Sun, 01/01/2017 - 14:35

TimeformUS Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Monday, Jan. 2, 2017

Race 3:
Jet Majesty
(#6)
The TimeformUS Pace Projector predicts she’ll be racing up front early in a situation favoring the leaders.
Has run plenty of competitive speed figures on dirt.
DRF Formulator Fact: David Jacobson is 21 for 63 with a $2.63 ROI when his horses are going from turf to dirt first off the claim.
8-1 on ML
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Sun, 01/01/2017 - 11:24

Sunday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Two viable alternatives to a vulnerable Championofthenile

Aqueduct | Race 8 | Post Time 3:50 p.m. (ET) | Go To The TimeformUS PPs 

Linda Rice’s talented gelding Championofthenile is clearly the horse to beat, but it’s fair to wonder whether we’re going to see his best performance in his first start back off a lengthy layoff. Furthermore, he’s going to have to deal with pace pressure from True Bet as well as potential speeds Giantinthemoonlite and Big Zip. While I’ll use this favorite defensively, I see two viable alternatives at decent prices.

Sun, 01/01/2017 - 08:29

How I'll play Santa Anita for Sunday, Jan. 1

The New Year's Day card features Arrogate as he starts a heavy favorite in the Grade 2 San Pasqual Stakes. That race doesn't seem like an appetizing betting proposition, and the uncertain weather and resulting track conditions could affect the scheduled turf races.

Thus, I'll plan on playing very lightly and focus on two horses that should run well, rain or shine.

Race 5 - Claiming
Got Even (3):
 5-1 morning line, 6-1 value line

Sat, 12/31/2016 - 15:41

Hong Kong selections for Sunday, Jan. 1, 2017

SHA TIN SELECTIONS

(Sunday, Jan. 1, 2017)

Brett Davis - Selections
Race 1: 7-2-6-13
Race 2: 2-5-10-4
Race 3: 2-7-9-4
Race 4: 5-4-7-10
Race 5: 11-6-4-8
Race 6: 1-12-3-10
Race 7: 7-6-5-2
Race 8: 2-1-5-3
Race 9: 4-9-13-14
Race 10: 3-11-7-13
Race 11: 5-3-6-2

Sat, 12/31/2016 - 14:27

TimeformUS Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, Jan. 1, 2017

Race 4

Ransom Note (#2)

Was badly compromised by trouble at the start of his debut.

Linda Rice gets a 100 TimeformUS Trainer Rating with second-time starters.

Has the pedigree to be decent as a half-brother to graded stakes winner Teeth of the Dog.

7-2 on ML

Race 8

Celtic Chaos (#2)

Has been hindered by unfavorable pace scenarios in his last two starts.

Should get more pace to close into in this race.

Sat, 12/31/2016 - 10:34

Santa Anita analysis for Monday, Jan. 2, 2017

BEST BET: Ashley's Charms (1st race)

First Race
1. Ashley's Charms 2. My Pi Romancer 3. Radish

Sat, 12/31/2016 - 10:31

Golden Gate analysis for Monday, Jan. 2, 2017

BEST BET: Jami Racer (3rd race)

First Race
1. Mojave Desert 2. Wake 3. En Avant

Sat, 12/31/2016 - 09:44

King: Gulfstream Park pick four for Saturday, Dec. 31

A number of wide-open turf contests make many of the multirace wagers at Gulfstream attractive on Saturday, and in the end, I settled on a pick four that begins with the eighth race. What follows is an analysis of the sequence and a TicketMaker play.

Race 8

Fri, 12/30/2016 - 18:26

TimeformUS Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Saturday, Dec. 31, 2016

Race 3:

Grumpelstiltskin (#5)

Recorded the highest TimeformUS Speed Figure in the field.

Was off about a length slowly before rushing up last time.

Forced the pace to collapse in a race dominated by closers.

5-1 on ML

Race 4:

Jan’s Reserve (#4)

Fri, 12/30/2016 - 12:53

Free: How I'd play Santa Anita for Saturday, Dec. 31

The most appealing wagering opportunities on an expected rainy Saturday at Santa Anita are sandwiched smack in the middle of the program – a low-level claiming filly at 10-1, and a stretch-out maiden at 8-1.

The card includes three stakes with good horses at unattractive odds. Jimmy Bouncer is poised to win the Midnight Lute Stakes (race 3), but 5-2 in a small field is no bargain. Similarly, Arles is legit in the Robert J. Frankel Stakes (race 4), but 2-1 is low.