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Daddy Long Legs, the Aidan O’Brien-trained Irish invader for the Kentucky Derby, arrived at Churchill Downs about 4:30 a.m. Wednesday. He was heartily welcomed later in the day by being awarded dreaded post 1 at the Derby post position draw.
This is Daddy Long Legs’s second trip from Ireland to Louisville in six months. On Nov. 5, he finished 12th of 13 in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile after breaking from post 11, an unfavorable outside draw.
“We went from one extreme to the other,” said T.J. Comerford, an assistant to trainer Aidan O’Brien, who will be in England for the 2000 Guineas on Saturday rather than at Churchill for the Derby.
Comerford said Daddy Long Legs is “bigger, stronger, and faster” now than when he came for the BC Juvenile. The colt was to get out of quarantine Thursday and will get in one morning training session for the Derby on Friday. Comerford said Daddy Long Legs would gallop rather than merely jog around the track.
“We’re not here for trotting race,” Comerford joked.
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If Daddy Long Legs shows the early speed he showed in Dubai , he should be fine in the #1 hole. He's going to outbreak #2 Optimizer for sure. From the #8 hole in I see 4 horses who are going to come out slow. Creative Cause, Rousing Sermon, Dullahan, and Optimizer. Daddy Long Legs has better early speed than those horses. In Dubai he was running up front with a horse named Helmet, from Australia. One of the better sprinter - milers they had over there last year.
Let's assume #6 Bodemeister breaks fast and is gone. To get a good trip up the rail I think Daddy Long Legs has to outbreak #4 Union Rags and #3 Take Charge Indy. That's very possible. Daddy Long Legs came out of the gate slow in the BC Juvenile and was still only 2.5 lengths behind Union Rags and Take Charge Indy after 2 furlongs.
Despite the prevailing sentiment I think Daddy Long Legs has a decent post. I think he's a dangerous horse at a huge price. And this whole thing about "the dreaded #1 post" is being way overplayed.
There's a lot of posts in the Derby that have just as bad or worse records than the #1 post. Bob Baffert hates that post so now everybody does. It has more to do with the horse that's in that spot and who's around him than it does the post itself.
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Best Bets
Win streaks are on the line here. ELIZABETH A has won two straight and four of five. Three of the wins and a second have come at this level, where she has nver finished worse than second in her past five starts. She likes the distance and loves this track. Has a nice maintenance drill since her win. FOLLOW THE CROWD is also gunning for a hat trick today. She's won four of six starts here and is 2-for-2 this year, winning at this level after a nine-month layoff and then winning for a lower tag while running against a tougher field.
