Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for Feb. 10

WHO’S HOT
The undefeated Mohaymen is the favorite at 5-1 on the line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper, for the inaugural Derby Watch top 20 of 2016. Mor Spirit, the winner of the Robert B. Lewis Stakes last Saturday, is next at 8-1, with Airoforce and Eclipse Award winner Nyquist co-third choices at 10-1. Remember that Derby Watch lists the 20 runners in order of Watchmaker’s future line. Bob Baffert, the trainer of Mor Spirit, and Chad Brown lead all trainers with three runners each among the top 20.

:: DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | Kentucky Derby: Nyquist already ahead of the game

WHO’S NOT
Both Baffert and Brown have shaky contenders on the list. Drefong, trained by Baffert, and Gift Box, trained by Brown, both have missed recent works, so unless they return quickly to the work tab, their places on the top 20 could be in jeopardy. Swipe, second in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and in two other Grade 1 races to Nyquist last year, did not make the cut because his first work of 2016 is not scheduled until Tuesday and his margin for error to make the Derby is razor thin.

ON THE BUBBLE
Uncle Lino, second to Mor Spirit in the Lewis, just missed the cut, as did Discreetness and Synchrony, the first- and third-place finishers in last month’s Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn. Both Discreetness and Synchrony are scheduled to run Monday in the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn, so progressive performances there could help them muscle their way onto the list. In addition to the Southwest, the only other points-scoring race this holiday weekend is the El Camino Real Derby on Saturday at Golden Gate.

:: ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays