Cowboys at Saints Betting Preview

Three things you should know before betting on Cowboys-Saints:

1. The Saints have thrived when getting points in recent years, going 11-4 straight-up and 12-3 against the spread as an underdog since the start of the 2018 season. Four of those games have been played in New Orleans: 1) a 45-35 victory as a 2.5-point underdog against the Rams in November 2018; 2) a 12-10 win as a 2.5-point underdog against the Cowboys in September 2019; 3) a 36-27 upset as a 3.5-point underdog against the Buccaneers this past Halloween and 4) a 31-6 loss as a 7-point underdog against the Bills last Thursday night.

2. This is a head-to-head series that’s been dominated by the home squad in recent years, as the visiting team is 0-5 both straight-up and against the spread in games played between Dallas and New Orleans since the start of the 2013 season. That includes the Saints’ 12-10 victory as a 2.5-point home underdog the last time these teams met, which was in September 2019. That was the third straight game in this head-to-head series that went Under the total, following the Cowboys’ 13-10 win as a 7-point home underdog in 2018 and the Saints’ 26-20 overtime victory as a 3-point home favorite in October 2015, a game that closed with an Over/Under of 48.

3. The Cowboys enter Week 13 as one of only three NFL teams along with Buffalo and Tampa Bay that’s scoring an average of more than 29 points per game this season. The Saints are 24-10 straight-up and 25-9 against the spread under head coach Sean Payton when facing a team that’s averaging 27 or more points per game, and they’re outscoring such high-scoring opponents by an average margin of 7.4 points over those 34 games. That includes records of 15-7 straight-up and 16-6 against the spread in home games against such opponents, with New Orleans outscoring opponents by an average of 7.5 points over those 22 games. The Saints are 6-3 straight-up and 7-2 against the spread under Payton when coming off three straight losses, and they’re 5-1 straight-up and 6-0 against the spread under Payton when coming off a game in which they scored fewer than 10 points.