04/03/2011 11:15AM

Santa Anita pick six carryover


Santa Anita Pick Six Carryover

DRF Coverage:
Shock win by Da Marshall leads to $115,583 pick six carryover
Spawr expects big effort on dirt from Amazombie in deep Potrero Grande

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Race-by-Race Analysis
By Brad Free

Fourth Race
(1) Lady Alex (2) Bellini Bliss (3) Ascot's Highflyer

LADY ALEX got a confidence-building win Feb. 25 when she crushed $20k main-track claimers by more than six lengths. She proved two starts back she handles grass, and this class, when she missed by a half-length under similar conditions. BELLINI BLISS is back in for a tag after an unrelaxed effort in a N1X. Her claiming win against 4-year-olds in December puts her in the hunt with these older fillies and mares. ASCOT'S HIGHFLYER is not good enough based on class. But she was claimed off a runaway win by a sharp outfit, and moves up in class at the top of her game. This might be the time to catch her at a price.

Fifth Race
(1) Dancing At Dark (2) Edgewick Road (3) Tonzatrouble

A ton of speed in this claiming sprint for 3-year-olds sets it up for DANCING AT DARK. He cuts back from two turns to one, with a closing style that suits the likely fast pace. EDGEWICK ROAD raced wide, made the lead in midstretch, then got tagged late in a decent effort. He will roll late, and so will the horse that beat him. That is TONZATROUBLE. The speedsters include OMINOUS THOMAS, CLASSY LION and EL GAUCHO.

Sixth Race
(1) Excessively Trick (2) Screaming Regal (3) Three Cuties

EXCESSIVELY TRICK ran too good to lose in her recent comeback. She set a wicked pace (2(1)27 and 44.12), shook loose into the lane, then got run down by a last-to-first closer. She could get pressured through another hot pace in this sprint for Calbred maiden fillies, but none have her gas. Second start back, gate to wire. SCREAMING REGAL would benefit from a pace meltdown. The four-start maiden has three runner-up finishes rallying from well off the pace, and is likely to get a favorable pace setup for her first start since late January. THREE CUTIES ran better than the low number (49 Beyer) in her debut last month against maiden-claimers. She broke slow, raced greenly early while uncomfortable behind horses, took hold late and finished well. She was ridden out past the wire after losing by two lengths, and is sure to improve a ton with a race under her belt. WARREN'S LADY is all speed, and will try to keep the top choice honest up front.

Seventh Race
(1) Red Sharp Humor (2) Wilburn (3) Uncle Sam

Although the debut sprint victory by WILBURN was spectacular, the call to win this N1X route for 3-year-olds is a horse with two-turn experience. That is RED SHARP HUMOR, who put it all together in start No. 7, winning a fast-pace route over next-start runaway winner Midnight Interlude. RED SHARP HUMOR pressed quick fractions in that mile race, and may have the edge based on his experience around two turns. However, it is possible WILBURN is simply a better horse who may be able to overcome his lack of seasoning. He came out firing in his debut, winning a six and a half-furlong race by more than three lengths with a fancy number (92 Beyer). He ran like a colt that will have little difficulty racing two turns. UNCLE SAM drops out of a Grade 3 in which he was unable to cope with the fast pace set by winner Tapizar. Freshend since mid-January, and working well, the gray proved in his winning debut that he runs well fresh.

Eighth Race
(1) Amazombie (2) Crown of Thorns (3) Captain Cherokee

The preferred surface for AMAZOMBIE is dirt, which he returns to after a solid runner-up finish in a turf sprint that was run over a wet course. His highly rated main-track stakes win two starts back looks even better after the horse he beat (Apriority) returned to win an allowance at Gulfstream with a 113 Beyer. AMAZOMBIE is the "now" horse and logical favorite. CROWN OF THORNS, runner-up in four consecutive Grade 1's dating back to fall 2009, returns from a six-month layoff with a string of fast works for trainer Richard Mandella. The lightly raced (eight starts) 6-year-old runs well fresh, with class credentials that suggest he will fire first start back. He had minor arthroscopic surgery since raced. CAPTAIN CHEROKEE finished second in two G2's already this meet. He will set or press the pace. BET ON VICTOR has worked well for his return, while G1 Malibu winner M ONE RIFLE also returns with a solid work pattern. The chances of BET ON VICTOR and M ONE RIFLE diminished however, when neither could find in an allowance race in which to prep.

Ninth Race
(1) Nice Meidel (2) Whiskers and Rye (3) Our Lady Gaga

Fast-working comebacker NICE MEIDEL returns from a nine-month layoff for trainer Peter Miller, while dropping from special-weight to maiden-30. Good spot for a win first start back. Trouble-prone WHISKERS AND RYE ran the best race of her three-start career last time, rallying into third after another slow start. She will roll late, and if she ever breaks with the field she can win a race like this. OUR LADY GAGA showed ability in her fourth-place debut after she encountered a troubled takeoff. She can improve second time out with a clean start. 'GAGA also is a pop-culture hunch play; the artist Lady Gaga played three concerts this week in Southern California including an entertaining two-hour show Thursday night at Honda Center in Anaheim.