04/21/2016 3:37PM

Mohawk: Saturday 4/23 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,8/3/4,7/1,2,5,7/5,7,8 = $9.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,5,7/5,7,8/2,8,10/2,5 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,6/1,3,8/1,5/3,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 29 - 80 / $150.40  BEST BETS: 6 - 8 / $32.90

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 8 / $0.00

Best Bet: MUSCIAL RHYTHM (2nd)

Spot Play: SOMEWHERE FANCY (7th)

Race 1

(1) BET YA faces easier and gets Lasix here. The three weeks off is a bit concerning, but this is a field she should handle if she is close to right. (8) JUSTABIT MEAN has been racing well and finishing fast. Look for her late. (5) WAR FILLY is better when making one late charge, a style she will likely revert to here.

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Race 2

(3) MUSICAL RHYTHM goes for his 10th straight win here in the Don Mills series final and is hard to bet against. (6) MYSTERY BET motored up late for 2nd last time and seems to be back on track. If he stays on stride he is a good bet to complete the exacta. (2) GRANA PADANNO - stablemate to the choice - looks next best in this short field.

Race 3

(4) A ROD HALL is on a roll and has been trotting home powerfully each week. He can make it four straight here. (7) PISCEAN broke last time when facing better. She can contend here if she stays flat. (5) JETPEDIA shares in most of his races and can hit the ticket here too.

Race 4

(5) REGALLY READY flew down the lane last week but was nailed right on the line by a mare that was closing slightly faster. She is one of several that could do in a contentious Pick 4 opening leg. (2) MARQUISE DE SARAH was passed by the choice last week, despite closing in 27 1/5. She should be close here at the finish. (1) MAPLELEA was a win machine last year and looks well-prepped for her 2016 debut.

Race 5

(8) SHADES OF BAY went a big trip last week and was an unlucky loser when the winner slipped up the inside late. He is sharp and should be a top contender here. (7) WAZZUP WAZZUP drops to a class where his speed should carry farther. (3) PROVEN DESIRE had some pace last week but was too far back. If he leaves better and lands a spot near the front early he has a chance to upset.

Race 6

(10) THANKYOUKESSEL motored down the middle of the track last time to fall just short. He can take these if he lands a decent spot early. (2) ZORGIWIK ORCHID raced well off the claim last week and should be prominent here. (8) LEXUS ROCKY drops after a better effort and is a threat to go down the road here.

Race 7

(5) SOMEWHERE FANCY was flying at the wire two back in a similar class then stepped up too high. He should be a good price here; top call. (2) CROCADILE CANYON comes in off a much-improved effort and is one to fear here. (7) AVATARTIST followed strong fractions then slid up the rail for the win last week. He should get a similar spot near the front early and is dangerous.

Race 8

(5) IMKEEPNTHISGUY continues to motor home, should get a good pace to chase and will likely be overlooked in the wagering here; slight nod. (4) WAR N MUNN is another that should benefit from a strong early pace. (6) KOKANEE SEELSTER has been on a tear out west and will have to be caught here.

Race 9

(1) DAZZLE N DELIGHT drops to a class where she should be a top contender. Look for Zeron to move her earlier here. (3) TRUE REFLECTION is another that should excel in this class but notice her 2 for 41 record in the past two years. (8) SHOW SOME LEG made a strong first-over bid last week which is a sign of improvement; using.

Race 10

(5) NICKLE BAG is back at the top of his game which spells trouble for his five rivals here; top call. (1) NIRVANA SEELSTER wasn't far behind the choice last time and likes Mohawk. If there is going to be an upsetter, he's it. (6) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL looks next best.

Race 11

(8) HIS BOY ELROY didn't get the right trip last week but he will be a better price here and that tightener should help; slight nod. (3) DEETZY was like a new horse last week and is sure to be heavily bet here. He's a must-use in the Pick 4. (1) JINS SHARK was an easy winner for new connections last week and can take a big share here. (7) UFDRAGONS ROCKET debuts for Waxman and isn't out of this. (6) TIGHTEN UP is always around the money and should be closing late for a piece of the pie here.

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