08/17/2013 3:41PM

Mohawk: Monday 8/19 Analysis


Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: SEE AND SKI (12th)

Spot Play: ONE MORE GINNY (3rd)

Race 1

(9) ZORGWIJK NOVA hasn't been at her best this season and will look for a turnaround effort. She qualified well and has two wins from five starts this season. (8) LEGZY did most of the work last week en route to victory. She has a very successful 2012 campaign and is a top threat in here. (6) TWIN B ALIBI has hit the board in all of her five most recent starts. She comes from a top trotting barn and is a logical option for the triactor.

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Race 2

(3) HETTIE HONEY draws well and has the best record of any horse in this field. She's versatile and has four wins this season. (4) MOMS APPLE PIE raced very well last week at Sudbury and had a credible 2012 season. She draws well and showed the speed three races back. (4) OCEAN MIST BEAUTY is a longshot pick to spice up the triactor. She draws well and has it the board in two of her last three starts.

Race 3

(9) ONE MORE GINNY has a habit of making miscues, but when she's on her game, she's a terrific option. She has the speed and won two back at The Meadowlands. (5) WHISKEY TAX has been racing well, but will need to step up his game even more. He should be even better in his fourth start this season. (8) DAYLON MIRACLE has been racing very well since entering the Gillis barn. She's versatile and gets Jamieson.

Race 4

(1) DAVIDS DREAM gets the rail, gets McNair in the bike and was timed in 1:51 3/5 last start. He's versatile and has a good record this season. (5) ANDWIN HANOVER is fresh off a win and has hit the board in two of his last three starts. He also gets Zeron in the bike. (2) LYONSPARKHAVENLAKE draws well and raced very well last start to finish second. He'll likely offer a price and has displayed the speed in recent weeks.

Race 5

(9) ORDERINGIN certainly has the speed to win this event and she comes out of Moreau's barn. She was timed in 1:54 2/5 just three starts ago and shows versatility. (7) WIND STROLL is fresh off a win by open lengths and that performance makes her a top candidate in here. She's a coin toss because she'll have to mind her manners. (2) BOP TO THE TOP draws inside and comes from a good trotting barn. She'll likely offer a price, but has hit the board in four of her last five starts.

Race 6

(2) KNOWS NOTHING comes out of the Maple Leaf Trot and into this class. He hasn't raced sine July 20, which is a concern. (7) WATKINS made a break last week and that's very uncharacteristic of him. He's been very consistent all season and that should continue in here. (1) QUICK DEAL makes his third start in the Henriksen barn and raced very well last start. He draws inside and enjoys racing near the front.

Race 7

(5) MAJOR DEAGAN closed very well last week despite finishing sixth. He came from well off-the-pace to be timed in 1:54 2/5 and gets Filion back in the bike. (6) FORT KNOX gets the Zeron/Alagna connection and used a :27 final frame in his latest qualifier. That type of effort sets him up well in here. (2) ABOLISH UNIONS draws inside and comes out of the Gillis barn. He gets Jamieson in the bike and continues to drop time in each qualifier.

Race 8

(5) WINDSONG JACK is winless this season from six starts, but has been racing very well and is due. He comes out of the Menary barn and was timed in a speedy 1:49 2/5 last start. (4) PANPERO FIRPO is Menary's other entry and has won his last two of three. He races at his best when he's put in the race and gets Jamieson in the bike. (2) DUC DORLEANS is a longshot play, but he draws well and was timed in 1:50 4/5 last start with a :26 4/5 final quarter. With a clean trip, he may be able to hit the board.

Race 9

(6) CANBEC KADENCE has a good record this season and was timed in 1:55 4/5 last start. That type of effort should be quick enough to win in here. (2) FRISKY MAGIC draws well and went a tough trip last week. Zeron is back in the bike, which is a plus. (4) PUMP ME UP comes out of the McIntosh barn and has posted back-to-back wins. She's a very good option to consider.

Race 10

(2) MUSCLE MAGIC is fresh off an open length score and has won two of her last three starts. She enjoys leaving the gate and draws inside. (7) STANDING MY GROUND comes from a top trotting barn and has his the board in her last two of three starts. She's versatile and may offer a price. (11) ARMSTEAD KYRA has finished first and second in her last two and comes from a high percentage barn. She displayed quick speed two starts ago when she was timed in 1:56 4/5.

Race 11

(4) TARPON HANOVER went a tough trip in his latest. He's versatile, gets Jamieson in the bike and Menary's barn has been terrific in recent weeks. (6) GALLANT SEELSTER was timed in 1:49 2/5 last week and that will only decrease his price. He has the speed, but will need the trip. (2) BROCKS FORTUNE draws inside and comes out of Austin's barn. He's got quick gate-speed and has a good record this season.

Race 12

(8) SEE AND SKI returns to this circuit and likely will be the favourite in here. He won three starts ago and followed up that effort with a second place finish two starts back. At this level, he's hard to overlook. (1) MANCHESTER draws inside and has racing very well in recent weeks. I'm not convinced her can win, but is a good option based on the way he's been racing recently. (5) AHDOUGHNOLUM enjoys being put into the race and he draws well. He comes out of the Summertime Pacing Series and faces an easier group.


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