01/17/2015 1:53PM

Fornatale: Bet on who will win NHC


There will be a new wager on offer at the 16th Daily Racing Form/NTRA National Handicapping Championship, the richest horse-racing tournament of the year. For the first time, horseplayers will be able to bet on who will be the 2015 NHC champion thanks to a new bet offered at the Treasure Island Race & Sports Book, which is hosting the NHC for the fourth consecutive year.

As of now, 365 players are listed, with most NHC participants available at odds of 100-1. The market is open now, and players are encouraged to bet on themselves. Bets must be made in person at Treasure Island in Las Vegas. The maximum payout on the wager is $5,000.

The early favorites at 25-1 include Dennis Decauwer, who has finished second twice (along with his betting partner, Don Beardsworth) in the NHC, as well as 2008 champ Richard Goodall and 2013 champ Jim Benes. Reigning NHC champion Jose Arias is 50-1 on the opening line as he seeks to become the first repeat winner of the NHC.

There is also a bet on the field available for all players not listed individually. The field is currently 8-1 and is made up of qualifiers from late in the season after the wager was submitted for approval.

:: Click here to purchase a copy of “The Winning Contest Player” by Peter Thomas Fornatale

“The future wager is a great addition to the NHC,” said NTRA senior vice president Keith Chamblin. “There is tremendous value on a number of accomplished tournament players who could take down the NHC crown.”

The NHC future wager will close Thursday, the eve of the NHC, at 11 p.m. Pacific.

For a list of the opening odds, visit: http://unbearablebetting.com/2015/01/17/current-nhc-betting-odds/.

Bill Sadoo More than 1 year ago
Just a shame that there was a cutoff for getting all participants in the pool. Given that Derby futures books are updated on the fly, I wonder how this was different.
nolagistics More than 1 year ago
Horseplayers cast has been hot this year in tourneys! Don't be surprised... #gethotstayhot
nolagistics More than 1 year ago
Watch out for the Guru Hellmers, he took down 2014 HPWS in a big field!
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
It's true. While he's known more as a live-bankroll guy, he proved he can do well in mythical contests as well. . .definitely a player to keep an eye on.
Ron Rios More than 1 year ago
stop, he plays a lot of tournaments, his chance of winning is very low…
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
You're right statistically, of course, about the chance being "low." But the fact remains he is still one of the most likely winners relative to everyone else based on his past successes. My larger point is this: I'm not sure there's what I'd call a good bet on the board, but if forced to play, you could do a lot worse than Christian Hellmers at 100-1.
Roger More than 1 year ago
Pete, Bet on me you won't regret it......RC
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
You've been up in the stratosphere before. . .See you out there Roger! Godspeed.
Roger More than 1 year ago
Thank you !!!!!!!
Peter Fornatale More than 1 year ago
The original version of this article had a mistake -- Brett Wiener predicting that he and Eric Moomey would finish 1-2 in this year's NHC. In fact, he was talking about next year's NHC Tour. It will be corrected in short order. Apologies to Brett.
Wayne Gunter More than 1 year ago
I,ll take 5 to win on Rich Nielson and 5 to win on Tony Taylor. Will you get it down for me Peter and I will send it to you when I order your book, Thanks, Wayne
Tony Brice More than 1 year ago
Personally, I would just bet on Weiner, Moomey, and anyone with the last name Shurman then take my chances. These guys are THAT good! :)
Paul More than 1 year ago
I noticed that the name "John Doyle" isn't in the lineup this year. Isn't he the previous winner who quit his job to become a "professional" horseplayer? I get a kick out of all these guys that call themselves that title after they finally win something big one time. You would think that a "professional" could make it back to that tourney with no problems. When will some of these people realize that Horse Racing will always humble you in the long run and the only person that is truly ahead of the game is the 8 year old little boy who went to the races with his grandfather and hit a $100,000 pick-6 with $2 and never went back to the track with him again. Myself, I enjoy the challenge of studying a DRF and trying to make enough to possibly pay for a vacation or at least my car insurance. The last thing I would ever do is disrespect the sport and call myself a "professional" horse player. There are many of them wandering around the streets of Vegas, they are everywhere.
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Funny you should mention -- Doyle qualified yesterday on NHCQualify.com. He is one of the sharpest players and best guys out there. In truth, a pro player (and many of them do exist) might be less inclined to try to qualify because he/she is too busy with the business of making money. Not to mention Doyle is involved in two other racing related businesses. So I'd slow my roll on that point were I you, Paul.
Paul More than 1 year ago
And of course, he did it with 2 entries (4th and 121st). I guess the darts didn't stick on that second entry. Some of the sharpest horseplayers I know will admit that they are "in the red" over all but enjoy the heck out of the sport and would never disrespect it by saying they are a "professional" horseplayer. Nobody is above this game. I would really like to see the true numbers on how much some of these guys have spent on tournament entry fees and compare it to their taxed winnings. The best line was from the guy who won it about 7 years ago who said: "If I could just win one more of these, I'll be back to even".
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Paul, hate to break it to you but that line has been trotted out many times. . .I don't recall John ever calling himself a professional player, but I can assure you there are many pros out there. Not sure why you find this so hard to accept and I certainly don't see it as an insult to the game -- in fact, without pro players putting money in the game, the whole industry would be a lot worse off. This whole notion that it's somehow "disrespectful" to call one's self a professional is ludicrous. But I'm glad you like racing and reading the blog, so there's that.
Peter Fornatale More than 1 year ago
For a complete look at the odds, follow this link: http://unbearablebetting.com/2015/01/17/current-nhc-betting-odds/
crmdefense More than 1 year ago
I'll take the Shurman Brothers.
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Not a bad way to fly!!!