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Woodbine Harness: Monday 4/15 Analysis
Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (13 - 29 / $44.60): BIGRISK (12th)
Spot Play: HIGHLAND YANKEE (5th)
(7) STANDING MY GROUND moves into the Gallucci barn and is fresh off a win coming into this series. She can only improve in just her second start of the campaign. (5) LILY PAD HANOVER was pulled up and did not finish last week, but found the winner's circle the week before. She's lightly-raced and will draw a lot of attention. (8) FRISKY MAGIC will make her seasonal debut after racing six times last season. Coming out of the Henriksen barn is only a plus.
(7) CREIGHTON HANOVER found the winner's circle last week for first-time starter Demers. He remains at the same class and gets Jamieson in the bike. (6) EXPLODENT did all the work last start before fading in deep stretch. The addition of Lasix has appeared to help and should provide a price once again. (8) POPPYS BUCKY BOY adds Lasix for the first time and has proven to be very competitive in this class. I'm looking for a rebound effort from him.
(3) LIPSTICK ROSE moves into the Bax barn for this series and she appears to be in top form after a solid qualifying effort on March 23. She draws well and showed enough speed last season as a rookie to be a top threat in here. (2) MISS PANTHERS raced well last week to finish fourth. I like her :28 2/5 final frame and that sets her up well for this contest. (8) HUNTER VALLEY hasn't been very consistent this season, but last week she finished third after receiving a terrific trip. She has good gate-speed and if she can be positioned well early, I like her chances.
(7) GOTTA GO HANOVER drops back into the claiming ranks after a failed condition attempt. He certainly has enough pace, has gate-speed and hopefully he will provide a higher price. (4) BEST EARS finished a strong second in this class in his most recent outing, timed in 1:51 4/5. That's a very good performance for this class and he draws well. (5) GUTSY GREG has been racing very well in his last four starts. He comes out of the Moreau barn and is a top threat.
(8) HIGHLAND YANKEE drops out of the Preferred and gets significant class relief. He doesn't draw the best, but this marks his second start off the shelf and he posted a strong 1:54 3/5 effort last week. (6) HESGOTLEGS will most likely be the first leader in the race. The question remains if he can go the distance. He put in a sub-par effort last week and will look to rebound. (2) STAR RUFFNREADY draws well, gets class relief and was timed in 1:54 4/5 in his last outing. He's a top threat in here as well.
(10) COUGAR HALL will make his second career start after a solid third-place finish last week. He will have to overcome post 10, but he comes out of the Gillis barn and is regally bred. (1) APPLE A DAY gets the pole position and also will make his second career start. He came first-over last week and tired in deep stretch. I'm looking for a better effort. (2) FOLK ART has been in this class for quite some time, but is very capable of being a part of the triactor. He draws well and has terrific gate-speed if MacDonell chooses to use it.
(3) DULL ROAR drops out of the Youthful Series and is much better fitted in this class. After his 1:53 1/5 effort last week, he'll draw a lot of attention. (8) BURNING SHORE is one-for-one to start the season and was very impressive last week, while providing a handsome price. Don't expect to see 23-1 this week. (6) SEA DEUCE finished a part of the triactor in his two previous starts before the Youthful. He's a logical choice to finish top three.
This is a wide-open race, in my opinion, but I selected (4) LAKEFIELD. He does move up in class, but also dropped out of the Preferred level last week. He comes out of the Moreau barn, draws well and has enough speed to win. (3) VACATION DAY wasn't on his game last week and I'm looking for a rebound effort. He draws well, comes out of O'Sullivan's barn and raced very strong two back. (6) SANTO DOMINGO tends to be inconsistent, but he finished on-the-board in his last two of three starts.
(2) WINSUN CHEYENNE moves into the Tackoor barn after a private purchase and this horse was very good last week in his second career start. He's a full brother to Four Starzzz Shark (1:47.4 - $2.7 million), which is another plus. (3) CRAVEN A BEACH was very strong at Western Fair in his first start of the season. He found the wire first with a :28 4/5 final frame. He moves onto this circuit and I expect to see him drop significant time. (4) AVATARTIST finished second in this class last week, beaten by a neck for the win. He's lightly-raced and a good option to consider.
(8) AUTUMN GOTTEM came from off-the-pace last start en route to victory. He draws outside, but is very capable in this class for trainer O'Sullivan. (10) CHEYENNE MOISHE has a terrific record this season and although has been assigned post 10, he has the gate-speed to be well positioned in the early going. Even with the outside post, I wouldn't expect to see a price on him. (1) GAVINS DESIGNER will have to step up his game, even though he's on a three-race win streak. He draws inside and will have to be at his best for high percentage trainer Johnson.
(7) SLIGHT TOUCH posted a very encouraging qualifier and will make his first start of the season. He used a :27 4/5 final quarter and that sets him up well in this contest. (1) PROSECCO BRUT got a terrific trip last start and finished very well, beaten by a nose for the win. He draws the rail and with any type of repeat effort, I like his chances. (8) CAN HE GO also qualified well and showed enough speed as a rookie last season. He may need a start or two, but I feel he's capable of hitting the ticket.
(9) BIGRISK was a $450,000 yearling purchase and debuts for trainer O'Sullivan. He is regally-bred being a half brother to Rock N Roll Heaven (1:47.3- $2.7 million) & Clear Vision (1:48.1 - $1.2 million). He qualified well and will look to find the wire first in his first start as a three-year-old. (1) SMART IDEA came first-over last week in the Youthful before settling for fourth. He's got two wins from three starts this season and draws the rail. (5) SCOTT ROCKS has a first and third-place finish in his first two career starts. He moves up in class, but will be considered for the triactor by many horseplayers.