07/19/2013 11:45AM

Saratoga Vulnerable Favorites, Live Longshots, and Spot Plays: July 20

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LIVE LONGSHOTS/SPOT PLAYS

Saratoga Race 1, 1:00 ET

STRIKE ACCORD (#8, 10/1) put in a good stretch run behind a wire-to-wire winner in seasonal turf debut, and has races from last year that give her a chance to pick up a big piece in the opener. - Mike Beer

Saratoga Race 1, 1:00 ET

HEART OF NEW YORK (#6, 3-1) has failed to duplicate her eye catching debut in four subsequent starts but gave every indication she may be ready to do so in Saturday’s opener after more than holding her own working in company over Oklahoma turf with multiple graded stakes placed stable mate Dream Peace last Sunday. Looks like she’ll have some pace to run at in this spot.- Mike Welsch

Saratoga Race 4, 2:31 ET

ROSALIE'S PLEASURE's (#11, 6/1) two-year-old finale at Belmont was a merry-go-round race that saw the top four finishers stay that way for the entire trip; debut over this track/trip was promising, and she may rebound if ready to go off the bench. - Mike Beer

Saratoga Race 6, 3:55 ET

More angles than a three-cushion billiard shot with Dale Romans-trained colt COZZETTI (#6, 12-1), who is third back from a layoff, turns back from 1 1/16 miles to seven furlongs after an improved show of speed with blinkers added, and returns to dirt for the first time since a wide trip in last year’s Preakness.- Dave Litfin

Saratoga Race 6, 3:55 ET

4yo colt COZZETTI (#6, 12-1) faced the best of his generation last spring on the triple crown trail; been working well for return to the main track.- Chuck Kuehhas

Saratoga Race 8, 4:39 ET

SCAM (#11, 12-1) has some nice works showing for trainer ShugMcGaughey, who is certainly capable with firsters, even if it’s not a strength of the barn. Any kind of action on the board would be a very good sign. Also using MIRACULOUSMO (#2, 9-2), who ran well for 4th in his debut at Churchill in what has proven to be a strong race. –Kenny Peck

Saratoga Race 8, 4:39 ET

The perennially underrated Phil Serpe has gotten no fewer than 14 official breezes into MALIBU MASTER (#13, 12-1), a $250k yearling purchase, and now unveils him as a potential overlay in one of those wide-open MSW races that help define Saratoga. Outer draw and Lezcano are major pluses for this son of the red-hot Malibu Moon. Compelled to take a stand at what’s sure to be a square price. – Marty McGee.

Saratoga Race 8, 4:39 ET

Lightly raced 3-year-old MIRACULOUSMO (#2, 9-2) was hung wide, finished credible fourth in key six furlong MSW dash at Churchill Downs to launch career in May, looked razor sharp working a swift five eighths in :59 and change in company with highly regarded and more experienced stable mate Pick of the Litter earlier this week. Should offer a little value in this full and well matched lineup.- Mike Welsch

VULNERABLE FAVORITES

Saratoga Race 5, 3:03 ET

TOY CANNON (#2, 5-1) & NOOSH'S TALE (#4, 3-1) two exit the same race on July 4th, where they were defeated at short prices by a 25/1 winner without apparent excuse; both figure to be bet again, which should open the race up for other contenders.- Mike Beer

Saratoga Race 7, 4:07 ET

CRACKERJACK JONES (#11, 5-2) has top last out Beyer, earned as an odds-on favorite vs. field of overmatched maidens, and now steps in to face other winners in a race loaded with speed; going to be a lot tougher for him this time. -Mike Beer

Saratoga Race 8, 4:39 ET

DEL MAR SUNSET (#4, 3-1) Began his career with a fast race on the west coast but has regressed some in two subsequent starts and already beaten at 1-5, this distance, during the winter. Tired late and did not gallop out extremely well in his lone local work on 7/12 and likely to be over bet with crowd favorite Rosie Napravnik in the saddle.

 

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