08/31/2016 10:04AM

Phillip Woo's Hong Kong Analysis for Sept. 3, 2016


Seasons King (#10) dashed well to light the frame three times after going back from wide gates in his final four outings. He should get a race run to suit and will be hard to keep out of the finish. Happy Sound (#2) only found the late burst of Ray Of Gold too good following a drop in grade over this trip on closing day. He’s drawn to give a bold sight. Free November (#1) failed to add to a front-running trip second behind G-One Bo Bo in February but is a likely improver at this level. Friends Forever (#7) is another unpredictable sort but did make all on a wet track over 1,400m in April and kept on all right in a lead-up trial. He’s a place hope.

Plain Blue Banner (#10) was a closing fourth over the 1,200m in his season finale and does return eight points lower in the handicaps for an easy course-and-distance win 12 months back. He’s clearly at his best fresh and can figure. Prince Falcon (#2) gets back in his races but never missed the frame in his three outings over this course and distance from 15 outings last term and will appreciate the company at this level. Brilliant Monkeys (#5) may need this run but will appreciate the return to the level of two trip successes and a second from five outings last term. Dynamic Voyage (#6) did run some creditable races in Class Four, including a near trip success over Right Call in March, and can’t be taken lightly with a drop in grade.

Dashing Fellow (#3) is more effective over the 1,400m, including a Group win in March and nail-biting second to Sun Jewellery in June, but isn’t easy to run down and should give a good sight following a trial win. Packing Pins (#1) is giving away weight but is a quality performer up to a mile and unbeaten first up in both campaigns. He trialled well behind Dashing Fellow and should be in the firing line throughout from gate three. Lucky Year (#6) capped the campaign with a fourth Valley win in July and is equally dangerous at Sha Tin. He travelled under a good hold in a trial and should hold his own at this level. Blizzard (#5) had a setback with lameness in May but did give a good sight over unsuitable distances in two legs of the Derby series after winning three sprints. He needs to be kept safe.

Peace Combination (#10) stayed on reasonably well to fill the frame three times over this course and distance in six Class Fours after an opening win in Class Five. Claimer will help from a good gate and must have claims. Massive Move (#9) relished a return to the straight 1,000m with visors on for a front-running win over rival Art Of Success in July. He’s trialled nicely but will need to defy a low gate. Art Of Success (#11) was closing the gap with every stride in a final start second behind Massive Move over his favourite straight 1,000m but won’t get any favours from his gate. Unique Joyful (#8) wasn’t disgraced in his final two starts last season after resuming for his new trainer following a February failure with blood in his trachea. He has proven first-up form and can surprise.

Run Forrest (#1) only stepped out four times last term but had opened with a closing third to Jolly Jolly after bombing the start. He wasn’t tested in a trial but will have good support coming down in grade. Super Man (#2) ended last season in a purple patch of form over this trip following a move to blinkers and looks a live chance following a front-running dirt trial win. Team Sweet (#4) couldn’t add to a second-up win over this course and distance but still did get going for cheques in four of his final seven starts and can get up for a placing. World Record (#8) will have Karis Teetan on board after waking up under Joao Moreira for a near trip success at his final start but is still open to improvement.

Smiling Glory (#12) has a tricky gate but does appear from a recent trial win on the dirt to have benefitted from the summer break and can breakthrough after filling the frame in five of six outings last term. Unleashed Dragon (#4) didn’t disgrace in a final run fourth over 1,400m after wearing down Supreme Flight second-up over this tri and looks in decent shape following a good 800m pipe-opener. Bold Stitch (#1) went within a short-head behind G-One Leader after a hard run of notching a second straight win over 1,400m in February. Trip’s short but is one to dismiss at your own peril. Roundabout (#3) has a tricky gate and failed nine times to improve on a debut third behind Racing Hero over 1,400m but did finish up with two positive performances and can wake up with a drop in grade.

Flying Force (#3) didn’t get a chance to add to a May win over the Sha Tin 1,200m when lame in June but looks a live hope following a smart trial win over the straight 1,000m. Winfull Patrol (#7) has a history of health issues but doesn’t know how to run a bad race over this course and distance, including a second behind Gallant Rock in May. He’s a pace factor. Lucky Celebrity (#10) isn’t reliable and still looking for a first local win but does usually perform best fresh over this course and distance and did find the line well in a recent 800m trial. Fish N’Chips (#11) doesn’t have too much upside off his current mark but does have proven course and distance form and did stay on reasonably well for second behind Moment Of Power over the Valley 1,000m in July at this level. He’s a place chance.

Iron Boy (#8) collared Hot Hot Pepper following a drop in grade for a C&D win carrying top weight in June and looks ready to strut his stuff at this level after quickening nicely to win a trial. Green Card (#4) placed twice from six starts and finished the campaign with a closing trip fourth to Love Shock. He strode out well in a 1,000m trial and can breakthrough at any time. Sunny Orient (#7) wasn’t asked for an effort in a recent dirt trial but there was plenty to like in his June debut when a pace-stalking course-and-distance second behind Malmsteen. Multimax (#14) left his best for last when making all the running over this course and distance for a short-head win over the promising D B Pin. He might hang on for a slice off a light weight despite a return to Class Three and outside gate.

Joyful Moments (#2) only succumbed late in his final two runs after easily holding off Verbinsky for a deserving course-and-distance win in March. Expect a good run following a nice trial win over 800m. Baba Mama (#8) should handle a jump in grade after letting down brilliantly to win his final two starts and did move well in a lead-up trial. People’s Knight (#4) was disappointing after a Griffin Trophy win but did have excuses in his final run following a slow break following a gallant second behind Friends Of Nanjing following a tough run. He may have more to offer. Smart Boy (#7) won’t find this any easier but is a winner waiting to happen after catching the eye in both outings last term.

Mighty Maverick (#10) got the better of rival Cheeky Too over this trip in March and did end the term with a close mile third behind Joyful Trinity over the 1,600m at this level. He trialled fine over an unsuitable 800m and is an each-way chance. Merion (#6) was threatening in his six outings last term, including a third placing when a closing third to Mr Bogart over the 1,200m following a stable change in June. He’s trialled positively and can make his presence felt. Circuit Land (#1) didn’t disgrace when ending a three-win campaign on both surfaces with a mile fourth behind the exciting Helene Paragon. He’ll go close with the claim well utilized. Spicy Sure (#2) is awkwardly drawn but showed a versatile run style to cap last season with a front-running win two starts back and three placings over this course and distance and does look in good order following a nice trial win.

(Saturday 3 September 2016 race meeting)

RACE 1: Seasons King (#10), Happy Sound (#2), Free November (#1), Friends Forever (#7).
RACE 2: Plain Blue Banner (#10), Prince Falcon (#2), Brilliant Monkeys (#5), Dynamic Voyage (#6).
RACE 3: Dashing Fellow (#3), Packing Pins (#1), Lucky Year (#6), Blizzard (#5).
RACE 4: Peace Combination (#10), Massive Move (#9), Art Of Success (#11), Unique Joyful (#8).
RACE 5: Run Forrest (#1), Super Man (#2), Team Sweet (#4), World Record (#8).
RACE 6: Smiling Glory (#12), Unleashed Dragon (#4), Bold Stitch (#1), Roundabout (#3).
RACE 7: Flying Force (#3), Winfull Patrol (#7), Lucky Celebrity (#10), Fish N’Chips (#11).
RACE 8: Iron Boy (#8), Green Card (#4), Sunny Orient (#7), Multimax (#14).
RACE 9: Joyful Moments (#2), Baba Mama (#8), People’s Knight (#4), Smart Boy (#7).
RACE 10: Mighty Maverick (#10), Merion (#6), Circuit Land (#1), Spicy Sure (#2).