Belmont at the Big A | Race 4 | Post Time 2:35 p.m. (ET)   Tazara (#4) figures to go off at a very short price once again despite disappointing as the 1-2 favorite in her U.S. debut last month. She secured the lead through moderate early fractions and just couldn't produce a kick in the lane, run down by the talented Creed's Gold. Supporters of Tazara will point to her strong European form as evidence that she can do better in her second American start. She progressed markedly at the end of her 2024 campaign, producing back-to-back career-best performances last October, culminating with a strong second in a Group 3 sprint. Yet those good efforts came out of nowhere, and it's no guarantee she'll be able to recapture that form in a new barn.   Her Chad Brown stablemate Risk Threshold (#6) could also attract support here, but the presence of Tazara feels like a problem for a mare who has done all of her best running from the front end. Tazara showed herself to be a frontrunner in France, and she used that same style when she came to the U.S., so it's hard to imagine Flavien Prat rating her this time. Risk Threshold probably is forced to sit a stalking trip here, and I don't want to take her using a running style that has never worked for her.  My top pick is Golden Canary (#2), who finished third just behind Tazara last time, but I think she has a very good chance to turn the tables on that foe. Golden Canary actually broke well in that return to turf sprinting last time, but she was quickly reined in to stalk the pace. However, being drawn in the middle of the pack, that lack of aggression resulted in her getting shuffled all the way back to last by the time the field hit the turn. She did very well to nearly get up for second as the only horse to make up a significant amount of ground in the lane. That 107 TimeformUS Speed Figure was a new career-best number for her, and it appears that she is just coming into top form now as a 4-year-old. She has proven in prior starts that she doesn't have to come from that far back, and I would expect Irad Ortiz to place her in the pocket behind the two Chad Brown rivals here. If she's within striking distance at the quarter pole, I expect her to run them down.