08/11/2013 10:28AM

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 12

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RACE 5
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $80,000

1. ROLLONCAT (Tactical Cat - Rollinginthedough, by Stephen Got Even)
Sire 66-599 (11%) 2yos, 21-187 (11%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-1 at 2); dam 1/2 2yo G3 SW router Aly's Alley (902K, 3-9 at 2, 3-21 turf); barn 1-9 (11%, $1.17 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/turf; 7/22 work matches Moves Your Soul (6th FTS SMSW dirt 25 Beyer 7/31); match for Saratoga Special entrant in debut on dirt; must show more

2. INVENTOR'S GATE (Eddington - Fifth Avenue, by Monarchos)
Sire 14-119 (12%) 2yo FTS, 7-123 (6%) 1st-turf; 2yo SW sprint dam (110K, 2-5 at 2, won debut) has 1 winner from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Shoptate (138K, 0-2 on turf); barn 1-7 (14%, $5.68 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 7/4, 7/11 works match barn's Revelationist (73 dirt Beyer); some appeal.

 3. CAN'T STOP THE KID 
65K 2yo after 2F work 21.4; 1/2 multiple 2yo G3 SP turf A. P. Reality (97K, 1-4 at, 1-3 at 2) by 37-347 (11%) 2yo FTS, 10-272 (4%) 1st-turf sire; dam 2yo SW (205K, 3-5 at 2, 0-1 turf) with 3 winners from 5 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 1-4 with turfers); female family G2 sprint SW Funistrada (479K, 1-4 at 2, won debut, 0-1 turf); barn 1-17 (6%, $1.92 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-1 turf); jock's 2nd call.

 4. NO DISHONOR  (Proud Citizen - Sunset Trail, by Pine Bluff)
Sire 18-189 (10%) 2yo, 17-181 (9%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from route-placed dam (5K); 3rd dam G3 SW Totemic (138K, 1-6 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 1-13 (8%, $0.70 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprints.

5. SIGNATURE SMILE   (Candy Ride - Giant Smile, by Giant's Causeway)
100K yearling; sire 23-167 (14%) 2yo FTS, 20-209 (10%) 1st-turf; unraced dam has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 0-1 turfer); dam 1/2 multiple SW Procreate (432K, 5-22 turf), SW sprinter Perilous Night (129K, 1-5 at 2, 0-2 turf); barn 1-3 (33%, $4.46 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 7/16 work matches Tummel (7th 'n1x' turf 72 Beyer 7/25); 8/6 work went .05 slower than Tummel; interesting.

6. FLYING JOE (Sightseeing - American Flier, by Quiet American)
19K yearling, 65K 2yo after 2F work 22.1; 1/2 multiple G3 SW Flying Glitter (597K, 1-2 at 2, 1-4 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 2-27 (7%) 2yo FTS, 2-20 (10%) 1st-turf sire; SP dam (90K, 1-6 turf)) has 8 winners from 8 runners (3-6 with 2yos, 1-5 with turfers, 1st-turf winner); dam full SW American Heiress (50K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 0-1 turf); dam 1/2 multiple SW Joe's Son Joey (441K, 1-3 at 2, 7-15 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 0-14 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint.

7. SUM SUPERSTAR (In Summation - Star Dixie, by Dixie Union)
By G1 sprint SW sire (1.2M, 5-6 at 2, 2-8 turf) that is 2-22 (9%) with 2yo FTS, this is 1st turf starter; 1st starter from turf winning dam (166K, 3-15 turf); 3rd dam multiple SP Hard Freeze (255K, 3-5 at 2, 0-2 turf); barn 4-6 (67%, $6.48 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos dirt/turf MSW sprint (1-2, 50%, $3.00 ROI Spa); chased Saratoga Special entrant in debut and can improve here.

8. DUE DILIGENCE (War Front - Bema, by Pulpit)
190K yearling; 1/2 2yo G3 SP Ocasta (84K, 1-5 at 2, 1-6 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 5-80 (6%) 2yo FTS, 15-104 (14%) 1st-turf sire; SW dam (146K, 2-5 at 2, 0-1 turf) has 4 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 2-2 with turfers, 2 first-turf winners); dam 1/2 SW Deodar (162K, 0-1 at 2, 5-22 turf), G3-placed synthetic router Morada Key (180K, 0-7 at 2, 1-4 turf); barn 3-8 (38%, $3.68 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 7/22 work matches True Courage (57 turf Beyer); 7/28 work matches Groupthink (2nd FTS SMSW dirt 63 Beyer 8/2)

9. VIGORISH (English Channel - Golden Attraction, by Mr. Prospector)
1/2 SW router Gold Trader (81K, 1-1 at 2), G3 sprint SP Swift Attraction (42K, 0-1 at 2), G3 sprint SP Big Top Cat (54K, 0-2 at 2) by 20-177 (11%) 2yo, 20-107 (19%) 1st-turf sire; dam multiple G1 SW at 2 (911K, 6-8 at 2) with 5 winners from 9 runners (3-8 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Cape Town (795K, 3-6 at 2); dam full G3 SW sprinter Cape Canaveral (128K, 1-1 at 2), 2yo G3 turf SW Red Carnival (England); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos dirt/turf MSW; jock's 1st call; didn't pick up feet after poor start from rail in debut; bred to handle grass.

10. PECORINO (Afleet Alex - Sandra's Song, by A.P. Indy)
70K short yearling, 77K yearling, 130K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 44-431 (10%) 2yo; SP dam (3-17, 130K, 0-1 sprint) has 2 winners from 5 runners (0-3 2yos, 1-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 turf SW Big Booster (820K, 1-3 at 2); barn 6-36 (17%, $0.61 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa

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SELECTIONS:
1. Due Diligence
2. Signature Smile
3. Vigorish
4. Inventor's Gate

THE PLAY:
Due Diligence - Signature Smile EXACTA
Due Diligence - Vigorish EXACTA*

*If Vigorish scratches, then Due Diligence - Inventor's Gate EXACTA