Race 1:
Hello Holiday (#7)
Comes out of a live maiden race on the dirt.
Has plenty of turf breeding on both his sire's and dam's sides.
Mike Hushion gets a 100 TimeformUS Trainer Rating with second-time starters.
5-1 on ML
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DRF Past Performances
Kentucky Derby winners often are well backed in the Preakness, but they have been deserving of their mutuel support. Ten of the last 20 Preakness Stakes have been won by the Derby winner, with seven other Preakness winners being beaten runners from the Derby.
ALWAYS DREAMING was dominant in the winning the Derby, albeit with a smooth trip, but as a horse with controllable speed (at least in the afternoons), that isn’t unusual. Sure, he is a keen horse in the mornings, but it seems best to attribute that to him simply being a good-feeling horse.
Saturday’s Preakness might simply be a matter of Always Dreaming just being that much better than everyone else. He certainly was when he won the Kentucky Derby.
Always Dreaming’s superiority in the Derby goes beyond the fact that after being involved in a strong early pace, he ran away from his 19 opponents to score by a decisive 2 3/4 lengths. A deeper appreciation of how good Always Dreaming really was two weeks ago is gained when you consider how soundly beaten the six others involved in the early pace were. Here they are, with their margins of defeat:
When a fresh face to the Triple Crown arrives on the scene at the Preakness, there is always a degree of interest, with people wondering, “Is this perhaps the horse who can beat the Kentucky Derby winner?”
Yet far more often than not over the past 20 years, these new shooters have been horses to avoid in the win betting for the Preakness. Since 1997, just three Preakness winners did not race in the Kentucky Derby: Red Bullet in 2000, Bernardini in 2006, and the filly Rachel Alexandra in 2009.
Wed, 05/17/2017 - 13:03
Belmont | Race 8 | Post Time 5:13 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
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Race 4
Summer of Joy (#3)
Likely favorite Zuzanna is trained by Graham Motion, who does poorly with runners dropping form allowance to claiming company.
Got a peculiar ride last time, getting taken too far back off the pace early before racing greenly late.
Should be more forwardly placed this time in a race lacking much speed.
10-1 on morning line
Race 5
Louisiana Lady (#7)
Ran her best race sprinting on turf as a 2-year-old and may have improved since then.
Each week, TimeformUS Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski takes a look back at the weekend’s graded stakes and releases the TimeformUS Speed Figures for these races.
Belmont
Grade 1 Man o’ War Stakes
1/2 113
1m 115
Fin 128
Top 3: Zhukova 136, Taghleeb 124, Sadler’s Joy 125
As we head into Preakness week, I’m hoping the last few weeks have me well prepared for the task ahead.
Studies have shown that when a person does well and gets complimented, his performance tails off the next time out. When a person does poorly and gets reprimanded, the opposite occurs, and performance is improved. An example of this theory for me was Saturday, April 29, and Derby Day, May 16. Both dates had pressure, but I performed markedly better on April 29.