Belmont at the Big A | Race 3 | Post Time 2:15 p.m. (ET)   It's pretty hard to trust the main contenders in this $20,000 claiming race, since most of them are coming off poor efforts. That includes morning-line favorite Beira (#4), who would be awfully tough to beat if able to get back to her efforts two and three back when she was initially claimed by Rick Dutrow. However, it's hard to know what to make of her last race, where she got eased after a half-mile. The subsequent drop in for $20,000 after she had been protected in prior starts doesn't exactly inspire confidence, though she is still the one to beat.   Linda Rice sends out a pair of runners who both exit disappointing runs but have prior form that would make them contenders. Coquito (#2) is probably a little more dangerous, since she ran the best race of her career first off the claim for Rice in July at Saratoga. She was spotted too ambitiously last time, but I still wanted to see her show a little more of her typical early speed. She's also dropping, but this one makes sense considering that Rice claimed her for $12,500. Echo in Eternity (#6) is Rice's other entrant, making her first start off the claim for this barn. Yet Rice tends to have more success claiming horses for owners other than herself, and this mare was very disappointing as the odds-on favorite last time.   I'm going in a different direction. In a race where so many contenders are exiting poor efforts, Florida Flower (#8) is coming off two consecutive victories. Despite that recent success, she probably won't get much respect here since she's going out for Finger Lakes-based connections. She did beat a weaker field when she won on this circuit two back at Saratoga while going out for Flying P Stables and Norm Casse, but I liked the way she fought for the victory, and that 91 TimeformUS Speed Figure fits with this field. Some may not be too convinced by her following win at Finger Lakes, but she overcame a wide trip and actually beat a decent field there over a distance that had previously been short of her best. Rachel Sells isn't a trainer who has had that much success on the NYRA circuit, but she has markedly improved her statistics this year and is 23 for 140 (16%, $2.23 ROI) with all starters over the last six months.