04/19/2017 12:46PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for April 19

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Lookin at Lee, at 30-1, is back on the Derby Watch top 20.

WHO’S HOT

Lookin At Lee, a member of the original Derby Watch top 20 two months ago, finished well to be third in the Arkansas Derby and has moved back onto the list as the lone new member of this week’s top 20. He is 30-1 on the Kentucky Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper. Classic Empire, who won the Arkansas Derby, is the new favorite on Watchmaker’s line at 5-1 after being the fourth choice at 12-1 last week. Always Dreaming, last week’s favorite, is now the second choice at 6-1.

:: DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | DERBY WATCH: On the outside looking in - but not for long

WHO’S NOT

Malagacy, who finished fifth in the Arkansas Derby, was removed from the top 20. He has enough points to run in the Derby and has yet to officially be removed from consideration for the race, but just as the Derby Watch executive committee did last week with Cloud Computing, we are operating under the assumption that when all is said and done, he will not run.

ON THE BUBBLE

With every prep now having been run, those seeking to forge their way onto the list are at the mercy of the points list. As of Wednesday, assuming both Cloud Computing and Malagacy end up bypassing the race, next up would be Sonneteer, then Royal Mo, both of whom are intended runners if they can get in.

:: ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays, and analysis

Maynard Runkle 6 days ago
I believe this year there are more very good, well matched horses and not as many who don't belong.  The times have been no slower than usual.  
John 6 days ago
If you guys along the "right coast " havent seen maybe the best 3 yr old so far, she might be a filly named Paradise Cove, a Mandella trainee. Mandella is ultra conservative (in a good way ) so I would expect her to run on the Friday in the Oaks .............................go watch her last 2 replays , 2nd coming of Beholder ?
Lawrence MacSelwiney 6 days ago
I've been paying close attention to her. She ran fast, really fast in her last start. She was loose on the lead, but looked like a million dollars in the post parade and ran like it.
Eric Potvin 6 days ago
Paradise Woods????
Ronald de la Gardelle 6 days ago
That's right PARADISE WOODS, my mistake.
Ronald de la Gardelle 6 days ago
Totally agree with Paradise Cove! I was there in person and told my brother, " You just watched the Kentucky Oaks winner." She was easily 7 lengths better than the boys running in the Santa Anita Derby that day. A mile workout in 136.08 under wraps. 
harvey 5 days ago
Run with that feeling, Ron.  I had the same experience at Del Mar in 
2001 watching a 2YO filly, Tempera, win an allowance or minor juvenile stake with a powerful, almost effortless stretch run, and turning to my [clueless] pals said: You have just seen the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies winner!  They indeed had, and she indeed won, at almost 12 to 1, in stakes record time of 1:41.49 for the mile and a sixteenth (still the second fastest time!), paid $25.80! (and headed a $768 exacta with her 54-1 Godolphin stablemate Imperial Gesture!!)   Run with it, Ron, it just may be “the” feeling.
harvey 5 days ago
but get the name thing straightened out!!
Timothy TJ Trahey 7 days ago
Sonneteer ...,.come on baby. 
Chas 7 days ago
Pretty weak Derby 'Who's Hot, Who's Not' Report....plus didn't anyone think that Malagasy was going to flatten out in the stretch after the Rebel Stakes...
Rusty Hale 7 days ago
Always dreaming, seems to be a little under the radar, hmmmmm!!
John Stahl 7 days ago
"The Derby Watch executive committee"?  Come on Jay, it's you and Mike!
Rusty Hale 7 days ago
Thats a good one!