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Bills at Buccaneers Betting Preview

Published on 12/07/2021
By Scott Gramling
Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady
Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady is coming off a huge game against Atlanta.
Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
12/12 4:25 PM ET
Spread
ML
Score
125BUFBUF
53
140
27
126TBTB
-3.5
-160
33

Three things you should know before betting on Bills-Buccaneers:

1. The Buccaneers have been dominant at home, going 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 against the spread in games played at Tampa’s Raymond James Stadium over the past calendar year. They’ve outscored visiting opponents by an average margin of 19.9 points over the eight games with all seven of the against-the-spread victories having been by more than 11 points. Tampa Bay has won each of its past four home games by 20 or more points and by an average margin of 26.5 points per game.

2. If you throw out the 2014 regular-season finale in which Tom Brady played only one half with the Patriots already having secured their playoff seeding, the Bills have lost each of the past 15 games they’ve played against the current Buccaneers starting quarterback. Buffalo is 2-7-2 against the spread when facing Brady over the past eight calendar years, losing all 11 games in that span by 6 or more points and by an average margin of 13.2 points per game. The Bills’ only against-the-spread wins in that span were a 24-12 loss as a 13.5-point road underdog in December 2018 and a 16-10 loss as a 7-point home underdog in September 2019.

3. The Buccaneers are 9-3 straight-up and 8-3-1 against the spread when facing AFC opponents under current head coach Bruce Arians. The Bills, meanwhile, are 3-5 straight-up and 2-4-2 against the spread over the past eight games they’ve played against NFC South opponents. Buffalo is 0-6 against the spread over its past half-dozen trips to Tampa Bay. It’s been more than 30 years since the Bills last won a road game against the Buccaneers.

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