the doors off the gate and flew to a speed fueled lead, only to stop on a dime at the eighth pole to finish fourth. Meanwhile, our “gimmick play,” and race favorite Cause We Are Loyal, saved the day at $5.40. Then, in a truly bizarre race, our 3-year-old Pick, Kai Nalu, gave them fits before she loaded and the horse in the next stall refused to break, causing our horse to stop and then go, trailing the field by many lengths until she started to finally roll to miss by a neck and nose for second. Tab her back at seven furlongs to a mile, if they can straighten her out. Eight 3-year-old BreezeFigs maidens won last week at Belmont (two), Belterra, Delaware, Del Mar (BreezeFigs exacta), Los Alamitos, Parx and Penn National. Seven 2-year-olds broke their maidens at  Del Mar (two, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Ellis (BreezeFigs exacta), Laurel, Los Alamitos (two) and Presque Isle.  In addition, winners of both stakes for 2-year-old at Belmont Park were BreezeFigs horses in their second starts, right there on our card. Saturday's cards are a complete challenge but we have found a race on each card where there may be a chance to make a buck, see below. Good luck!

TimeformUS Saratoga Horses in Focus for Friday, July 21, 2017

Race 1:

Flash Trading (#2)
Was compromised by a moderate pace last time in a race that was won on the front end.
Has faced better fields in most of his recent starts.
Won at this distance over this racetrack last season.
15-1 on ML
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Why takeout matters

Among serious horseplayers, takeout, or the amount of money taken out of every bet, is a four-letter word. But how big a concern is it for the average player? Given its economic impact on anyone’s winnings, it should be high on the list of factors to consider for anyone making a wager.

TimeformUS Speed Figure Report for week ending July 16, 2017

Each week, TimeformUS Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski takes a look back at the weekend’s graded stakes and releases the TimeformUS Speed Figures for these races.

Delaware

Grade 1 Delaware Handicap

1/2    133

1m    122

Fin    121

Top 3: Songbird 121, Martini Glass 120, Line of Best Fit 117

Note: Songbird improved from 116 in 2017 debut but did not look impressive visually; track has been on slow side all year

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