04/26/2011 9:34PM

Daunting Derby entry


Pool 3 of the 2011 Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed April 3, less than five weeks before the Derby.

Even that late, some still considered the Derby crop weak, and instead backed “all others” (No. 24) in KDFW pool 3. “All others” is anonymous. It is a bet on chaos.

It turns out KDFW pool 3 bettors who took 8.80-1 on No. 24 are getting all the best of it.

The all-others “entry” includes winners of the Arkansas Derby, Santa Anita Derby, Wood Memorial and Blue Grass.

Archarcharch won the Arkansas Derby; The Factor misfired.

Midnight Interlude went from maiden win to Grade 1 win in the scratch-decimated Santa Anita Derby.

Toby’s Corner upset the Wood as Uncle Mo faded in the lane.

Brilliant Speed upset the Blue Grass, albeit on Polytrack.

Archarcharch, Midnight Interlude, Toby’s Corner and Brilliant Speed all are part of the KDFW “all others” field, No. 24.

As a bonus, No. 24 includes Comma to the Top, the runner-up in the Santa Anita Derby. Churchill Downs removed Comma to the Top from the list of individual horses after his trainer said the gelding would not run in the Kentucky Derby. Plans change.

Furthermore, No. 24 also includes Shackleford, runner-up the Florida Derby; Master of Hounds, runner-up in the UAE Derby; and Twinspired, runner-up in the Blue Grass.

With 11 days until the Derby, that is a mighty strong eight-horse “entry.”

The $2 payoff on No. 24 would be $19.60.

Skeptics that considered it a weak crop are getting all the best of it.

trackman More than 1 year ago
In my opinion, none of those KDFW horses are a good candidate for the Run for the Roses. Archarcharch, Toby's Corner, Midnight Interlude, Brilliant Speed couldn't win the Kentucky Derby if they were given an eighth of a mile head start on the remainder of the field. Shackleford may have the best legit chance at the Roses. Good luck to the $8.80-to-1 backers.
Don Reed More than 1 year ago
This is well-written and appreciated. Rhetoric (the kudzu of lamentable Derby articles, year in year out) was passed over in favor of the facts - cleanly and simply stated. Thanks!
Del More than 1 year ago
Sounds like a hell of a deal. You got to like Midnight Interlude just because he's Baffert's horse and you know he's been workout-trained as good as any other horse out there. And Comma to the Top, seems to me, is maybe one of the most underated horses in there. I think Peter Miller has brought Comma along very carefully. I don't think he's been used up at all. It kind of reminds me of the way Baffert managed Richard's Kid to win the Pacific Classic a second time. In the his two prep races, I couldn't see why everyone was so high on the Kid. His work profile was great but he dissappointed. But he sure stepped up in the Classic. Why? You have to consider the purse. Baffert was not going to expend his horse until the million-dollar Classic. That's why I bet on Comma to the Top in the Santa Anita Derby. I figured Miller was finally going to give Nakatani the okay. Just missed and beat by none other than Baffert's Midnight Interlude. I like 'em both. If they are included in the package, you got to like it.