05/31/2011 9:37AM

Latest Breeders' Cup Classic Future Book Odds


With the handicap division in a continued state of disarray, and with this crop of 3-year-olds widely considered to be average at best, it was with great interest that I opened up the latest Breeders’ Cup Classic future book odds from the Wynn Las Vegas Race and Sports Book when it hit my email box. I just couldn’t imagine what I was about to see.

What I saw was, the current favorite for the Classic at Wynn is Twirling Candy at 10-1, followed closely behind by Crown Of Thorns at 12-1. Both of these horses are talented, but Twirling Candy has yet to win a race over older horses, while Crown Of Thorns has never been thought of as a 1 ¼ mile horse. If I were to venture a guess, I would say these two Southern California-based horses are the first two favorites in the Classic future book betting at least partly because of Vegas’s close proximity to SoCal. Nevertheless, these odds do hold some degree of validity because they are largely based on actual money wagered so far.

Next in line at 14-1 is Dialed In, followed by First Dude at 18-1, and Gio Ponti at 20-1. There is a growing suspicion that Dialed In might be at his best as a one turn closer, while First Dude is only in the initial stages of shedding his label as a habitual disappointment by altering his running style to closing. As for Gio Ponti, he is world-class on turf and synthetic, but he is a virtual unknown on dirt, an important consideration since this year’s Breeders’ Cup is back at Churchill Downs.

Animal Kingdom, who finished clearly in front of Dialed In when he won the Kentucky Derby and finished second in the Preakness, is currently 25-1. So, too, is Nehro, the Derby runner up who is still eligible to an entry level allowance race.

There are, of course, many other horses with posted prices for the Classic, but I’ll mention just two more. Shackleford, who also finished in front of Dialed In when he finished fourth in the Derby and won the Preakness, is 30-1. Uncle Mo, last year’s champion 2-year-old male and whose status is uncertain as he recovers from a stomach ailment, is also 30-1.

running tips More than 1 year ago
TOBY'S CORNER really that is who should be ranked higher. that horse will be lucky to ever win another stakes
running gear More than 1 year ago
You know the state of the handicap division is in disarray when you think to yourself, "Hrm, I wonder if Duke of Mischief can get 10 panels", knowing that if Fawkes can get this horse to go that distance, he'd have a legitimate shot.
buckpasser More than 1 year ago
Much ado about nothing. This is not even an average crop of three year-olds, it is way below and the decline is escalating annually. Beyers no longer above 120 for years, now we glorify anything over a 105 if it can string two good races in a row. The 'oats and water gang' a small minority of the old style trainers can barely keep their horses healthy through a campaign. The farm trained chemists rule, pushing the envelope with weaker animals, who silently fall out of sight as three year olds, maybe to return on a comeback at four. I remember Formal Gold as the last horse to average Beyers over 120 thoughout his Grade 1 career on a consistent basis, over 20 years ago. You try to sell me two year olds who can do a furlong in 10 seconds, and want me to handicap races with entries of only 5 betting interests and an entry, where three of them can't change leads properly down the lane? Hopefully the Euros, Godolphin, perhaps now the Japanese, will bail out a Breeders Cup full of woefully inbred US sprinters and milers, with breeders heading into a racing void. Stop the madness while its not too late.
SamG More than 1 year ago
Santiva was my horse for the Preakness.Still not sure he's good enough but he ran ok in the Derby and the race probably did him some good.After sitting him out for five more weeks I'm not interested.He's bred for distance but I just can't see him being sharp enough to to win.The horse was mismanaged going into the Derby and I think skipping the Preakness was another blunder. As far as the BC Classic I wouldn't bet a nickel on any of the horses mentioned at those odds.If I did it would be one of the 3yr olds.They look pretty mediocre right now but there's still time for them to get better.The only older horse that's run fast is Tizway and while his sire could obviosly go that far he seems more effective at middle distances.Time will tell I guess,he got a 103 in the slop a couple years ago in the Jockey Club Gold Cup and that would beat most of what's out there right now.
john mcdermott More than 1 year ago
Everyone seems to forget Dublin is back in training. He was a bad luck horse as a three year old but has a grade 1 win and appears to have grown from last year his latest bullet work at Churchill is a step in the right direction.
casadaly More than 1 year ago
We might see a filly or mare in the Classic...the ladies are above average!
RoMo More than 1 year ago
. . . .. I'm not that big on "future pools" .. but you comment/implication of an "west coast bias" .. had me spitting coffee on my key-board .. lol .. .. If it where offered, I be more inclined to wager on the number/percent of listed pool horses actually making the race ..? That would be an interesting set of odds ..? .. I rather take 9/5 on horse in the race .. than 100 to 1 .. on one that's not entered (da).. .. So far of one 3 year old runners only one .. has won a race going 10f .. in about 2 minutes .. and "Oh by the way" .. that was at Churchill ..? As to older horses .. I'll wait to see who in good form a couple months out .. and if they have any history of going 10f .. Other than Z-Queen .. who was the last Classic winner not to have had a competitive history at 10f ..?
Steve Szymanski More than 1 year ago
After watching the Derby and Preakness, I have concluded that Santive has a good shot to win the Belmont. His running style is right as he sat a good spot in the Derby, he is on the improve and should have no problem getting the distance.
matt k More than 1 year ago
TOBY'S CORNER really that is who should be ranked higher. that horse will be lucky to ever win another stakes.
James Mc More than 1 year ago
Not for nothing, maybe if the BC was on the Hollywood synth track this year we would get to see a real horse like Frankel. Not very surprising that we have a bunch of suspect 10 furlong horses, thanks to the reprehensible American breeding industry. The way it looks now, Win Willy grinds up to win the Classic over a game Birdrun in 2:05 and 3/5.
Big Ern More than 1 year ago
Master of Hounds will tear em up at Belmont.