02/13/2013 4:06PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for Feb. 13, 2013



The same 20 horses who were on last week’s Derby Watch list are on this week’s list, but there is a new horse on top in Verrazano (left), largely owing to his being the lowest price among individual horses in Pool 1 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager last weekend. Remember, the Derby Watch committee chooses the 20 horses, but then they are ranked in order of the future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper. Watchmaker had Verrazano as the second choice at 8-1 last week, but lowered him to 6-1 following the future wager, which made him the favorite. Violence, last week’s favorite, is now the co-second choice with Flashback on Watchmaker’s line, both at 8-1.


Violence lost his spot atop Watchmaker’s line, reflecting where he stood vis-à-vis stablemate Verrazano in the future wager. Violence is scheduled to make his 2013 debut in the Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream on Feb. 23.


Last week was quiet, but there could be some new names on the list after this weekend, with significant stakes on Saturday (the El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate), Sunday (San Vicente at Santa Anita), and Monday (Southwest at Oaklawn). In addition, Fortify was scheduled to run on Thursday night in Dubai in the UAE 2000 Guineas.

[DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list and videos | Wheeling and dealing on the Derby trail]

Jim Fields More than 1 year ago
I picked the Derby winner in December, problem is Violence might not even be alive in May, but the excitement of the Derby trail seems to be more alive this year, when the two year old champion has so many question marks to overcome and another 15 to 20 others who are certainly in the picture.
bob costello More than 1 year ago
Gotta love this time of year !! One race re-defines our rankings so quickly. With each prep race there is a chance of a new face.... or the ousting of a hitherto choice ! I love it. There is NOTHING like the Derby trail ! And one of these years, I will have the winner picked in February !! Yeah, right !