Handicapping

TimeformUS Speed Figure Report for week ending Sept. 24, 2017

Each week, TimeformUS Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski takes a look back at the weekend’s graded stakes and releases the TimeformUS Speed Figures for these races.

Parx

Grade 1 Pennsylvania Derby

1/2    141

3/4    138

Fin    129

Top 3: West Coast 132, Irap 122, Giuseppe the Great 119

King: Remington Park pick four for Oklahoma Derby Night

Here’s my handicapping analysis and wagering strategy for the late $100,000-guaranteed pick four on Sunday at Remington Park, a sequence that includes all stakes, including the meet’s highlight, the Grade 3 Oklahoma Derby.

Race 9, Ricks Memorial

Although this race drew a field of 12, it doesn’t appear particularly contentious. Gianna’s Dream (1) stands out on form and recent speed figures and is favorably drawn on the inside in this 1 1/16-mile turf race. Plus, she is a two-time winner on turf at Remington.

TimeformUS Belmont Park Horses in Focus for Sunday, Sept. 24, 2017

Race 1:
Baby Bear’s Soup (#1)

David Jacobson’s runners have been running well in the first three weeks of the Belmont fall meet.
Has been in great form since returning from the short layoff this summer.
DRF Formulator Fact: Over the past five years, David Jacobson is 34 for 116 (29 percent, $2.60 ROI) with horses moving from turf to scheduled dirt sprints, excluding off-the-turf races.
5-2 on ML

Hong Kong Selections for Sunday, September 24th

Brett Davis:                                                   

R1 - 1-3-6-8

R2 - 8-3-9-11

R3 - 2-11-8-1

R4 - 13-1-7-12

R5 - 3-2-6-1

R6 - 4-5-3-2

R7 - 6-5-2-13

R8 - 1-3-2-6

R9 - 3-11-10-5

R10 - 6-10-1-12

Best Bet - R7 N6   Master Albert  

Longshot - R2 N11   Great Sky

Best - Play - R2   Trio   8/1,3,9,11

Bernier: How I'll play Belmont Park on Saturday, Sept. 23

Saturday’s card at Belmont Park features two graded stakes races, the Grade 3 Nobel Damsel and the Grade 2 Kelso. The Nobel Damsel is carded as the third race on a 10-race program, and I’ll look to close out the early pick three with a single in there.

Hammersly: Oak Tree at Pleasanton pick four for Sunday, Sept. 24

A sharp Southern California raider may prove to be your linchpin in the first leg of Sunday’s pick four (races 6-9) at Oak Tree at Pleasanton. If she can do the expected (likely at a short price, unfortunately), spreading in the second leg, a very tough distaff sprint, may help you snag a price.

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