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Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for April 24
By Jay Privman
Perhaps this headline should be "Who's lukewarm," because at this stage, everything is relative. The lone newcomer to this week's Derby Watch top 20 is Titletown Five, solely because if he wins the Derby Trial on Saturday, he would have enough points, and earnings in unrestricted stakes races, to run in the Kentucky Derby one week later. There are others in the Derby Trial for whom that may apply, too. Basically, the Derby Watch committee just needed to fill out the bottom slot in the top 20, and he was chosen. Reflecting the committee's level of enthusiasm, Titletown Five is 50-1 on the Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form's national handicapper.
With it looking increasingly likely that Tiz a Minister will run in the Snow Chief at Betfair Hollywood Park on Saturday, rather than hope to draw into the Derby field, he was removed from the top 20. In addition, owing to the compromised training schedule of late for Govenor Charlie, Watchmaker bumped him up to 20-1 from last week's 15-1.
ON THE BUBBLE
This is the last Derby Watch top 20 for the year. Those who did not make the final cut included Winning Cause, who is 20th on the points list, but is extremely unlikely to run in the Derby, and Code West, currently 21st on the points list. The Derby Trial winner will have 20 points, and will rank above Code West in unrestricted earnings, so keep that in mind when poring over the points list and trying to figure out who could grab the coveted final spots in this Derby field.
ILL BET TITLETOWN FIVE DOESNT WINE THE DERBY TRIAL AND EVEN GET TO THE STARTING GATE OF THE KENTUCKY DERBY
the funny thing about it all is it will probably be a winner that has not been mentioned. That's the way this particular race has been in the past several years. I am for Orb, I don't care what his time is, you have a large pack of horses and his trainer is a true pro at getting them ready and is training him at a mile and a half. Plenty of fuel in that tank and in that race, that's what is needed..JMHO
Titletown five should be in your exacta and trifecta boxes or part wheels.There ain't a cow in TeJas if he misses it.
honestly this is a a 8 horse field with 12 also rans. whats the box on a 8 horse suprabox? It might be a bargain around 645 pm may 4th....
Will Take Charge (will get a piece) or perhaps the whole pie! Lukas gives farewell lesson to all.
Golden Cents wants to win the Triple Crown! That's the Horst to Beat this Year!!!
V-Zano's last work was SPLENDID...looked like he got the last Q in :23...LOOK OUT.
How can anyone like Orb, can you justify how he could run two seconds slower than Dreaming of Julia ran an hour earlier on the same track. He is a plodder that will be lucky to finish in the top ten. Verrazano has never been asked for his best yet. He was coasting the last eighth in the Wood. He and Goldy will set an easy pace and than say catch us if you can.
No Derby contender has run faster the last 3/8 of a mile that Verrazano. Providing the post position draw is kind, he's the obvious selection, a no brainer.
Orb wins. Everyone tries to make the Derby a wide open mystery affair. If he has not opened your eyes, your eyes are shut.
- 1.Posted 12/04/2013 11:20AM
- 2.Posted 12/03/2013 03:13PM
- 3.Posted 12/03/2013 07:02PM
- 4.Posted 12/04/2013 07:01PM
- 5.Posted 12/02/2013 02:02PM