08/29/2013 10:33AM

Del Mar: Michael Hammersly's Analysis August 30, 2013

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Michael Hammersly's Analysis [BEST BET: Double Ante (3rd race)]

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1 SPLENDIFEROUS MOON looked like a brand new horse posting a monstrous 8 1/2-length win here July 27. That was her first start here so could be she's in love with this place. That being said, leading trainer Sadler does drop her in price (hey, they don't give anything away out here) and while that July 27 win was huge as she sat back and circled the field, the Beyer didn't come back all that hot (70). LILLY'S PERFECT looked super blasting $25K foes on turf at BHP June 14 and was claimed for $25K by O'Neill. Still, it's a bit worrisome she hasn't run since (let's face it, you don't usually take a horse who's peaking and put her away for nearly 3 months) and she returns off the claim with her value cut in half. She has handled synthetic well at least (4 of her 6 wins have come on synthetic). TORNADO ALLIE made a smart run to grab the lead by midstretch for $16K here Aug. 10 but couldn't sustain her run, finishing 3rd. Remember, though, not only did that run come vs., tougher but it was her first start in 3 months so with that outing under her belt and today's drop she looms a threat. Closer Looks >>
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2 VEGAS BOUND, on the AE list, gets the call if she goes. She appears headed the right way and comes off a fine try in a spot like this here Aug. 1 where she dueled and held well for 2nd. If she doesn't get in, firster GRAZENETTE may do the job. Not only has she worked nicely for her debut for Mitchell, who's strong first time out, but she's got some pedigree to back her up as her 2 sibs are Gracias (10 wins, $93K, SW, SP) and Hazardous (2 wins, $76K, SP). MY LUCKY ROSE was no factor in the lane in her first 2 starts but both came vs. straight maidens so she now takes the most important drop in the game for hot trainer Baffert (29% with this class move). He only sibling is Flamboyance (2 wins, $60K, twice SP). Closer Looks >>
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3 DOUBLE ANTE looks spotted for action. She won smartly at SA March 16 and then tried the G2 Santa Barbara there April 20. She wasn't disgraced when 5th and next was 2nd vs. this caliber on the BHP sod May 19. She was freshened over 2 months, came back on this main track only to be dull but now returns to her best footing with some super works in tow (bullet :59.40 at BHP Aug. 19, bullet :47.60 at BHP Aug. 12). She looks primed to get back on track, maybe at a price, too. BLUES AND SILVERS came here sharp from back East (won 5 of her prior 7) and looked super blasting lesser here Aug. 4. She's obviously the real deal and while she led all the way to win last time she's by no means one-dimensional. She'll make them come and get her. FANTASTIC MIZZ finished smartly to beat a nice bunch at BHP July 13. She's been freshened and if you toss that May 23 dud you're left with 6 straight strong outings. Closer Looks >>
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4 MIA'S STORM flashed ability first time out vs. cheaper ($40K), biding her time and doggedly keeping after winner Analemma while much the best of the rest (7 1/4 lengths). That was a most encouraging first run, she's worked 3 times since and McAnally bumps her up in value. Six of her 8 sibs are winners including Morty's Legacy (4 wins, $91K) and Stylish Yankee (3 wins, $90K, SP).GOODHUMORGIRL boast some sharp works for a trainer (Bonde) who has excellent first-out numbers. Six of her 7 sibs are winners. GRACIE RAGAZZA was no factor in her straight maiden debut here July 21 but gets an important drop, has worked nicely twice since and Bejarano takes the call. Closer Looks >>
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5 FRENEMY was 3rd vs. more expensive N2L foes though he was no match for big-dropper winner Unbridled Giant. Still, that wasn't a bad run at all, Bejarano stays and the class drop may be just what the Dr. ordered. SEVEN BRIDGES didn't do much in his $25K N2L sprint return hre July 27 after 4 months off but he then went in a race like this Aug. 15 and moved forward nicely, finishing 2nd. It looks as though he's back on track. HURRY HOME CLOVER stalked the pace in a race like this here July 31, made a smart run to grab the lead in midstretch but couldn't sustain his run. Still, that was a nice first try for Spawr who had claimed him the race prior. There are 2 works since and his lone win came on this track at this trip. He is stuck way outside today, however. Closer Looks >>
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6 FURY KAPCORI looked like a potential Derby horse last fall before being sidelined. He resurfaced in a sprint here Aug. 1 and didn't run badly after a slow start and more trouble going to the far turn. He can surely benefit from that outing and moves to a longer trip today, which may be more to his liking. There's a ton of speed signed up here so he may fall into a great trip stalking the pace under Bejarano and there are 3 big works since including a bullet :46.80g Aug. 9 and 1:11.80 move Aug. 21 to say he's primed. TIZ THE TRUTH is another who looked like a Derby horse this winter before being sidelined. He dazzled at SA Feb. 2 when blasting maidens and has worked smartly for Baffert, who of course is superb off the bench. Still, it's a lengthy layoff, it's first time vs. winners and his only prior synthetic try wasn't too hot, though in his defense that was also his debut. He did post a sharp 1:12.40 6f work here Aug. 21 to indicat he handles this place. U'NARACK continues to fire bullets. All of that has come sprinting, yes, but he just posted a SW over this track, so you know he likes it here, and he's bred to run on being by Unusual Heat and kin to turf route winner Tamarack Smarty. PATAKY KID is an interesting new face as he invades from the Midwest off a SW at AP July 13 which has been highly flattered (4 he beat that day came right back to win). Closer Looks >>
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7 SIDEPOCKET RUN, on the AE list, is Bejarano's first call and should appreciate returning to turf, if she goes. She just missed when rallying strongly for 2nd in a race similar to this here July 25 but didn't show the same spark on the main track Aug. 14 when 4th.VAN DIEN AVENUE was just behind 'RUN in that July 25 race here so you know she fits. She looks headed the right way after nearly 7 months off, a so-so main-track sprint return at BHP June 29 and then that good turf 3rd. ST. MALO'S GATE, Bejarano's 2nd call, just missed on the BHP turf last fall and then failed to threaten when 5th as the favorite at SA Jan. 20. She hasn't been seen since but has worked well. Closer Looks >>
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