04/27/2016 2:28PM

Mohawk: Friday 4/29 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 1/1,5,6,7/3,6/1,2,4,6/1,2,3 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4,6/1,2,3/1,8,10/3,6 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,9/1,2,4/2,8,9/6 = $27

MEET STATS: 42 - 121 / $236.70  BEST BETS: 8 - 12 / $37.60

SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 12 / $7.10

Best Bet: SKY GUY (1st)

Spot Play: SHOW SOME LEG (11th)

Race 1

(1) SKY GUY was a sharp winner first off the claim last week, draws well and can repeat here. (6) REGAL FAME led the choice to the lane in an improved performance. He should be an exacta factor here, too. (10) JOELS LEGACY goes first time for a cagey outfit and can crash the exotics at a big price here.

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Race 2

(1) WAR FILLY drops to face much easier here and can come up with a rare win in this class. (5) TWIN B SWEETHEART has raced well in both Mohawk starts and figures in this field. (6) DONTBRUISECARRIE was closing well late last week and isn't without a shot here.

Race 3

(3) LAY LADY LAY raced huge first-up in her season debut and can turn the tables here. (6) ST LADS SMOKIN HOT held off the choice after setting slowish fractions. Here speed makes her a big threat here too. (2) BERNADETTE raced against the best a few times last year and looks ready for her sophomore debut. She can share here.

Race 4

(2) RHONDAS EXAMPLE raced okay over Mohawk last week when claimed now goes for a trainer that can move one up first time out; top call. (4) CLASSIC COMEDY moves inside here and should get a more aggressive steer; using. (6) SHES DEADLY wasn't sent early as expected first off the claim last week. She could be driven much differently here; beware.

Race 5

(2) HOPE AND FAITH qualified much faster than she ever raced and could be ready for a big mile here. (3) DOCS DIVA raced well twice straight vs. a sharp winner but seems a bit win shy. (1) REGIL HURRICANE couldn't close into an accelerating pace in her season's debut but should go forward off that trip.

Race 6

(1) ADVERSITY closed well into a quickening pace last time and moves inside now. Filion will likely have him moving earlier this time. (10) BUDDY HALLY hasn't raced in a few weeks but holds a class edge here and will likely get rolled early by McNair. (8) STAN THE MAN trotted his back 1/2 under 56 seconds in his qualifier and can provide some exotics value here.

Race 7

(6) MOONLIT DANCE faces easier here and should wake up with a much better performance. (3) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE also gets class relief and has won on the class drop before. (10) MISCHIEVIOUSGIRLS made several equipment changes last week and raced much better. She could make the ticket at a big price.  

Race 8

(1) P L HERCULES takes a big class drop here off a couple of decent efforts vs. better. It's now or never for him, it appears. (2) THANKYOUKESSEL gets major post relief and should be right there. (9) OLYMPIC SON had some good closing quarters in the Don Mills series and should be a late threat here.

Race 9

(2) SODWANA BAY closed quickly without threatening the winner last time. Zeron will be winding her up turning home here and the short field should help. (1) DIVAS IMAGE looks ready to make an impact right away in her season debut; using. (4) WINSUN GLORY rarely misses the board and tonight should be no exception.

Race 10

(8) WHISTYS PARADISE easily rolled by the leaders down the lane last week in her first start for Adams. A repeat is very possible vs. these. (2) CARSONS CASHIN could improve sharply off the claim here and will likely be up near the pace throughout. (9) DARKTWISTEDFANTASY raced okay in a quick mile in her Mohawk debut and is another to consider for late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 11

(6) SHOW SOME LEG, tonight's Spot Play, had little hope last time when 5th-over in the back half. Leaving from the middle of the gate she should get a much more aggressive steer vs. this easier group. (3) ARRIVISTA HANOVER couldn't keep pace with a blowout winner last week but she fits here and should share. (2) DONNA PARTY jumped it off after leaving for position last week. She can contend here if flat. (5) INVEST IN ART drops and should carry her speed much farther. (8) SHADYS M THREE continues to close well and could better this placing.

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