Visit our 2011 Kentucky Derby section » Your browser does not support iframes Updated 5/4/2011 Post Horse / Sire Track Odds Watchmaker Odds Best Beyer Owner, Trainer, and Jockey 8 Dialed In by Mineshaft 4-1 4-1 97 Robert LaPenta N. Zito/J. Leparoux   JP: Zito has adjusted to his colt's needs with a light training schedule, and he has produced. MW: His closing style fits. But he's a favorite who is not any faster or better than a few others here. 2 Uncle Mo by Indian Charlie SCRATCHED 108 Repole Stable T. Pletcher   JP: Once was head-and-shoulders above his crop, but recent loss, Derby distance, bring doubts. MW: Even if he is back to his old self, the Derby distance was always a huge question mark for him. 19 Nehro by Mineshaft 6-1 6-1 98 Zayat Stables S. Asmussen/C. Nakatani   JP: Derby distance is right up his alley. Certainly was flattered by race shape of Arkansas Derby. MW: He'll get lots of pace to run at again, though; only problem I have is I suspect he'll be an underlay. 1 Archarcharch by Arch 10-1 10-1 95 Robert & Loval Yagos W. Fires/J. Court   JP: Skeptical of him before Ark. Derby, but that race, plus strong works at Churchill, move him way up. MW: Ark. Derby was his best yet; was between him, Nehro, went with him as his odds will be higher. 9 Derby Kitten by Kitten's Joy 30-1 30-1 92 Kenneth & Sarah Ramsey M. Maker/J. Castellano   JP: Only wins were in a maiden claimer on turf, and a weak Lexington on Polytrack. Hard to endorse. MW: He has gotten better with every start this year, but his one dirt race last year was really poor. 15 Midnight Interlude by War Chant 10-1 12-1 97 Arnold Zetcher B. Baffert/V. Espinoza   JP: It is very difficult to go from unstarted maiden to Kentucky Derby winner in less than four months. MW: Won a weakened SA Derby, but on the plus side, it was a breakthrough for him Beyer-wise. 13 Mucho Macho Man by Macho Uno 12-1 12-1 99 Reeves T'bred Racg, et al K. Ritvo/R. Maragh   JP: Would be the late Joe Hirsch's pick. Joe always pulled for "the best story." Ritvo is that. MW: This colt has heart. He is also one of six in here coming off a six week layoff I think is too long. 8 Master of Hounds by Kingmambo 30-1 20-1 80t Mrs. John Magnier A. O'Brien/G. Gomez   JP: Tough to get a line on him. Never has been on dirt, just one start this year, has been in Ireland. MW: He's also essentially a second stringer, so if he wins, then this really is a pretty weak group. 7 Pants On Fire by Jump Start 20-1 30-1 94 George & Lori Hall K. Breen/A. Napravnik   JP: Beat Nehro in the La. Derby; Napravnik trying to become the first female rider to win the Derby. MW: He was fortunate to catch Nehro when he did, because Nehro has improved; will be close to pace. 17 Soldat by War Front 12-1 20-1 103 Harvey Clarke, et al K. McLaughlin/A. Garcia   JP: If it rains, his chances really improve. Won in slop at Gulfstream, glided over mud training Monday. MW: He controlled pace when he won in slop at GP, he'll have to go too fast to control the pace here. 16 Animal Kingdom by Leroidesanimaux 30-1 20-1 94 Team Valor International H. G. Motion/J. Velazquez   JP: Handled the dirt quite well in an encouraging drill last weekend; worth using in exotics, for sure. MW: Still has considerable upside, but didn't beat much in the Spiral, and that race was six weeks ago. 2 Brilliant Speed by Dynaformer 30-1 30-1 93 Live Oak Plantation T. Albertrani/J. Rosario   JP: Liked the way he looked on an off track on Monday, but think his best chance is for a minor share. MW: His fast dirt form, even if early in career, is awful; would need an equalizer like a sloppy track. 6 Comma to the Top by Bwana Charlie 30-1 30-1 97 Barber, Birnbaum, et al P. Miller/P. Valenzuela   JP: Can't envision scenario for success with Shackleford to deal with early, and many others late. MW: Likeable gelding, but if he couldn't win the SA Derby after controlling pace, how can he win this? 14 Shackleford by Forestry 12-1 20-1 93 M. Lauffer & W. Cubbedge D. Romans/J. Castanon   JP: Florida Derby performance was outstanding; took the heat, nailed late by the Derby favorite. MW: His effort was good, but outstanding? If anything, the track was speed favoring, time was slow. 12 Santiva by Giant's Causeway 30-1 30-1 91 Tom Walters E. Kenneally/S. Bridgmohan   JP: Owns an important win over this track last fall; didn't have a clean run in final Derby prep race. MW: Despite his stakes win over the track, he doesn't have even one race that says he can win this. 4 Stay Thirsty by Bernardini 20-1 30-1 89 Repole Stable T. Pletcher/R. Dominguez   JP: Ran dreadfully in Florida Derby, and was crushed by stablemate Uncle Mo here in Breeders' Cup. MW: What Jay says is true, but his Gotham two back was solid; rebound chance for a piece at a price. 17 Twinspired by Harlan's Holiday 30-1 30-1 93 Alpha St., Skychai Racg, et al M. Maker/M. Smith   JP: Tough loss in Blue Grass, but dirt form is suspect; at the least, he will be a hunch bet for many. MW: All of which means that there is a good chance his odds will be far below his actual chance to win. 5 Decisive Moment by With Distinction 30-1 50-1 91 Just for Fun Stable J. Arias/K. Clark   JP: There is a lot of clutter in this Derby field. Hard to envision him even getting a piece of this. MW: Really in this because of a race at Delta in November, synthetic race in March; doesn't seem right. 3 Twice the Appeal by Successful Appeal 20-1 30-1 89 Brown, Flores, & Hernandez J. Bonde/C. Borel   JP: Will get a second look, and be a far lower price than he should be, because of CD whiz Calvin. MW: Should be 100-1, I wanted to make him 50-1, but it appears he will be lower, and that is crazy. 20 Watch Me Go by West Acre 50-1 50-1 84 Gilbert Campbell K. O'Connell/R. Bejarano   JP: With the exception of the Tampa Bay Derby, his form isn't much. Looks like he is a cut below. MW: Jay's being diplomatic. We've had some inscrutable Derby results lately, but this would top 'em all. (t) top beyer came on turf     (RPR) Racing Post Rating