02/26/2014 1:06PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for Feb. 26, 2014

Tom Keyser
Wildcat Red (right) and jockey Luis Saez win the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes by a head over General a Rod and jockey Javier Castellano last Saturday at Gulfstream Park.


With the point values of Kentucky Derby preps having risen fivefold last weekend, there figured to be wholesale changes coming out of the Fountain of Youth and Risen Star stakes, and there were, with five newcomers to the Derby Watch top 20: Wildcat Red , General a Rod, Intense Holiday, Albano, and Constitution.

Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form ’s national handicapper, has both Wildcat Red and General a Rod at 15-1 on his future line. Constitution debuts on the list at 20-1, with Intense Holiday at 25-1 and Albano at 30-1.

Top Billing, third as the favorite in the Fountain of Youth behind Wildcat Red and General a Rod, was raised by Watchmaker to 8-1 from last week’s 6-1. Midnight Hawk (20-1 from 15-1), Vicar’s in Trouble (30-1 from 20-1), and Samraat (30-1 from 25-1) also saw their prices tick up.

[DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | [Jockeys play musical chairs with Derby mounts]


To make room for five newcomers, five were dropped from the Derby Watch top 20 – Bond Holder, Commissioner, Indianapolis, Noble Moon, and Rise Up – either for disappointing performances, a lack of points, inactivity, or a combination thereof.


Constitution forged his way onto the list with his allowance victory at Gulfstream last week. The two horses immediately behind him, Tonalist and Mexikoma, just missed the cut.

Harpoon, forced off the list last week to make room for those with more points, could muscle his way back onto the list with a strong performance Saturday in the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct, which, like the Fountain of Youth and Risen Star, offers 50 points to the winner, 20 for second, 10 for third, and 5 for fourth.