Harrah's Philadelphia: Analysis for Wednesday 12/16

2020 Statistics (through Nov. 15 – 86 days)
Top Selections – Overall:
Win %: 450 for 1,194 (37.7%) ITM: 847 for 1,194 (70.9%)
Win Dividends: $1,988.10 - $2 ROI: $1.67
Pick 4: 5,7 / 4,5,6 / 2,5 / 2,6,7,8 ($24)
Best Bet: Springbridge Proud (Race 1)
Spot Play: Piraeus (Race 12)

Race 1 - Claiming $10,000

6 - SPRINGBRIDGE PROUD looks for a fifth straight score and was favoured in all, with the last three at this level. Dominant key, the one to beat by far. Mind value. 3 - FINAL JUSTICE improved in the last pair and tries claiming action today. Fantastic gains from a hard post last week, it's a fair bit easier today. Must use. 4 - SPECTRUM showed a bit of improvement last month, most recently bidding smartly mid-race to save fourth. Raw speed fits in to share.

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Race 2 - F&M Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000

3 - RYDIA HANOVER caught the field after breaking last out, but won well at this level the start before. Before that, she made two moves out of post 8 and missed by only two lengths. Every chance to rebound. 1 - TRUMP USA BLUES passed tired foes from astern on arrival last week. Pole can keep this value option closer from the outset. 6 - ROLL WITH AMY consistently improves wide of rivals for minor shares at this level. Forgive her first-over push into a quickening pace two back. Minor player again with a kind enough journey.

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Race 3 - F&M Claiming $10,000-$12,500

1 - IN THE NIGHT wired similar on arrival to weeks ago, and has every chance to repeat in what shapes up to be a manageable group. Dunn opts to stay aboard. 4 - ENGLISH ROSE N was too far out of contention to threaten last week, but stayed more or less even from a wide trip throughout. Kinder draw can help the presser-stalker rebound. 8 - KITTY RUSSELL arrived from New England last week and saved second after being boxed. Wide draw is her main obstacle.

Race 4 - F&M Non-Winners $4,150 Last 5 Starts

2 - SWEETER LULU rises after brushing and edging clear in her last. Those remaining at this level have been more or less even for minors in recent tries. This step up is manageable. 6 - GLENFERRIE BRONTE N was a one-paced third from an earned pocket on arrival two weeks ago, and now faces a slightly softer group. Solid roughie option if able to land close. 5 - FIREFLY drops in from N5L fields which proved just a hair too tough. Raw speed suits; mind value.

Race 5 - Claiming $10,000

2 - SPICEBOMB continues to get better each week since arriving. Strong connections; keeps the class level today. Easier post today. Appealing spot, good exotics key. 1 - RED DIRT BOOMER has reliably produced at this level and gets the prime post. Can pass the tired and then some, as well. Also an improving horse with strong connections. 7 - COUGAR HALL has struggled in the level, yet what attracts is retention of the class level and the gains showed late two prior. Roughie chance to add value. 4 - ONLYTHETUFFSURVIVE caught rivals in the second half of the last event, but tired to fourth. All the recent tactical speed appeals. 3 - LOOKINFORADVENTURE was a little closer last week against recent and like company.

Race 6 - F&M Non-Winners 5 Races or $50,000

2 - MOANING LISA rose to this level last week and pressed steadily through the fastest quarter of the race. Nap is back aboard this filly who has hit the board in six straight tries. 4 - SHE'S NUN BETTOR N just reached from the pocket in the same race that Moaning Lisa exits. Dunn stays on; be wary of underlay potential. 1 - ROSE RUN VICTORIA brushed and dug in gamely before the tripped-out She's Nun Bettor N just upended her in that same race. Pole keeps her close with ease; versatility duly noted.

Race 7 - F&M Non-Winners $10,000 Last 5 Starts

5 - DARKRSHADEOFPALE N almost converted at 45-1 last week after being aided by live cover up the far side. Improvement over past fourth-level tries is clear; staying power and pressing ability encourage, too. 7 - BETALADY made a solid account of herself in a N6L event at M1 a couple weeks ago. The outside gate speed she demonstrated will serve her well to establish position in this slightly kinder group. 8 - BRUNHILDA rises off a two-move win, and proved herself OK as a minor player at this level and tougher earlier in the fall. Wide draw is her big obstacle; reunited with Marcus.

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Race 8 - F&M Non-Winners $2,500 Last 5 Starts

6 - TRAFFIC JAM markedly improved last week and remains eligible to the class. Will likely appreciate speed to chase for best results. Weigh the odds. Slim call in a race that points to several potential paths. 5 - MANHATTAN PLAY loomed up late to be a close fourth last time, and now returns off a few extra days off. Interesting spot. 4 - WESTERN SHOWGIRL gets a better draw today and flashed some early speed last week to steadily improve on overall result. Raw speed fits right in.

Race 9 - F&M Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000

5 - JOE'S SIGN bounced back well after a break in the Simpson with a well-earned win and second at this level. 2 - SURE R LOOKIN GOOD absorbed lots of pressure in a narrow defeat last week, and before that, she charged boldly to just miss at 42-1. Recent form improvement duly noted. Solid value player. 3 - WINNING WORDS perched close to the pace and chased well to hit the board in her last two. Solid enough stayer to factor again with similar.

Race 10 - F&M Non-Winners $14,000 Last 5 Starts, 7 Races or $70,000

7 - BYE BYE FELICIA rises after rallying out of traffic to reach in her last. She's clearly ramping back up; late closing kick is considerable. Strong value option if things play out in her favour. 2 - DIBABA N returns to action for the first time since August following a pair of solid Dover qualifiers. She may need the start, but her best makes her a player in a group one level tougher than this one, even.

Race 11 - Non-Winners 1 Race

6 - ANDOVER THE HALO was extremely close last week and has raced a good bit better since early autumn's rest and arrival to us. Rounding into the form you want to see. Narrow call. 1 - KEEPTHETABHANOVER has been a model of reliable production this fall, racing almost every week to an ITM result. More than fits and plays; trying to just turn that corner. 3 - SV TYMAL'S IMAGE nearly made amends last week for a tough outing two starts prior. Month of rest noted, remains in this class. Fits and plays.

Race 12 - F&M Non-Winners $4,150 Last 5 Starts

4 - PIRAEUS has been consistent in these recent weeks, displaying a variety of tactics to purse-capturing result. Effective at these classes. 2 - QUEEN KENDALL rejoins us after a week at Yonkers. Had been productive at Rosecroft; good draw for the presser-stalker type that she is. 6 - WAR CRIMES is an Ohio invader with plenty raw speed for the level. One to add to exotics.

Race 13 - F&M Non-Winners $7,000 Last 5 Starts

7 - WHEN SHARKS FLY won her last after the entire field was carried wide off the home turn, parrying pressure the length of the stretch to prevail. Now she steps up into a fairly stout third-level group, but she had a clear excuse in her last try at this level. Potentially the best value for money in the entire group. 1 - TOPVILLE ANGELINA cleared from post 7 and gave way under sustained pressure on the step up to this level last week. The pole should sharpen her up a good bit. 3 - PONDER THE ODDS drops a level after nearly lasting at this level on Nov. 25. Beware severe underlay potential noting glimmers of success against far tougher.