07/03/2015 1:17PM

Balmoral: Sunday 7/5 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (26 - 42 / $94.80): RYLEIGH’s LILLY (7th)



Race 1

(4) SOUTHERN SPECIAL looks terrible on paper but has recently turned it around and just needs to stay trotting for a big chance.   (2) ABC BIG SHOT raced gamely last out and has room to improve.  (7) EARLS PRINCE three-year-old will offer a big price and should have more second start out.

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Race 2

(1) SAVOYA CRUISER lightly raced filly has ability and gets the best post in a weak field.  (5) FRONTIER SARAH was much improved with a new driver last week.  (6) PAT'S PARADISE well bred pacer adds lasix first time out and looks to have tons of upside.

Race 3

(6) PRAISE SINGER two-year-old filly closed a ton in her career debut.  If she gets a good setup she could be the main danger late.  (3) FOX VALLEY HONEY gets sent out for a trainer known for having his stock ready when they hit the track.  (5) RECOVERY MODE was much improved in the qualifier; threat.

Race 4

(11) WRIGHTWOOD two-year-old looks to be something special and will get tested starting in the second tier.  (6) MR STRATA two-year-old gelding can hit the ticket at a price if he stays trotting.  (9) TODGER raced greenly last out but has upside in his second lifetime start.

Race 5

(2) MR MATLOCK four-year-old will offer a big price in a field full of question marks.  (3) NO MORE TERROR looks terrible on paper but owns some ability when he stays pacing.  (8) HARPER VALLEY BOY will offer low value and has lacked pop late in recent; command a price.

Race 6

(3) TAL WI WI filly owns an impressive win at Hoosier and is one of few threats in the race.  (2) BI POLAR ROSE owns a big burst of speed and faces weaker.  (1) SHEZ SO SASSY has been competitive with this bunch but is handicapped by a low percentage pilot.

Race 7

(6) RYLEIGH'S LILLY is a good setup away from making it three straight.  (7) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY Indiana champion has finally snapped out of her funk and is one of few threats in the race.  (5) NO RESPECT should be in line for a much easier trip up close; fires early.

Race 8

(9) FLYING ROCKET look for a driver change to give the pacer his best chance.  The 4-year-old drops in for a tag and has beaten better on the year.  (3) SUNSET DREAMER raced big last out coming first up ripping by the leader late.  (4) EVERGREENDUNESIDE set a lifetime mark last out and gets sent out for a hot trainer.

Race 9

(10) VIN was spectacular last out lagging the gate by more than five lengths from the outside only to fly home late.  The 4-year-old trotter just needs to be closer turning for home.  (1) SOUTHERN APPEAL gelding went from awesome to empty last start and needs to ration out his speed for his best chance.  (6) AMAZED has been slowly improving but is probably best used underneath.

Race 10

(10) OFFICIALLY YOURS will look to blow up the tote board and has jumped up with big efforts in the past.  (7) DELIGHT FASHION probably has the most ability in the field but picks up a provisional pilot; command a price.  (3) MAJOR ED gapped cover last out costing him the victory.  The pacer looks to have a big move when timed right.

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