03/18/2015 4:26PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 3/20 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


2,7,10/8/7,8,9/3,8,9 = $27

MEET STATS: 113 - 343 / $608.50  BEST BETS: 15 - 33 / $84.50 

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 32 / $59.20

Best Bet: VELOCITY LANA (5th)

Spot Play: PINOT GRIGIO (8th)

Race 1

(4) AFTER ALIMONY drops back to a class where she last won on February 27 at big odds. There doesn't appear too many early leavers in this field and she may be able to control things throughout. (3) WINDSONG JACOBA is one of few foes that also possesses some early foot and this mare could be poised to strike out of the pocket turning home. (7) BOAT HOUSE ROW dropped to this class last time and was much more aggressive which produced a better result. She fits here.

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Race 2

(2) EXEMPLAR was so hot in February that he raced as an odds-on favorite in the top class. Gait issues in two straight however necessitated him having to requalify. He will be a big favorite here and win if he stays flat - for which there is no guarantee. This looks like a race to tread lightly any way you play it. (1) ARCTIC TALE missed almost a month of action after upsetting at 20/1 in his penultimate start. He could go much better back in action in 6 days. (8) POWER MOVE has been the model of consistency this winter despite changing hands frequently. He is most likely to capitalize if the top two falter.

Race 3

(9) TAROT has been flawless since joining Tyrrell's stable and last week showed a new dimension by finishing quickly for the first time. Catch him to visit the cashier. (8) FASHION GODDESS produced a much better effort leading to an easy win last week - as did many of Ballargeon's pupils. Beware the suddenly-hot barn that had been cold for the entire meet virtually previously. (10) STAR OF THUNDER has shown much-improved late speed in both starts for Moreau. He is an exotics threat even from out here.

Race 4

(10) BADLANDS LOVE is again entered in a claimer by Moreau who looks to capitalize on her good form entering her in fields where she has an edge. The 10-hole is no picnic in here, but she is priced to win and gets top call vs. these. (7) MAKE WAY has two easy wins in her last three and a loss to the choice. She is the main foe and merits inclusion in the early pick 4. (2) ONE BADLAND NIGHT switches pilots and perhaps Jamieson can ration her speed out better leading to a higher placing.

Race 5

(8) VELOCITY LANA continues to show improvement every week and should make short work of these as tonight's Best Bet. (10) NIPPY W HANOVER was boss in the Miss Vera Bars series but returns from the 10-hole after a 3-week break which makes beating the choice a tough task here. (3) PEPPERMINT PATTI is win-shy but a consistent earner and should get a good piece of this, too.

Race 6

(8) JUSTCALLMERONALD was a nice winner first time for Moreau two back then faced better than these last out and couldn't gain late. He has a much better chance vs. this NW3 group; top call. (7) BAGS FOR ALL dropped out of the General Brock series and trotted to an easy win now has been off for 4 weeks. He hasn't missed the exacta all year and likely won't here either despite the respite. (9) MUSICAL SPELL continues to display good late speed every start. He need only be within striking range at the 3/4 pole to garner a share.

Race 7

(8) GIVE ME AN AMEN returned from a break with a tightener in the F & M Preferred and gets to face mostly easier here after missing a check. Expect her to be much more forwardly-placed early. (3) ROCK N ROLL EXAMPLE closed like a jet in the final 1/16th last week to get up vs. slightly easier. She can contend here, too, with that kind of late speed. (9) BULLET POINT won easily last time she faced similar and should not be underestimated.

Race 8

(9) PINOT GRIGIO was visibly vaulting past horses late last out while pacing one of the fastest last 1/4s of the night. The switch to Jamieson is a plus and there is every reason to believe she can handle these; top billing. (2) HIGH FASHION MEL paced a very good first-over mile to finish second to a dominant winner and is the obvious main threat. (4) YOUR MY SECRET has had two rough trips in a row from outside posts but can benefit from the move inside and go closer here.

Race 9

(4) REGALLY READY got too much cover to follow last out and by the time she tipped late she just couldn't get to the winner. She is obviously sharp and takes these with a more aggressive steer. (7) MACHYNBYRD PRINCESS lost some of the wind in her sails after being forced first-up but can rebound here from on the lead or out of the pocket. (6) OCEANVIEW BINDI dropped, popped, now steps back up. She is much sharper now and will contend here.

Race 10

(4) PACIFIC WINE gets top call in this head-scratcher of a finale after pacing her best mile of the year last week in this class. (7) AN ANGEL SHES NOT won in a similar class at Flamboro then was beaten only 5 lengths from an outer post in their Mares Preferred. She fits here and can get a good share. (1) JEREMEYES JEWEL has been showing good late speed in her past few starts and can share here if kept close enough early. (6) LIFES CALL put up some big early fractions then faded. She could last longer with a better-rated steer. (8) MACHET ROCKET switches barns off a vet scratch but fits this class and should be closing for a minor share.

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