04/03/2013 4:36PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for April 3

Andrew Watkins
Lines of Battle, with Ryan Moore riding, takes the UAE Derby.


Lines of Battle, winner of the United Arab Emirates Derby, is one of three additions to this week's Derby Watch top 20. He earned 100 points toward the May 4 Kentucky Derby, guaranteeing a berth in the 20-horse field. The other newcomers are Mylute, who was second to Revolutionary in the Louisiana Derby, and Power Broker, a Grade 1 winner at 2 who will be making his first start of the year in the Santa Anita Derby this Saturday. All three are 30-1 on the Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form's national handicapper. Orb, who won the Florida Derby, is now 6-1 after being 8-1 a week ago. Revolutionary was cut to 8-1 from last week's 10-1. They are the second and third choices, respectively, behind Verrazano, who is scheduled to have his final Derby prep in the Wood Memorial on Saturday at Aqueduct.


Three horses were dropped from the list: Code West, Palace Malice, and last year's Eclipse Award-winning 2-year-old male, Shanghai Bobby, who was removed from Derby consideration after finishing fifth in the Florida Derby. Code West was outrun in the Louisiana Derby. Palace Malice, who had a rough trip in the Louisiana Derby, will get one last shot to earn Derby points in the Blue Grass Stakes on April 13 at Keeneland. But, until then, others are adjudged more deserving of being in the top 20.


Super Ninety Nine just missed the cut this week, with Power Broker being preferred by the Derby Watch brain trust. Super Ninety Nine can get back on the list, however, if he rebounds with a strong performance in the Santa Anita Derby, which also features Tiz a Minister. At Aqueduct, Mr Palmer is among those who could leap into the list with a one-two finish in the Wood.

[ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays]