09/05/2013 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, September 7 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore


We have to make this quick because we're traveling to the Keeneland September Yearling Sale.  Last week's Pick was a BreezeFigs exacta with Kombat Cat going off at a generous 3-to-1 (in a four horse field) beating 5-to-2 Bossy Belle by more than three lengths for a very generous $22.20 exacta. There were many more 2-year-old winners during the week and a couple of stakes exactas, but today we take you to the Bluegrass for something interesting, see below.  Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Kentucky Downs, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weigh, 6 Furlongs (Turf)
Three BreezeFigs first-timers are in here, two out of EASMAY and one out of OBSAPR---two by noted turf sire Stormy Atlantic.  We like Thats It Imleaving, who came out of EASMAY with a one-over-Par Group 2 profile and a 23.49 foot SL, which was .40 feet below average for colts that day at a furlong.  Still, we loved the way he moved over the dirt and is likely to move better over the weeds. Ghost to Ghost came out of the same sale with a poor five-under-Par Group 4 profile and though he had a longer SL than our Pick (23.51feet) we don't have much hope for him. The OBSAPR entrant, Valdina's Will, was scratched from the sale after breezing (SCR) and that's not in the PP's.  But he did OK at a quarter mile with an even-Par Group 2 profile but a short SL of 23.07 feet, which was .85 feet below average for the sale. Maybe he did something during the breeze that slowed him down.  In any case, he's a gimmick play with our top one at the most.  Good luck!