08/05/2013 11:34AM

Del Mar Vulnerable Favorites, Live Longshots, and Spot Plays: August 7

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SPOT PLAYS AND LIVE LONGSHOTS

Del Mar Race 1, (5:05 ET)

A TOAST TO YOU (#3, 3-1) hasn't run since March 15 but trainer Miller is superb off the bench and having a super meet. This runner has worked well and showed plenty of turf sprint quality when 3rd in a stakes down the hill at SA this winter. - Michael Hammersly

Del Mar Race 2, (5:37 ET)

ONEBADSHENANIGAN (#9, 9-2) After spinning his wheels for much of the way when in and amongst rivals for his career debut 7/21, this guy showed some run. That critical first out could go a long way in him showing improvement here, especially given the favorable load-and-go draw in the open-air outside box. Mullins shows nice numbers in these relevant categories, including with 2nd-time starters.  – Marty McGee

Del Mar Race 3, (6:09 ET)

Lone speed QUEEN OF THE HILL (#3, 5-1) should clear these $20,000 claiming fillies and mares. She may be bet below her 5-1 early line, but could be a pick six single. - Brad Free

Del Mar Race 4, (6:40 ET) - LIVE LONGSHOT

Got a bunch of quick horses who might not want a 2-turn mile here, & then there's QUICK NAVIGATOR (#5, 15-1), run off his feet in a sprint, but perhaps far better suited to 2 turns. - Marcus Hersh

Del Mar Race 7, (8:10 ET)

STOP SMILING (#5, 3-1) won her debut despite breaking two to three lengths slowly, something that will often happen with a first timer starting from the fence; recovered quickly and finished strongly to win going away; now looks poised to get a dream stalking trip behind three speedballs to her inside. – Byron King

Del Mar Race 8, (8:40 ET)

CRYTALLINE INDY (#1, 8-1) can improve a ton after a once-around debut. She broke slowly and raced evenly without encouragement. She is better than that race suggests. - Brad Free

Del Mar Race 8, (8:40 ET)

Suspended trainer C Gaines' stable running for Jerry Quinn, & such situations can add couple odds points to live runners, of which 1st-timer SRI'S REd (#10, 9-2) looks like one. - Marcus Hersh

VULNERABLE FAVORITES

Del Mar Race 2, (5:35 ET)

GO FIRST (#7, 3-1) just missed in his debut at BHP May 24 and that was enough to earn a stakes shot June 15 but he was never a factor at any point that day. Yes, the drop surely helps but that may mean luring quite a bit more attention through the windows and while his debut was solid it's not as if that puts him well above these. - Michael Hammersly

Del Mar Race 7, (8:10 ET)

SHE'S A TIGER (#4, 5-2) is perfect in two starts and withstood a fast pace to win the Landaluce at Hollywood, but only because none of her rivals were doing much running in the stretch; she staggered home with a slow final furlong and seems unlikely to hold off this classier group of runners. - Byron King

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Bob More than 1 year ago
Can't say that I agree with you there on your handicapping Mr. Free...Queen of the Hill is not a sure-fire Lone F. I fully expect Smokin' Joe to send Metaxa and Fast Eddie Maldonado may just try a run and gun with Spring Breeze, who does have the ability to stay very close to a quick pace. All of which sets things up perfectly for the obvious stalker and BRIS figure standout, which is Addendum. Unfortunately she is the 5/2 M/L favorite and with Bejarano up you will be lucky to get those odds if in fact, the horse is live. At the very least the presence of Metaxa is likely to keep Kayla Stra and QOTH honest on the front end and if it does come down to a scrubbing match between these two I would much rather have Smokin' Joe Talamo doing the washboard thing down the lane. And if anyone is going to hold off Bejarano down the stretch it is more likely to be Joe T. than Kayla Stra. I'm just sayin'....
Lawrence Macselwiney More than 1 year ago
I agree on She's A Tiger. She's up against it in this race. Quick Navigator is interesting. I watched her last out and while well beaten she was finding a nice stride late. If she moves forward off that race she can win it at a hefty price.
John Lyons More than 1 year ago
gee I hate to see the negative thoughts on She's a Tiger as I like any horse with a lion or a tiger in their name -- tigers one of my lifetime nicknames -- but I think I do remember the staggerfest last time out -- will wait and see on this runner