Hawthorne Harness: Sunday 9/15 Analysis

Best Bets: 5-13 / $30.80 (+$8.20)
Best Bet: LOUSRAPTOR (3rd)
Spot Play: BIG EXPENSE (5th)
Early P4 – 8 with 1,5,7,8 with 6,7,8 with 3,4,8 = $18
Late P4 – 2,3,5,7 with 10 with 4,5,6,7,8,10 with 6 = $12
Race 1 – Two-Year-Old Fillies
(1) TROPICAL TRACEY owns multiple wins against better on the year and will offer the best price of the contenders. (3) FOX VALLEY BRISTOL morning line favorite picks up the top driver facing softer. (5) JUNE DALE GRAM flashed good ability a few starts back. (7) POOTIE CAT filly has hit the board in two straight but needs more to threaten the top spot.
Race 2 – 6000 Claimer
(3) HOLDONWE’REROLLING drops back in for the tag and has been close against better. (6) NATIVE’S BEST BET has been much-improved in the new barn and shows good closing ability in four straight. (2) ATOKA MILLIONAIRE veteran pacer should be in line for a nice trip up close at a big price. (1) LIL ORPHAN ELMER will look to make in four wins in six starts at this level.
Race 3 – Night of Champions Series- Leg 4 ICF 3-yr-old trotting Colts
(8) LOUSRAPTOR looks to make it four straight wins before heading into the final. (4) LOUSCARDAMON gelding is one of few in the race fast enough to pull the upset but needs to mind his manners. (3) FRONTIER MANARD takes a big step up in class looking to make it five straight wins. (1) TRIXIE’S TURBO could be due for a better effort this week starting from the rail.
Race 4 - FM 4000 Claimer/AE 6000Claimer
(8) HARD HEADED WOMEN is capable when right and will offer a big price in a wide-open race. (5) SUMMER PARTY pacing mare has been ultra-consistent on the year. (1) MISS TENNESSEE beat a better group three back; threat. (7) NEDDY NUMBER THREE filly fits in with this group and just needs a decent setup for a piece.
Race 5 - NW5000L4
(7) BIG EXPENSE owns good gate speed and will offer a big price. (8) DOUBLE A CASH HALL was an easy winner at this level two back. (6) OH SO PINE has been knocking on the door in recent efforts. (2) ITS CHOCOLATE TIME faces tougher this week and would need more to hit the top spot.
Race 6 – FM 4000 Claimer/AE 6000Claimer
(8) DUNE DAME pacing mare looks to make in four wins in six starts and might offer better value this week with the top driver opting elsewhere. (3) FINLEYS FILLY adds second-time Lasix and was the top driver’s choice. (4) ROBERTS NEW LIFE has been pacing up a storm late in three straight; threat. (5) KZ KOOL DESIRE could be closer turning for home this week; use underneath.
Race 7 – FM NW3000L4
(5) LOOK KIMBO just missed at this level two back and will offer a big price. (1) STONEBRIDGE PEARL gets sent out for a hot barn with the best post. (6) OVER SPEEDING has been competitive against better on the year and keeps the top driver. (7) UNBROKEN CIRCLE is fast enough to compete with this group but did falter against weaker last race.
Race 8 - NW2/10000 Lifetime-**$30K GTD Pick 4**
(7) AMERICANBOY drew off to a lifetime mark last week. The 3-year-old gets a negative driver change but that could boost the price. (3) ALWAYS A LAW sophomore pacer faces much softer this week; big chance. (2) ALWAYS PARTY TIME faces much tougher this week; command a price. (5) EVCO LANE gelding has made big moves in two straight. If the 3-year-old gets an ideal setup he can sweep past late.
Race 9 – NW1500L4/AE NW3/25000 Lifetime
(10) PEPIN COOLIE was sharp last week from an outside post. A repeat of that effort makes it two straight. (9) LETSGOFORITALL closed a lot of ground from far back last week. (7) KRISTY’SGINGERGAL is probably the fastest trotter in the race but has breaking issues. (3) JUDY THE BEAUTY has just been racing evenly; use underneath.
Race 10 - NW2500L4
(5) TWOMACSONEMACH gets sent out for a hot barn in a tough race to gauge. (4) ROYALE BIG GUY owns a win at this level on the year and just needs a trouble free trip for a big piece. (7) LIMITED EDITION doesn’t win often but has been competitive against slightly better. (6) BEST MAN HANOVER owns tons of back class and is capable of beating this group with a good effort.
Race 11 – NW2/125000 Lifetime
(6) MICHONNE filly is very talented and appears to be getting better with every start; short price (3) ROCKYROAD ALDO sophomore trotter is one of few threats to the top choice in the field and stayed flat in the qualifier. (2) LIL GATOR owns gate speed and could be in a good spot turning for home. (5) CINDER NORMA should be in line for a ground saving trip before shaking loose late; use underneath. (8) THIS MAN RAPS gets sent out for a capable barn off a win against weaker.