It is only March, and the unbeaten Mohaymen again looked terrific in his Fountain of Youth Stakes win, but I am beginning to wonder why his Beyer Speed Figures are not heading north. Mohaymen’s five Beyers are 87, 89, 95, 95, and 95. His 95 in the Fountain of Youth last Saturday is the same as his 95 in the Remsen Stakes in November. Comparisons are always tricky, but Mohaymen’s form is a bit like 2011 Champagne Stakes winner Union Rags, even if Union Rags got started much earlier in the year. Union Rags never progressed Beyer-wise as a 3-year-old, even though he won the Fountain of Youth and the Belmont Stakes. Union Rags was flat in the Florida Derby. I’m not saying that is going to happen to Mohaymen, but it is a thought since a 95 is almost certainly not going to get it done on the first Saturday in April, and definitely not on the first Saturday in May. The brilliant 3-year-old filly Cathryn Sophia has no such issues. She got a career-best 98 Beyer for her blowout win in the Davona Dale. She has won her four races by a combined 42 lengths and looks like a filly who could give Songbird a run in the Kentucky Oaks. Speaking of Songbird, she once again has “omni figs” in the Santa Ysabel Stakes on Saturday at Santa Anita, meaning that her worst Beyer is better than any of the other fillies’ best Beyer. So, why no concern over her drop from a career-best 99 Beyer in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies to an 88 in her seasonal debut, an overwhelming victory in the Las Virgenes Stakes? It was a paid, public workout. She has already proved that she can run fast, and I have little doubt she will do it when necessary. It does not look like it will be necessary Saturday. Songbird looks like she should clear the field with ease, and Mike Smith can name the margin. One of Songbird’s rivals on Saturday, Land Over Sea, has earned more than $200,000 but has won just a single race. Hitting the board behind Songbird will get you some cash, but her 72, 82, 77, 77 series in the four consecutive losses to Songbird won’t get her to the winner’s circle. Code Warrior’s Beyers look similar, with a 71, 80, 77, 79, 77 lifetime series – nice numbers in some realms, just not in the Songbird realm. Sunny Ridge is going to be favored in the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct, as he should be off solid Beyers of 86, 92, and 87 in the Champagne, Delta Jackpot, and Withers. He finished second in the first two and won the Withers. The horse should get a nice stalking trip and certainly has faced far better opposition than he does in this spot. Conquest Big E is the most intriguing horse since he could give us a bit better line on Mohaymen and Nyquist. A son of Tapit, Conquest Big E was beaten pretty badly in his two tries against the top two 3-year-olds and comes to New York with an 81, 84, 82 series, not that far behind Sunny Ridge. Shagaf and Adventist are the improving horses who will get their first real tests. Shagaf won his two starts by a combined eight lengths, with Beyers of 88 and then 78. I would prefer those numbers to have been achieved in reverse order, like Adventist’s 74, followed by an 85 behind Sunny Ridge in the Withers. I loved the improvement in Adventist’s first route and first race with Kendrick Carmouche. Is there a more consistent horse in America than Valid? Valid, who runs Saturday in the Gulfstream Park Handicap, reminds me of a horse named Elevate. Back in the day, my Maryland gambling friends and I knew that no matter how badly the week had gone, we could always get out on Elevate in the Saturday finale, a starter handicap. It never mattered how much weight they would give Elevate. He always found a way, usually at 2-1 because the public just did not believe he could win carrying all that weight. Valid has earned triple-digit Beyers in seven of his last nine starts and is working on a 102, 103, 103 series. Mshawish, the horse who beat him in the Hal’s Hope Stakes and Donn Handicap, is not running in the Gulfstream Park Handicap, so Valid’s normal race looks more than good enough.