Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Preview
- 04/29 7:10 PM ETMLTotalScore953PHI1156.5-130 o0954NYM-1256.5110 u3
The New York Mets (14-6) will host the Philadelphia Phillies (10-10) at Citi Field for the series opener, with first pitching coming at 7:10 PM. This is the second series meeting between the two, as New York took the first series two to one in Philadelphia. New York is favored at -110, with the run total is set at 7.5 runs.
Right hander Trevor Megill (3-0, 2.35 ERA) will toe the rubber for New York, coming off three stellar performances, leading to a record of 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA. Philadelphia sends out righty Aaron Nola (1-2, 3.74 ERA) for the start.
Key Injuries
Nothing for Philadelphia but New York still awaits the return of top pitcher Jacob Degrom, who still remains on the IL. Left fielder J.D. Davis is day-to-day with a foot injury.
Betting Angles
New York is 6-1 against divisional opponents this season, including two wins against Philadelphia. New York is also 5-2 at home this season and 10-6 as the favorite, while Philadelphia is 2-5 on the road and 2-1 as the underdog.
Why Philadelphia Can Win
This star studded lineup is finally getting going, scoring 32 runs in their last four games. Philadelphia swept Colorado in those four games. Left fielder Nick Castellanos, who was acquired in free agency, is off to a great start this season, hitting .319 with a .514 slugging percentage and a .911 OPS, which ranks 24th among all hitters. Nola hasn’t pitched well so far this year, as his only win was on opening day, but he’s arguably one of the best pitchers in the game and could be due for a big performance. His 25 strikeouts is good for 11th in the MLB and his 0.88 WHIP is 10th among all pitchers.
Why New York Can Win
Besides the fact that they’re the hottest team in the league, they send out Trevor Megill who has yet to lose this year. Megill is allowing just 4.5 hits per game and 1.5 earned runs per game, while only walking three batters in 23 innings. New York has also won all four games that Megill has pitched this year. Offensively, New York is fourth in the league in average, second in RBIs, and have the most hits in the league. This lineup is led by utility player Jeff McNeil, who’s hitting .328 with just seven strikeouts in 61 at bats. While the NL East is perhaps the best division in baseball, New York has emerged as the favorites to win it. Philadelphia is a good team and would perhaps be favored in any other division but New York offers good value here.