09/06/2012 2:27PM

Mohawk: Saturday 9/8 Analysis

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Best Bet: A ROCKNROLL DANCE (5th)    Spot Play: LITTLE BROWN FOX (4th)

Race 1

(8) DOIN TIME TOGETHER has been very consistent at this level in his last two starts, which includes a victory. He has post eight which worries me a little. I hope he's near the front in the early going. (5) LIFEOFTHEOLDBOY is the most consistent horse in the field at this level. He's a 'must have' on your exactor/triactor wagers. (6) LOST IN PANSLATION raced very well last week with his :26 4/5 final quarter. He's at the level where he can win.

Race 2

(6) GUCCIO has been camera shy in his career, but shows up when the money's on the line. I have to include (2) GYM TAN LAUNDRY after his impressive win at Vernon Downs. It's his only win of the season, but if he can repeat that effort, he's a big contender. (5) KNOWS NOTHING gets home court advantage and will be better placed than his last start.

Race 3

(4) CLASSIC ROCK NROLL is the obvious choice in here after his wicked back half in his last start. He's really blossomed this year! (8) SPARKY MARK is back at a level where he is more competitive. I only hope he's near the front. (7) FORECLOSURE N hasn't had a marvelous season to date, but Tetrick always has the key to success with him.

Race 4

After watching (1) LITTLE BROWN FOX set a new stakes record in his last start, I feel he has the potential to upset (9) MARKET SHARE, who will begin from post nine and will be the likely favourite. He's the Hambo champ and has been very consistent this season, but I'm going to pick against him. (6) MY MVP has always been knocking on the door and I expect no different in this field.

Race 5

How do you pick against (12) A ROCKNROLL DANCE? He went a very tough trip in his last start and still paced in 1:49 1/5 against a much tougher field. He's clearly the horse to beat, even from post 12. (9) DAPPER DUDE has been very impressive in his last start and Mohawk Racetrack has served him well this season. Campbell in the bike never hurts either. (8) MICHAELS POWER will taste one of his toughest tasks of the season. He's the richest 3YO this year and has only been defeated twice. I think it will happen again.

Race 6

(7) MACH DREAMER is my top selection in this race, mainly because Gingras is in the bike. He ran out of real estate last week, but I'm looking for a repeat effort at this same level. (1) PIECE OF THE ROCK set a new lifetime best last week with Brennan in the bike. This race, Scott 'The Answer' Young is back in the sulky. Hopefully he has the 'Answer.' (5) IDEAL RACE closed well last start and will get Jamieson in the bike. That's a plus!

Race 7

(7) IDEAL CHOICE gets major class relief and Jamieson back in the bike. He'll likely be the favourite come post time. (8) HARE CRAFT closed extremely well last start. Post eight doesn't bother me because he usually comes from off the pace. (4) BULLET SPEED also drops down in class. He's been very inconsistent this year. He's an option.

Race 8

(11) I LUV THE NITELIFE will most likely be the post time favourite. I've selected her in here, but I do feel she's beatable. I feel both (4) PARLEE BEACH and (8) L DEES LIONESS could upset. All three fillies are ahead of their competitors and will offer a minimal triactor return.

Race 9

(3) KYLE MAJOR gets back to a level where he is competitive at, and given his performance the past three starts, this is the class where he belongs. (2) BLENDED WHISKEY scored an impressive win at Kawartha Downs. He's tasted victory again and should respond well to the big track. (8) WAZZUP WAZZUP has been treated with Lasix the past two starts and the results have been encouraging. That's why he's on my ticket.

Race 10

(2) ODDS ON EQUULEUS has deemed himself as a top rookie pacer this year. There is no CAPTAINTREACHEROUS in the race; therefore I feel he's the horse to beat. (12) APPRENTICE HANOVER is also a very playable horse. I might have made him my top selection if his nose was on the gate. It's between those two horses to win, in my opinion. (1) ROCKIN AMADEUS might be a longshot play, but he's progressed quite well over the past weeks. With the rail, it only increases his chances.

Race 11

(6) REBEKA BAYAMA was simply too far back in her last start. Other than last week, her numbers have been ahead of everyone else in this field. She's the horse to beat, but (5) MYLUVMYLIFE could do just that after going sub-1:50 in her latest outing. (4) ROYAL CEE CEE N has been very consistent this season. She continues to go sub-1:50 and I wouldn't be surprised if she did it again.

Race 12

(4) ANDERLECT never looked so good last week for Mayotte, who picked up the catch drive. He was a convincing winner. (7) MAJOR HOTTIE recently qualified and will be very competitive in this field. Don't overlook his back-class. His best stride comes on the front end. (2) LOOKINFORADVENTURE raced well off the layoff.

Race 13

This was a very tough race to handicap, but I selected (2) TWIN B WARRIOR. He got roughed up in his latest effort, but has a high percentage trainer-driver combination. (2) PANDA BEAR returns to this circuit after tasting victory elsewhere.  MacDonald has the key to success for this horse. (10) JEPSON HANOVER is a tough play, but if they go speedy fractions up front, he’s the horse that could pick them off late.

 

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