08/20/2013 1:10PM

Saratoga: Dave Litfin's Analysis August 21, 2013

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Dave Litfin's Analysis [BEST BET: Amberjack (9th race)]

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1 SLEEK is a half-sister to two winners and has several workouts that match up with stablemate Artemis Agrotera ($2.90), who won debut last week by nearly a dozen lengths; also-eligible gets the call if started. COURT DANCER is unveiled by George Weaver, who saddled first-out maiden winner Hot Squeeze ($14.40) last week; dam has produced four sprint winners.POSSETIVEVIBRATION has nine winning siblings, ISABELLE is by an excellent debut sire, and FEE AND SUGAR has been readied by trainer profitable with new shooters. Closer Looks >>
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2 TANGLEWOOD TALE was a debut maiden winner in Saratoga mud back in 2011, and reaffirmed affinity for this surface with big win July 26; given nearly four weeks between starts to recover from new top Beyer, must sidestep a bounce. BELLE GALLANTEYhas been mostly in allowance company this year, except for July 3 when she chased 1-2 Sing Dixie Sing on wet track; didn't get much pace to run at first out at meet vs. up-and-coming Uno Duo. SO BLESSED flashed improved speed second time off the claim; might vie for the early advantage with SoCal shipper QUEEN MERCURY. Closer Looks >>
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3 REGAL JOANNE had some trouble in the stretch when unveiled on this course last year, and has since won twice on dirt; returned from layoff in tougher spot at Monmouth forcing the issue vs. 3-2 choice Lucky Liberty. SAROPIA dashed clear early and led to final yards when run down by allowance dropdown Chelsea Road in first Spa turf sprint; may get some pace pressure from SWEET SWAY. IMANINDIANOUTLAW was in contention to the stretch before fading vs. Saropia in seasonal bow; should be fitter this time. Closer Looks >>
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4 Back to turf for the first time in 11 months, WINNING CAUSE kicked in strongly late to beat several of these under similar conditions July 28; steady-going stretch runner has the rail again. SAYAAD makes the third start of his form cycle after sharp try vs. Hear the Footsteps, who was winning third straight; involved early with ELUSIVE SON and MICELI. A contested pace could benefitONE MORE CAT, who was closer to the early leaders here July 28 than in first two grass races that featured better finishes. Closer Looks >>
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5 TUVIA'S FORCE gave it a good try against 22-time winner Caixa Eletronica and held second under these conditions July 27, his third exacta finish from four Spa starts; must work out a trip from far outside. ITSAGOODTENDOLLARS has won at 1 1/16 miles a couple times, but the hard-knocking 7-year-old enters unchartered waters at 1 1/8 miles; has inside position on main early rival TALK THERAPY, who is on good form seeking third win in a row. POINT TAKEN is in midst of productive 4YO campaign with four wins and $126K in the bank; beat Itsagoodtendollars in one of their frequent meetings downstate. Closer Looks >>
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6 I'M SMOKIN HOT drops from maiden special-weight dash won by Kiss Me Lola, who returned to narrowly miss in allowance company last week; figures to improve second time turf and second back from five-month layoff. WITH DIAMONDS was claimed from each of first two starts at Belmont when she set the pace on turf and dirt; may come under fire early from PASSIONFORSONGS. Perched outside is LARA, who broke from same position in only turf try vs. allowance repeater Wild Grace; broke alertly in off-the-turfer early at the meet. Closer Looks >>
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7 APEX makes third start of his form cycle and moves toward the outside after breaking from posts #1 & 2 on wet tracks earlier at the meet; drops notch coming out of same race as LET'S HAVE US ONE. The latter raced wide in muddy return Aug. 1 and edged forward to a new top Beyer; dueled for lead to deep stretch here as a 2-year-old. EASEMENT switches from turf for what will be first dirt start on Lasix; late threat based on rallying third in debut. Closer Looks >>
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8 ZINDAYA begins career for Christophe Clement, whose four turf debut winners this meet include sprinters Cavetto (9-1) and Belly of the Whale (9-2); half-brother Western Aristocrat was a first-out winner in England and won Grade 1 Jamaica in first U.S. start.RUSLANA sped clear from the get-go and was overhauled deep stretch when unveiled opening week; Lasix now. SUPER SKY leapt at the start and trailed, found best stride belatedly behind Ruslana in bow; big threat if able to draw in. Closer Looks >>
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9 AMBERJACK has reeled off three straight wins at different distances on fast & wet tracks since layoff and barn change, with steadily ascending Beyer line capped by 99 for sloppy N.Y. Derby score; picks up weight and stretches out in search of $250K bonus for sweeping "Big Apple Triple." GO GET THE BASIL flattened out vs. Amberjack at Finger Lakes, but has posted 90+ figures in two of last three starts on fast tracks; stretch runner can make it a race if he brings "A"' game. ESCAPEFROMREALITYgot through first-level allowance conditions at seven furlongs July 4, his first start since troubled trip in Gotham; game try vs. Go Get the Basil as a second-time starter. Closer Looks >>
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10 CIELO SOLEGGIATO chased to midstretch when switched to turf with blinkers added first out in five months vs. Orino, who was recently disqualified from first in New York Stallion event; call in dart-thrower of a nightcap. RAKETE should find this an easier spot after 10 attempts in special-weights; lone entrant cutting back from longer race. SOUTHERN MATCH went evenly vs. odds-on Vinny Goodtimes and was claimed opening week; new owner-trainer Mike Maker has good blinkers-on numbers. DISASTER RELIEF didn't get any pace up front lone outing this year; first time for tag. Closer Looks >>
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