03/11/2015 10:43AM

Kentucky Derby: Who's Hot, Who's Not for March 11

Barbara D. Livingston
Materiality is one of six runners trainer Todd Pletcher has on the Derby Watch top 20.

Todd Pletcher. With both Materiality and Royal Son joining the Derby Watch top 20 this week, Pletcher now has six runners on the list, headed by Carpe Diem, who won the Tampa Bay Derby last week. Materiality is 20-1 on the Kentucky Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper. Royal Son is 30-1. The only other newcomer to the top 20 is Bolo, who finished third in the San Felipe. He is 20-1. Dortmund, who won the San Felipe, remains the favorite but is now just 5-1 after being 6-1 a week ago. Carpe Diem, 12-1 last week, is now the co-second choice with American Pharoah at 8-1. Prospect Park, the San Felipe runner-up, saw his price cut in half, to 15-1 from 30-1. Gotham winner El Kabeir is down to 20-1 after being 30-1 last week.

:: DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | American Pharoah's return adds fuel to fire

The Pletcher-trained Khozan was one of the defections from last week, owing to injury. Two others – Ocean Knight and Ocho Ocho Ocho – were removed for disappointing performances. Ocho Ocho Ocho had a dreadful trip in the San Felipe but will have just one more chance to add to the 10 points he got in the Delta Jackpot, and that will come in a deep Santa Anita Derby that should include the top three from the San Felipe. The price on Texas Red continues to float up. Because of recently missing time with a foot abscess, he is now 20-1 after being 12-1 last week.

Ami’s Flatter, second in the Tampa Bay Derby, was among those who just missed the cut. The Truth Or Else, scheduled to face American Pharoah in the Rebel on Saturday, could move onto the list with a sharp performance. Dubai-based runners Maftool and Mubtaahij also are knocking on the door.

:: ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays