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Wild Card Weekend: Steelers at Chiefs Betting Preview

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Steelers defensive end T.J. Watt
Steelers defensive end T.J. Watt will need to make his mark against the Chiefs.
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
  • 01/16 8:15 PM ET
    Spread
    ML
    Score
    149PITPIT(7)
    46.5
    475
    21
    150KCKC(2)
    -12.5
    -725
    42

Three things you should know before betting on Steelers-Chiefs:

1. While it’s a prolific passing game that receives most of the headlines in Kansas City, the Chiefs were one of only seven NFL teams to gain an average of more than 4.5 rushing yards per carry during the 2021 regular season. The Steelers, however, are 6-0 against the spread on the road since the start of last season when facing an opponent that’s gaining an average of at least 4.5 yards per rushing attempt.

2. The Chiefs started last November with a 35-9 win as a 19.5-point home favorite against the Jets. That improved Kansas City’s record to 7-1 straight-up and 6-2 against the spread over the first half of the 2020 regular season. Since then, the Chiefs have gone 21-7 straight-up but just 10-18 against the spread, which includes a 6-12 against-the-spread mark vs. AFC opponents over that span and a 6-16 against-the-spread record as a favorite of between 3 and 13 points.

3. All but seven of the 28 games the Chiefs have played under head coach Andy Reid as a home favorite of between 7.5 and 14 points have gone Under the total. The Under is 8-4 in games Pittsburgh has played against AFC opponents since the start of last season. All but three of the nine games the Steelers and Chiefs have played against each other since the start of 2011 have gone Under the total.

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