11/29/2011 10:19AM

Early Peek At Kentucky Derby Future Odds


With the Kentucky Jockey Club, Remsen, and Hollywood Prevue having been run over the Thanksgiving weekend, I thought it would be fun to check in on the latest Kentucky Derby future book odds, courtesy of the race and sports book at Wynn Las Vegas.

It will come as no surprise that the first two Derby favorites are Union Rags and Hansen, who were just a head apart when second and first, respectively, in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. It is also no surprise that the Juvenile loser is favored over the winner because Union Rags did lose a ton of ground during his wide trip throughout and was probably best, although I do admit I was a little disappointed in him because if he was the horse I suspected he might be, he would have gotten up despite the ground loss.

However, the price disparity between Union Rags, who previously won the Champagne and Saratoga Special, and Hansen, who also won the Kentucky Cup Juvenile, is a surprise. Union Rags is currently the clear-cut Derby favorite at 8-1, with Hansen all the way out at 18-1.

Creative Cause, a good third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, beaten only a length, and winner of the Norfolk and Best Pal before that, is third choice at 20-1.

Fourth choice on the Wynn line at 25-1 is Gemologist, who made it 3 for 3 with his decisive victory in the Kentucky Jockey Club.

El Padrino, Ever So Lucky, and Secret Circle are all grouped at 35-1. El Padrino was a gaining third in the Remsen, beaten less than a length, after a runaway maiden score in the slop at Belmont two starts back. Ever So Lucky was a game second in the Kentucky Jockey Club as the favorite off a visually impressive, if not fast, debut win at Churchill two back. Secret Circle made it 3 for 3 when he won the first Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint after disputing a scorching early pace.

Some other prices worthy of mention include 50-1 on Liaison, O’Prado Again, and So Brilliant. Liaison won the Real Quiet, O’Prado Again won the Remsen, and So Brilliant won the Hollywood Prevue.

At 75-1 are Dullahan, winner of the Breeders’ Futurity before finishing a rallying fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, and Sabercat, who made it three straight with his emphatic score in the Delta Downs Jackpot.

Finally, this one caught the eye: My Miss Aurelia, undefeated in four starts, easy winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, and a mortal lock to be champion 2-year-old filly, is out there at 125-1.