09/27/2013 11:17AM

Santa Anita: Closer Looks for September 28, 2013


DRF Plus Preview

Race 1

Moving Seas
Only a brief factor in the debut but at least she has a couple of local spins; 4 for 11 dam out of the money in lone try at 2; this is her first to race; rider has to be aggressive to flee the rail and avoid getting shuffled.
Miss has teased a few times and is due to punch it in; backers can point to the fact that full sister Swiss Bliss earned over $100K; would have liked to have seen some local spins.
Rockport Harbor about 11% with juvenile debuters in a 183-runner sample; sire took debut at 2, took a G2 at 2; dam 0 for 5; this is her first to race; she does look fit enough.
Too Obvious
Over 3 clear last time at Pomona but sometimes that form doesn't travel all that well; dam out of the money twice; 2 of 3 siblings won in the minor leagues, neither at 2; can't fault those that give her another shot at glory.
Has right to improve after walking out of the gate; dam 0 for 9; lone half bro to race was 0 for 4; got a feeling we have not seen the best of this gal.
Glorious Rebecca
Hung wide for sale, this $22K purchase has to pick it up; stakes placed 4 for 13 dam earned over $100K, didn't go at 2; lone half sis to race Glorious Valentine took debut at 2, went 2 for 10 after in the minor leagues; miss was getting late, now has to go a 16th farther.
Here Comes Tribal
Hand may have been forced by the rail as she had to gun out of there; dam 0 for 6; the 3 siblings to race are a combined 0 for 11; can never dismiss sub :22 speed.
In Dad's Honor
Bet like a good thing when educated as Ellis solid with second shooters; 11 for 45 dam didn't go at 2, earned $170K; lone half sis to race Hula Hoop Girl took 4 of 13, didn't go at 2; note Talamo bails for the rail.
Another Victoria
Improved spin on the 21st since losing for the tag; dam took debut at 2, went 13 for 59 after; lone half sis lost 7 times; must prove she can run at this level.
Writer Fever
She could have sulked after being forced to steady but she showed some grit passing horses; SP dam third in best moment at 2, won 4 times; several multiple race winners in the tree including double juvenile winner and near $80K earner Western Writer; her chances improve with a hot pace.
Square Eddie 0 for 6 with debuting juveniles; sire won at 2, took a G1, earned over $800K; SW dam 2nd in both starts at 2, banked over $200K; both sibs won, neither at 2, but one banked about $185K and preferred grass; drills ideally spaced.
Bertrando about 13% with juvenile firsters in a 322-runner grid; sire took juvenile debut, earned $3.1 million; 2 for 10 dam was sprint only as older horse; this is her first to race; like fact she drilled this far and for this barn, that is a very snappy spin on the 19th.

Race 2

Crimson Giant
Exits his lowest Beyer speed figure since November, 2011, racing on HOL synthetic; winless since an SA-November, 2011, muddy 40K-maiden claiming victory; that was the only time in his career that he raced on a less-then-fast race track and hopes for that type of surface again today.
Di Conti
Will increase the distance 2F from his dirt graduation; was dueled into defeat over the track the only other time at 6F on the main track; added front wraps off the 7-week absence then posted back-to-back Beyer speed figure Tops; view as a major pace presence.
I Buy Gold
Lone dirt start was a win but the $26.20 payoff did not occur because he bumped the runner-up and was eventually disqualified; 0-for-41 jockey-trainer combo since 2012 does not add to the appeal; the LA workout for this suggests we back others.
Tribal Smoke
Debut winner was no surprise paying $7 all the way on the lead; snuck through the claim box for a 20%-winning repeat trainer; in light here shedding 5 pounds off the unveiling score noting the 1st start vs. winners is often any runner's toughest assignment
Run Hide
1st race off the claim was also his 1st synthetic-surface start where he faded behind Topper's Ghost; lone win and career-best Beyer on a wet main track where twice he's fired very well; needs to find the missing passing gear doing a rain dance for this to turn the tables.
Topper's Ghost
Just 2 career races so still has plenty of upside; wish the dirt workouts for the main-track debut were more eye-catching; was claimed off the debut win beating the show runner who Beyered 67 in his next-out DMR-20K-maiden claiming win; keeps Bejarano winning 45% for trainer Sadler at SA since 2012.
Southern Sunrise
Going to be hard to handle if runs back to his March, 2012, SA field-best Beyer racing right on the lead; aired on synthetic to graduate and clearly has an affinity for the SA dirt; the 3-back winner and runner-up finishers Beyered 89-82 in next-out BHP-optional-claiming and MSW wins; the debut winner repeated with a 93 speed figure taking an SA-optional claimer.
Hello Frankie
Good worktab for the return to dirt; was outfinished 2-back by the runner-up finisher who Beyered 81 in his next-out PM-16K stakes win; lone win and career-best Beyer was sitting just off the pace on a synthetic surface; exits his worst finish of career when beating just 2 runners home.
Defeated 3 runners combined in 2 other conventional-dirt defeats; both main-track starts were contested on wet ovals and deserves a chance to race on a fast track; best Beyer and lone win on turf when claimed for 35K in a GP-9F event December, 2011.

Race 3

Bourne Hot
Speedy colt draws the fence for his second crack on the lawn after fading to third behind a winner who is a serious contender in the Front Runner later on the card; trip may be a bit longer than he wants to go as he does come from a sprint family, but he does look to control things from the bell in here and has a right to be better second time over this footing; one to catch and beat.
Sire gets 10% first out winners and initial surface winners and the dam was a 5 time sprint winner who never tried the lawn; his lone sib to race was winless from 3 main track tries; barn does ok first out and some of the drills are solid, but 2 turns is tough to tackle first time out.
Yes Yes Yes
Hasn't been a threat in either of his 2 starts including the Del Mar stake in his initial surface spin; he's returned to work ok for the drop back to the maiden ranks but there's not much grass in his pedigree so don't know that he's going to take a big step forward second time over the footing.
El Desperado
Hood comes off after a weak sprint debut effort and now he'll stretch out and try the green; sire gets about 10% first time surface winners from his offspring and the winless dam was 0 for 1 on the green; lone winning sib was 0 for 3 on the lawn.
Storm the Channel
Barn knows how to get them ready and this guy has been in steady training for a while for his unveiling; sire gets about 8% first out winners overall but 17% first time surface winners from his offspring; G2 SP, SW dam banked 262K prior to dropping 2 foreign winners.
Shiva Ryan
Florida shipper ran ok on the Calder lawn first time out and he's had a local drill to get used to things out here; dam won twice on the green and dropped 2 surface winners as well as G1 SW Marylebone so this guy certainly has a right to take a big step forward; contender.
All for Us
He's another shipping in here and he'll make his first turf start today; Arlington sprint debut was pretty solid and though his sire is just 2 for 30 with his initial surface runners, the dam's other foal to race won twice on the green; consider.
Closet E
Yet another shipping West for this, he showed good speed in each of his Saratoga starts and now he'll make his second start on the green; local drills aren't much, but at least he's acquainted with the surroundings and he does figure to be close from the bell.
Carson's Ten
He's shown more improved early foot with each start and his Del Mar turf debut 2 back was actually pretty solid; colt worked well here earlier in the week for this and the barn does boast sharp numbers on the surface switch; can't be overlooked.
Cautious Giant
Ran well in his first start going long and now he'll move to the green for a barn that does great work with this type; he's the first foal to race out of a dam who was 0 for 1 on the green and his sire gets about 9% first time surface winners from his offspring; outside draw won't help him much.
Didn't lift his feet after getting off to a rough start last year and now he'll move to the lawn; sire gets 9% first surface winners from his offspring and he's the first foal to race out of a dam who was winless from 1 main track start; barn hasn't done so well with its second out runners.
Maxx the Kid
Outside drawn colt showed solid early lick before backing out of it in his Del Mar sprint debut; barn doesn't do so well with his initial surface runners and though the SW dam won 3 times on the green her other foals to race are a combined 0 for 10 over the stuff; sire gets 11% winners from his first turfers.
Oso Smart
AE goes first time for a new outfit while getting back to the green here; he was ok on the lawn at Del Mar but he'll have to start from a tough draw if he gets to go here and that would likely limit him to contending for a minor share.
Being There
Newcomer will start from the outside slot if he gets to go in here and that won't make things easy on him at this 2 turn trip; boasts a couple of decent drills for an outfit that hasn't had any recent luck with firsters; sire is 4 for 36 with his debut runners and 4 for 18 with his first surface runners; SP dam won once on the green and banked 149K prior to dropping this guy.

Race 4

Candy's Shoes
Cooked in a multiple speed duel in his debut, he could only manage minor spoils; his sire was undefeated, a G1 winner who banked 749K; the dam was unraced and there are no winning siblings to report.
Run the Show
No firepower shown in his only start but he had to deal with a wide slot that day; his sire, a pure sprinter, won multiple G1s and 831K; the dam won 1 of 12 and 37K; winning siblings include 22K earner Tic Toccet.
Oh Brother Go
Did not threaten in either venture; his sire won multiple G1s and 1.61 million while the dam scored in 2 of 22 appearances earning 88K; sib to 165K earner First Lady Glenna; note solid workout back on 9/8.
Da Bears
Newcomer has been working steadily; his sire twice won the Breeders' Cup Classic and 6.42 million overall; progeny of Tiznow have won 44 out of 577 debuts; the dam was unraced; sib to 31K earner First on Ice; respect.
I See Back
Offspring of Put It Back, a G2 victor who captured 232K, have scored in 53 out of 400 initial starts; the dam won 1 of 7 races and 22K; among the winning siblings is 109K earner Back to Gold.
Papa Turf
He showed good fighting speed in his first outing; his sire won at the G1 level en route to earning 1.08 million; the dam won 3 of 12 attempts and 91K; there are no winning siblings to highlight; worth some follow-up.
Firster shows an above average work tab this month; his sire won multiple G3s and 413K (descendants of Elusive Quality are 93 for 598 as far as winning their first test); the dam won 1 of 21 and 171K; this is her only foal to start.
Commendable first effort when unleashing a solid middle move; his sire won multiple G2s and 769K while the mom won 3 of 8 and 132K; among the winning siblings is 89K earner Ivy Connection; can atone at a much better price today.
True Visionary
Good blowout from the gate turned in only 3 days ago; the grey's sire won 465K including G1 success (progeny of Visionaire are 1 for 10 in debut attempts); the dam did not race; sib to 16K earner Baby Bordeaux.
I'll Wrap It Up
Turned in a fair showing in his maiden voyage but against claiming stock; her sire won a G1 and 557K while the dam scored in a G3 and netted 330K; there are no winning siblings to mention.
Adds blinkers after being caught wide in his second venture; the gelding's sire won 474K including multiple G3 tallies; the dam did not race; winning siblings include 87K earner Boulder Creek; can prove to be the right value play.
Quick and Silver
Broke slowest from the fence a month ago but recent six-furlong drill suggests he can turn things around suddenly; his sire won 2 of 5 and 393K; the dam was without a victory in 18 attempts; sib to 201K earner Karama.
Gravity Force
Quit early in his only start and will now have to deal with extreme outpost if drawing in; his prolific sire won 1 of 2 and 33K; the dam won 4 of 9 and 27K; there are no winning siblings to mention.
Tap It Rich
There are some very fine a.m. moves to consider for this runner (see I'll Wrap It Up, above, for same sire information); Tapit's offspring have won 51 out of 423 initial attempts; the dam won 1 of 6 and 27K; sib to 728K earner Adriano.

Race 5

Formerly called the Oak Leaf Stakes, this race has been won by some stars like Bold 'n Determined, Landaluce, Life's Magic, Phone Chatter and Serena's Song; Baffert has won 5 of the last 12 runnings of this race including last year when his Executiveprivilege, who was coming off a win in the Del Mar Deb before tow-roping her rivals in his race with an 84 Beyer; miss is improving and she seems to be getting better with distance; future is still very bright for this miss as she is kin to Grade 1 winner, Kentucky Derby 2nd and $1.3 million earner Bodemeister. There is nothing wrong with cozy slot or the series of drills since the last race; just may be her day.
Colonel Joan
Harty is 2 for 26 the last 5 years with second off the layoff runners in a Graded stakes with a median payoff of over $20 and 2 others ran second, one was beaten just a head at 25-1; one of two maidens in the field but she has the experience at a mile to draw from now and she did have the valid excuse of the slow start in the debut; show horse in last was nearly 6 lengths clear and there appears to be plenty of speed in here to help promote the kick; don't sell this gal short today.
Youngster got a slot 2-hole trip to cash at first asking and like the way Sadler has increased the distances of the local drills since the win; trainer also pretty good with this particular ploy as he is 5 for 33 or 17% the last 5 years with sprint to route runners in a Graded stakes and 7 ran second; her sire won multiple routes but her dam was sprint only and so is the lone sibling to race; she was the 2nd most expensive purchase in this field, and must be given legit look in all the slots.
Harlington's Rose
What happened to the speed this baby flashed in June?; she did break dead last and was hung wide in last; show horse in the maiden breaker took a state-bred MSW next out with a 55 Beyer; winner of her May race has won two $100,000 stakes since but was far back in the Grade 1 Del Mar Deb last month; her sire earned nearly $400,000 routing, her dam was 2nd in best result going long and this is her first foal to race; needs a rebound run.
Awesome Baby
Fast filly's hand was forced last time when she broke from the rail; she had to gun and she paid the price of the speed duel stopping when the real racing began; here sire earned over $4 million routing, dam's 2 wins were sprints, but sibling Milwaukee Blitz graduated going 9 furlongs on the Gulfstream grass; Baffert 14 for 62 or 22% the last 5 years with sprint to route runners in a Graded race and 10 ran second; feeling is she could be compromised by the other speed in here today.
Belle of the Fleet
Youngster had the legit excuse of the slow start in the debut but she rebounded in clever style in the Del Mar finale; winner of her bow repeated in the $50,000 Shepherd at Pomona with a 69 Beyer; she was coming away late in the win and her dam won two routes on the grass; this is not new territory for Hendricks as he is 2 for 6 the last 5 years with sprint to route runners in a Graded stakes with a median payoff of over $41; another move forward and this gal will be a handful.
Secret Compass
The third Baffert bullet in this race, this miss was getting to the winner in last and should appreciate the added distance with her style; here sire won a couple of routes but the dam and the siblings were sprint only; she has been put through her motions with several drills since the last race but none of the works are the typical Baffert sizzlers; there is one angle to think about though as this rider has won with 5 of the 8 mounts the last year or so when getting a leg up from this conditioner.
She's a Tiger
Gritty enough to turn the tables and get revenge on the one horse that has beaten her, she proved she could take the heat of speed duel in last and still live to tell about it; Stevens will have to make an early decision from this post to send hard and to let others do the hard work on the front end; 3 of sire's 5 wins were routes, dam was sprint only as were all of this gal's siblings including $1.4 million earner Smiling Tiger; note she only extended her margin in one race in her career and that was at 5 furlongs; sharp as a tack now, but she may need every ounce of talent to get this trip.

Race 6

She's run well since being returned from a layoff back in April and she's really stepped up her game lately with a G1 stakes placing two races ago and a sharp winning performance while earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure in her latest outing.
Lady of Shamrock
Multiple G1 winner has gotten the job done in seven of 15 turf starts, including four of six over this turf course, and she has every right to prove to be a major player in this event; look for her to sit farther back off the early pace than she did in her latest outing with blinkers.
Tiz Flirtatious
She's won seven of 11 lifetime, including four of seven over turf, and she's only been beaten once from four starts over the Santa Anita turf; she's yet to finish out of the top three and she made it look easy when getting the better of a couple of today's rivals in her latest start.
My Gi Gi
It's a little interesting to see that Bejarano will be back aboard as he piloted her to a G2 win last year at BHP; however, she's going to need to produce a performance that earns her a career best Beyer Speed Figure to come out on top in this one; looking toward others.
Starstruck (IRE)
Two of her first four starts since arriving in America have been sharp winning performances and the third place finisher from her latest race returned to win next out at WO on 9/15 going 1 1/8m over turf in a G2 with a 94 Beyer; she has a live look to her while going out for a top trainer/jockey tandem.
She earned a career best Beyer Speed Figure in her latest outing in what can be viewed as being the sharpest performance of her career, but it does look like this can prove to be an extremely tough step up in class for her; going to give the nod to others.
Marketing Mix
She's another in here with multiple G1 winning credentials, and if she feels up to one of her better performances, she can make things very difficult on this field; there's a chance that the early pace will be slow to develop, and that would be just fine with this miss; obvious threat with Stevens at the controls.

Race 7

Maiden tries winners in his first crack on dirt after running on late to get the place in the Del Mar turf stake earlier in the month; colt ran well on synthetic footing this summer and he has been working as if the new footing will pose him little problem, but he could find himself with some work to do in the lane after dropping back early from this inside slot.
Gets Lasix for his first with winners after rolling home to break his maiden first out going long at Del Mar; he's one of just 2 in here with a route score to his credit and that's a huge edge; draws towards the inside again and maybe he's a little more handy this time with a couple of solid local drills on tap for his first crack over this type of footing; contender.
Even Echo
Maiden has't hit the board in any of his 3 starts and his lone route spin behind one of today's foes was poor; he worked well on dirt a couple of weeks back, but he didn't do much over the footing at Fairplex; it's tough to make any type of case for this longshot.
Can the Man
Did all the dirty work in the G1 Del Mar Futurity a few weeks back and wasn't beaten much by a couple of these at the wire; he draws inside the other speed in here and has been working very well since moving to this footing earlier in the month; pedigree suggests the added ground will be right up his alley; one to catch and beat.
Barn's second runner in here broke his maiden second time out in the Fairplex stake and now he'll try a better bunch; he's worked well here and though Garcia opts to side with the outfit's other runner in here he'll get a solid pilot for the stretchout to this trip; consider.
Statebred seeks his third straight score after running them down from an outside draw in the Del Mar Futurity; he'll try dirt for the first time here and though he is kin to route winner and 254K earner Tamarack Smarty, his other 2 sibs to race - 493K earner Luckarack and SW U'narack - were both better at one turn; he clearly has some ability, but prefer to side against him in here.
Dance With Fate
He's another who rolled up to grab a share of the Del Mar Futurity after a hot clip set things up for him; colt split a couple of these in that one and he's shown that with a clean start he can be right up with the pacesetters early; one of his sibs was a multiple route winner so the added ground shouldn't bother him; consider.
Better Bet
Statebred added the hood for the stretchout after backing out of it in the restricted sprint stake last out at Del Mar; don't think he'll love the added real estate here and the presence of inside drawn speed doesn't figure to benefit him much today; keeps things honest up top.
Bond Holder
Maiden enters this on the improve and did earn a career best number when sent long for the initial time at Del Mar; colt has had little trouble passing runners and the pace in front of him should at least be honest here; he's had a couple of recent drills to get used to this new footing and can't be overlooked.
Test Ride
Drew the fence in his Del Mar sprint debut run and encountered some trouble before running on for a share behind one of these; he's worked a handful of times in the interim but don't know that he's going to love the trip as his sire was a one turn speedball and the dam's 2 foals to go long were a combined 0 for 10 routing.
Flat Gone
He's another non-winner trying stakes runners in his first crack on dirt; colt has shown little early foot and though he worked well for his first start on dirt here last week, he won't have it easy from this outside slot; looking elsewhere for the winner.

Race 8

Our Pure Creation
Sire wins with approximately 14% of his turf starters and dam was winless from just one start, and it was a turf start; have to respect what she showed in her career debut, but this isn't a soft assignment for her first start against winners and her first start over turf.
Macaabra (IRE)
She put in a fine run in her first start in America in her latest outing, and if she's ready to reproduce that level of performance against these, she might be tough to hold off in deep stretch; must consider.
Fine Assay
She's been beaten by a couple of today's rivals in her two most recent races, but her form seems to keep heading in the right direction, and not going to be at all surprised if she's able to get herself into the mix.
Bonnie Lesley (IRE)
She didn't finish all that far behind one of today's key rivals in Macaabra in her latest outing and it certainly doesn't hurt to see that she retains the services of Gomez for this; looking at her as being a late running threat.
Rosies Ready
She put together a decent performance in her turf debut two races back, and when seeing what she did and her first attempt routing in her latest outing, it's probably a good idea to respect her chances as she gives turf another try.
Boller Bomb
Stakes placed filly is the only one in here with four wins next her name, and not only has she won half of her six turf starts, but she's two-for-two over the Santa Anita turf; note the success that this barn has had with horses making their first start for them after a claim.
Hard Buns
This filly brings a nice turf pedigree with her, but she's had her chances to show us what she can do, and this looks like a tough spot for her to be seeking her first turf win; she looks like more of an outsider.
Smooth Talker
She was a sharp winner when breaking her maiden three starts ago and perhaps it's worth noting that Stevens was aboard her that day; add in a top turf barn, and there are some things to be positive about in this direction.
Foxy Boss
Have a lot of respect for Street Boss as a turf sire and this filly has recorded five consecutive quality starts over turf; winner from latest returned to win next out at BHP on 7/12 going 1m over turf vs. N2X rivals with a 90 Beyer.
Awe' Some Kitten
Stakes placed filly got the job done in her only turf attempt, but that was against 40-35k claimers, and this can prove to be a tough spot for her second turf attempt; note that she was claimed away from the Miller barn out of her latest race.
She brings a high degree of early speed with her, and like to see the improved performance she showed up with in her turf debut in her latest outing, but she is going to need to find a way to ration out her speed more carefully if she's to leave something in reserve for the run through the stretch.
Burns Turn
She's clearly capable of showing up with a competitive performance against competition of this caliber, but when considering her for the top spot, it is of some concern that she's racked up five runner-up finishes; Bejarano has won with 20 of 65 (31%) starters for this barn in 2013.
Hero's Marine
Sire wins with approximately 13% of his turf starters and dam won 3 of 28 starts for 48k, including 0-for-4 over turf; this filly is a 1/2 to Storming Marine (3-18, 120k over turf).
Two of her three starts over turf have been solid performances and she earned a minor stakes victory over turf in her latest outing while making her first start for this barn after a 25k claim; she's worth keeping an eye out for in the event that she draws in.

Race 9

Great Hot (BRZ)
The credentials are there for this gal for all to see off the win in the Grade 2 Santa Maria this year when she broke from this very rail; that win was also in a third off the layoff situtation; she did only beat 4 in that fray and was getting late in the process; miss has been on the dull side since with a press and fade effort in the Hirsch and the further regression last time at 41-1; needs a turn around.
Via Villaggio
It has been well over a year since this daughter of Bernardini visited the charmed circle; 0 for 5 at this distance and had no apparent excuse in her defeat last time in a restricted $90,000 stakes at Del Mar; she also has been out of the money in both of her races at this track and has been handled by a number of today s foes; must pick it up.
Speedy, consistent, repeatedly proven locally are just a few of this sophomore's best assets; Mandella 5 for 35 the last 5 years with second off the layoff runners in a Graded stakes and 5 ran second; miss was never comfortable in the Kentucky Oaks as she was factious, was acting up, was bothered early but she still tried like a pro in the tough beat; flattered that day when Princess of Sylmar returned to take the Grade 1 CCA Oaks and then turned the hat trick winning the Grade 1 Alabama in August at Saratoga; other than Joyful Victory, there is not a ton of speed in here and would not be shocked if rider Stevens lets this miss do what she does best and that's go hard early and play come catch me.
Include Me Out
In patient hands, this mare is repeatedly proven off the vacation and she showed her grit and class winning a Grade 1 on this surface last year; game sprint win to kick off 2013 but may not have been fit enough to stretch out last time after having dead aim at the top of the lane; love the series of drills trainer Ellis has put into since that last race including a number of moves at 6 furlongs; could envision her sitting 3 or so off a moderate pace hoping the speed comes back as the trip will be everything for her.
Flashy American
Streaking miss is coming to this race right but she has to prove it in Graded company; nothing wrong with hitting the exacta in 10 of 22 and like the fact she has won at a number of different venues; she has to find a way to turn the tables on the Pletcher runner in the post next door; one of her best assets is she has tactical speed but can come from left field and win like she did in her $100,000 stakes win at Saratoga. going far to good to ignore.
This talented mare was in chase mode in her last and just could not close the deal; she did fire big time last time and could be in a nice stalk and pounce position when the real racing begins; place horse in the Shuvee two back has won 2 stakes since, the last was the $111,000 Locust Grove at Churchill with a 90 Beyer; runner that won on May 27 has not raced back but has earned over $1.1 million in her career; blood is also there for this miss to continue to thrive. as dam is kin to near $400,000 earner Statement and if you go deeper in her pedigree one will find the double Grade 3 winner and near $450K earner Appealing Missy; legit contender.
Joyful Victory
Expertly managed this year, this mare has only lost once this season and the pace was very fast that day; she just could not stand the heat in the kitchen in the Phipps; a solid second in this very race last year, trainer Jones knows she handles the surface as she posted the career best 108 Beyer winning the Santa Margarita in March; in the drill on Monday, miss showed she is full of herself with the second best spin on 41 that morning; the way she closed in the November debut in 2012 suggests she can settle if need be but would expect rider, who is 27% for Jones the last year or so, to be aggressive from the sound of the bell; going great guns.
More Chocolate
This sweet Sadler filly needs to turn it around; she won her dirt debut in the Grade 2 La Canada at Anita, chased Joyful Victory home in next and had to settle for second money of late; seems best when put into the race early but she has been left with too much work to do late in her last couple; note Bejarano was aboard for her maiden breaker but backers have to hope they go bonkers early and the race falls completely apart.

Race 10

Stalk and pounce is the style that this guy brings to the table; proven here this year in the Santana Mile, he showed his class winning the Grade 2 Mervin LeRoy with a career best 107 Beyer; only poor race this year came when wide in a race he had to need in the San Diego; two races now to draw from and could be set for a big effort; bad news is there are 3 rivals in this race that have had his number in the past.
Golden Ticket
Connections also entered today at Churchill in the $175,000 Homecoming Classic; coming out party for this colt came when he won the Travers at 33-1 but he fell off the radar a bit after that race but chased a multiple Grade 1 winner and over $4 million earner two back; in the last race, he got away with slow splits and had plenty left in the tank at the end; the concern: sure he was beating anybody in last as the place horse is only 3 for 26 career.
Soi Phet
Whatever got into this runner his connections should bottle it and sell it for a bundle; claimed for $16,000 he has been on a roll of late and he has done it in a variety of ways wiring a field in June, cashing from the 2 hole the next time, was inching away in his next when again close to the pace, then came from 4th and 6 lengths off the pace last time to beat a $62,500 optional field; 0 for 9 at Santa Anita, and that fact must be addressed; Powell may not be a household name but he himself has a nice pedigree as he worked for Richard Mandella, Neil Drysdale and John Shirreffs; if this guy wins, it will be against the toughest field he has ever faced.
Three of his 10 wins were local but all of those wins were when this was a synthetic strip; wraps were added for the wide trip last time but he was flattered when the place horse in the Pacific Classic took the Del Mar Handicap next out; winner June 29 took the Del Mar Mile next out for his 9th career victory; renewed energy in the drill last Monday but with his come-from-the-clouds style, he better have a traffic cop on speed dial.
You Know I Know
This reformed claimer is looking for the biggest payday of his life today; he turned the corner in June and considering Game on Dude was by himself in the Pacific Classic last time, this guy's race was not all that bad as he was inching toward the winner late; best day are probably still ahead of him and he probably should be given a chance here after getting a nice slice last time; will be in the picture late if at all.
Take Control
Lightly-raced but obviously talented, this guy is out of champion and multiple Grade 1 winner Azeri, who banked over $4 million; she also dropped the Wine Princess, who lost only start at 9 furlong but took the Grade 3 Monmouth Oaks and banked nearly $300,000 winning 4 of her 10 starts; one of closers in here trained by Baffert and love the go-go work pattern coming to this race accentuated by the blowout on Wednesday; respect.
It was a nice bit of training by Baffert to have this runner win off nearly a full year layoff but then he lost a hard-fought race in the Grade 2; don't be too harsh about the last race as he didn't ever seem to handle the sealed sloppy strip at Saratoga; seldom far removed from the pace, this guy should be in striking distance when they turn for home as he can utilize his :45 and change speed; class is surely there off the tough beat in the Belmont Stakes last year; another that demands a long look.
Chief Havoc
Connections took a shot in the Del Mar Derby on turf last time but that is not his preferred surface; if one figures he needed the race, since he was out since July, then you can build a case for a move forward; note he graduated here in a second off the layoff run and he did it in fine style drawing off as he pleased; best when sent along, expect rider to be aggressive from the sound of the bell but not sure he will be able to clear today; needs a rebound performance.
Summer Hit
Grade 3 winner is consistent as the day is long; 2 for 3 at Santa Anita, 8 for 13 in his career and he has only been out of the money once; only poor effort this year came when he was fried in a duel off a near 2-month layoff at Del Mar on grass; he has come a long way since his winning debut for a $12,500 claiming tag at Golden Gate; will at least muddle the pace but not sure he will be around when the smoke clears.
Mucho Macho Man
This pro has won off the bench repeatedly in his career; he showed a distinct penchant for this surface in the Breeders' Cup Classic last year when a well-clear second to Fort Larned; tough go of it this year, after stopping badly in his 2013 opener, he was again the beaten favorite before losing a bit of ground late when third in the Woodward in his last race; clever move on the 14th was three ticks the best and tied with Points Offthebench, a 5 for 7 Grade 1 winner; runner is best when able to track the pace and then excel when asked and that is the type of trip that is projected today; he finished his final eighth last time in :13.13 and should be right on the wire if he brings his A game.

Race 11

Include the Aussie
Have to go back to the December unveiling loss to see a race this short of a distance on her form; have serious concerns if she can get up in time; the 2-back winner repeated in an AP-optional claimer with an 80 Beyer speed figure; saves ground from far back then makes 1 run.
Lilbourne Eliza (IRE)
1-for-25 route-to-sprint trainer since 2012 does not add to the appeal; cuts back to her shortest-distance test since the September, 2012, near-miss finish on synthetic in England; has serious stamina questions to answer vs. foes who have already defeated her in 2013.
Zia Zia Zia
Travels the longest distance of her career off the even-finishing loss on synthetic; her turf win was on the lead at shorter but we have not seen that type of gate speed since the May win over the show finisher a next-out 80 Beyer BHP-$62,500-claiming winner.
Tribal Spy
Great sign that the 1st race for a new trainer produced a career-best Beyer; the main knock is that she has not raced on grass since the November unveiling fade; has learned to rate in recent races but has tons to prove on the lawn facing proven grass stars; graduated at today's distance on synthetic 3-back beating the show runner a next-out 66 Beyer BHP-30K-maiden claiming graduate.
Warren's Veneda
Raced longer in each of her other 3 grass races; the lawn win was at 2F longer than this when sitting just off the speed; posted her career-best Beyer 2-back at much longer on a synthetic surface and reunites with the win rider from that event for this; the 3-back runner-up finisher Beyered 83 in her next-out DMR-optional claiming win.
Last time racing this short of a distance was the October maiden breaker sitting just off the pace; Grade 3 stakes winner at 1 Mile the 1st time sent a route but has lacked stamina in other Miles; 1st time for this rider for a 21%-winning turf barn
Judy In Disguise (GB)
The 69-day absence and racing with her heaviest USA weight assignment off the loss to Unusual Way does not help the cause; she won her USA debut off a long layoff and the SA stakes-grass win rider stays right here; the worktab for this does impress but clearly she likes this downhill turf course a lot.
Has never raced this short on the lawn; speedster does her best work right on the lead but remains to be seen with the cutback in distance whether she will be quick enough to make the lead; the 3-back winner repeated in a DMR-optional claimer with a 99 Beyer then made it 4 in a row in the G1 Test (91); looms as a major pace presence.
Heir Kitty
Receives a positive 6-pound weight swing off the under 2 length February turf loss vs. Judy In Disguise; the runner-up finisher from that race Beyered 95 in a next-out SA-200K stakes win on her way to 3 in a row including a BHP Grade 2 triumph; clearly can turf scoring her career-debut win on the green; the pick.
Moulin de Mougin
Will clearly need to up her game to a brand-new level to upset these; even finish more than 8 months ago vs. lesser which makes her a tough call with these; the 2-back runner-up finisher Beyered 80 in her next-out BHP-Grade 3 stakes win; owns an improving-career speed figure pattern for a 7%-winning long-layoff barn.
Unusual Way
Has not raced this short of a distance since August, 2012; 3 of her 4 wins were right on the lead but rated nicely 3-back in the Mile stakes triumph; style suggests the cutback in yardage can help the cause; the 4-back winner and runner-up finishers Beyered 95-91 in next-out BHP alw. and Grade 2 stakes wins.
Hail Mary
Sire is 17-for-132 with 1st-turf starters; 1-for-1 dam (11K) did not race on grass; she produced 1 foal to race on turf Sax went 1-for-9 on the green (12K); 2 of her 3 wins and her field-best Beyer was accomplished racing right on the lead; exits her lowest Beyer since February when favored which prompts the surface switch and added half furlong; try to catch me.